Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.920773+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.83 | 21.82 | 13.3 | 9.91 | 1.09 |
| 2 | Colorado | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.65 | 27.45 | 11.48 | 10.25 | 0.75 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.31 | 15.8 | 11.92 | 8.42 | 1.58 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.4 | 28.91 | 10.43 | 10.14 | -0.14 |
| 5 | Miami | FBS Independents | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.27 | 27.4 | 11.2 | 9.63 | -0.63 |
| 6 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.99 | 10.78 | 14.82 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.87 | 14.8 | 11.56 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 8 | Arkansas | Southwest | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.62 | 16 | 10.96 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 9 | Fresno State | Big West | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.01 | 18.18 | 4.24 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.11 | 19.09 | 10.96 | 9.97 | -0.97 |
| 11 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 21.08 | 19.4 | 13.4 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 12 | Virginia | ACC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.96 | 9.08 | 11.88 | 8.49 | 1.51 |
| 13 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.96 | 17.91 | 12.89 | 9.98 | -1.98 |
| 14 | Auburn | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.79 | 12.6 | 13.69 | 8.78 | -0.78 |
| 15 | Houston | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.74 | 39.89 | 10.6 | 8.65 | -1.65 |
| 16 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.65 | 13.09 | 9.86 | 7.93 | 1.07 |
| 17 | Illinois | Big Ten | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.58 | 9.1 | 13.83 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 18 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.18 | 20.7 | 7.54 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 19 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.06 | 13.1 | 11.7 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20 | 16 | 10.37 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 21 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.73 | 6.7 | 9.89 | 6.53 | 1.47 |
| 22 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.63 | 6.9 | 9.12 | 6.46 | 1.54 |
| 23 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.44 | 6.82 | 5.4 | 7.06 | 1.94 |
| 24 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.68 | 5.33 | 11.61 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 25 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-2-2 | 0.64 | 18.61 | 5.09 | 6.85 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 26 | Duke | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.4 | 6.36 | 12.09 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 27 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.05 | 12.6 | 10.71 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.82 | 10 | 10.47 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 29 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 17.44 | 7.6 | 13.39 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 30 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.83 | 16.36 | 9.92 | 9.03 | -2.03 |
| 31 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.67 | 7.27 | 14.01 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 32 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 4.33 | 10.67 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 33 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.61 | 5.09 | 4.93 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 34 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.58 | 11.36 | 10.83 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 35 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 16.11 | 14.5 | 12.97 | 8.36 | -2.36 |
| 36 | NC State | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 6.09 | 9.14 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 37 | Georgia | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.66 | 6.5 | 13.09 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 38 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 15.29 | 0.1 | 10.11 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 39 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.23 | 4.5 | 12.2 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 40 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.12 | 10.1 | 7.12 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 41 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.88 | 2.09 | 13.53 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 42 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.56 | 10.6 | 2.43 | 7.38 | -1.38 |
| 43 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.52 | 0.82 | 6.27 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 44 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.48 | 3.18 | 8.18 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 45 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.42 | 1.3 | 10.6 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 46 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.34 | 7.55 | 10.93 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 47 | Akron | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.18 | 5 | 2.92 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 48 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.17 | 1 | 9.21 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 49 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.02 | 4.44 | 10.44 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 50 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.83 | 2.9 | 9.9 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 51 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.52 | 1.8 | 9.94 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 52 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.34 | 3.09 | 8.5 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 53 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.22 | -2 | 13.22 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 54 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 13.05 | 4.18 | 14.06 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 55 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.73 | -2.8 | 10.93 | 4.36 | 1.64 |
| 56 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 2.8 | 11.8 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 57 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.45 | 4.18 | 7.46 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 58 | Texas | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.37 | -1.67 | 15.26 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 59 | San José State | Big West | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.26 | 2.2 | 9.25 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 60 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.86 | -1 | 9.79 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 61 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.84 | 0.8 | 9.4 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 62 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.6 | -1.64 | 9.41 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 63 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -4.5 | 11.85 | 3.77 | 1.23 |
| 64 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 10.02 | 1.2 | 13.43 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 65 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.99 | 0 | 8.03 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 66 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.92 | -5.6 | 9.85 | 3.69 | 1.31 |
| 67 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.55 | -1.64 | 12.26 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 68 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.55 | -7.82 | 9.89 | 3.54 | 1.46 |
| 69 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.42 | -2.6 | 14.38 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 70 | LSU | SEC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 8.08 | 2.3 | 17.16 | 5.53 | -2.53 |
| 71 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.15 | -13.45 | 12.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 72 | UNLV | Big West | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.03 | -9.7 | 6.31 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 73 | Utah State | Big West | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 6.96 | -15.1 | 12.51 | 1.84 | 2.16 |
| 74 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.62 | -8 | 12.77 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 75 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.6 | -8.45 | 12.97 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 76 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -6.36 | 11.1 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 77 | TCU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.41 | -10.73 | 12.65 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 78 | Maryland | ACC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 6.22 | -2.09 | 14.76 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 79 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.18 | -14.09 | 12.33 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 80 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.04 | -12.27 | 9.19 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 81 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.87 | -3.36 | 14.89 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 82 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.61 | -6.45 | 13.79 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 83 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-6-2 | 0.2 | 4.22 | -5.7 | 10.28 | 3.65 | -1.65 |
| 84 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.84 | -15.82 | 8.05 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 85 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 3.29 | -4.5 | 12.65 | 3.79 | -1.79 |
| 86 | Rice | Southwest | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 3.26 | -7.4 | 11.62 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 87 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.68 | -11 | 13.94 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.58 | -11.36 | 10.23 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 89 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.49 | -14.1 | 13.47 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 90 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.46 | -12.73 | 8.49 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 91 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.43 | -12.9 | 7.29 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 92 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 2.22 | -6.67 | 13.03 | 4.35 | -2.35 |
| 93 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -14.91 | 10.19 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 94 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.86 | -17.45 | 13.64 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 95 | SMU | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 1.85 | -29.8 | 9.68 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| 96 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.72 | -14.5 | 10.39 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 97 | Pacific | Big West | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.45 | -18.92 | 13 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.43 | -9.6 | 12.66 | 2.39 | -1.39 |
| 99 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.13 | -14.27 | 8.56 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 100 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.1 | -14.45 | 11.36 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 101 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.27 | -24.36 | 11.1 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 102 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.32 | -19.55 | 9.67 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 103 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.55 | -22.36 | 14.32 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.33 | -18 | 10.61 | 1.61 | -1.61 |
| 105 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.45 | -20.7 | 11.55 | 1.77 | -1.77 |
| 106 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.53 | -24.18 | 9.08 | 1 | -1 |