Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.921117+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.6 | 27.45 | 11.72 | 10.25 | 0.75 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.1 | 15.8 | 11.28 | 8.42 | 1.58 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 24 | 18.58 | 14.16 | 10.42 | 0.58 |
| 4 | Miami | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.56 | 26.45 | 12.06 | 10.57 | -0.57 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.28 | 28.91 | 10.11 | 10.14 | -0.14 |
| 6 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.22 | 11.8 | 14.85 | 7.68 | 1.32 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.09 | 14.36 | 12.01 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 8 | Arkansas | Southwest | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.87 | 14.5 | 12.03 | 8.07 | 0.93 |
| 9 | Fresno State | Big West | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 21.89 | 18.18 | 4.46 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 10 | Houston | Southwest | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 21.2 | 37.5 | 11.48 | 9.51 | -1.51 |
| 11 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 21.04 | 19.4 | 13.49 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.02 | 19.09 | 10.66 | 9.97 | -0.97 |
| 13 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.01 | 12.73 | 12.51 | 8.97 | 0.03 |
| 14 | BYU | Western Athletic | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.95 | 13.75 | 10.45 | 8.74 | 1.26 |
| 15 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.91 | 17.91 | 13.04 | 9.98 | -1.98 |
| 16 | Virginia | ACC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.89 | 9.08 | 11.79 | 8.49 | 1.51 |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.72 | 12.6 | 13.53 | 8.78 | -0.78 |
| 18 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.53 | 19 | 7.87 | 9.18 | -0.18 |
| 19 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.4 | 12.55 | 11.64 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 20 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.47 | 6.82 | 5.76 | 7.06 | 1.94 |
| 21 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-2-2 | 0.64 | 18.56 | 5.09 | 6.7 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 22 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.53 | 11.82 | 10.19 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 23 | Duke | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.34 | 6.36 | 11.74 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.3 | 14.3 | 11.78 | 8.29 | -1.29 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.09 | 4.64 | 11.03 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 26 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.03 | 5.36 | 9.97 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 27 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 18.01 | 7.18 | 13.91 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.74 | 10 | 10.16 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 29 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.91 | 15.73 | 11.85 | 9.46 | -2.46 |
| 30 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.88 | 4.5 | 12.37 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 31 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.73 | 16.36 | 10.02 | 9.03 | -2.03 |
| 32 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.62 | 7.27 | 13.67 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 33 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.58 | 11.36 | 10.94 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 34 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.56 | 5.09 | 4.96 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 35 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.27 | 5.73 | 12.63 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 36 | NC State | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.89 | 6.09 | 9 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 37 | Georgia | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.45 | 6.5 | 12.37 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 38 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.13 | 10.1 | 7.33 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 39 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.94 | 3.2 | 11.5 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.85 | 2.09 | 13.36 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 41 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.72 | 4.1 | 9.17 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 42 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.54 | 10.6 | 2.32 | 7.38 | -1.38 |
| 43 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.53 | 0.82 | 6.58 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 44 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.46 | 3.18 | 7.97 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 45 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.27 | 7.55 | 11.21 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 46 | Akron | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.1 | 5 | 2.71 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 47 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 13.81 | -1.64 | 11.21 | 5.08 | 1.92 |
| 48 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.52 | 1.8 | 10.39 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 49 | San José State | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.4 | 2.91 | 9.37 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 50 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.4 | 3.09 | 8.64 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 51 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 13.05 | 4.18 | 14.39 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 52 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.04 | -2 | 13.18 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 53 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 12.98 | -1.55 | 10.45 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 54 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.37 | 4.18 | 7.67 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 55 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.25 | -0.73 | 11.6 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 56 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 12.11 | -0.83 | 10.62 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 57 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.03 | 1.36 | 9.67 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 58 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.87 | -1 | 9.71 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 59 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.82 | 5 | 13.23 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 60 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.6 | -1.64 | 9.19 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 61 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.56 | -1.82 | 9.94 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 62 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.29 | 2.45 | 10.88 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 63 | Texas | Southwest | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -5.8 | 14.46 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 64 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.1 | -0.18 | 9.8 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 65 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.01 | 0 | 7.93 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 66 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.87 | -1.09 | 14.31 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 67 | LSU | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 9.76 | 3.91 | 15.79 | 6.52 | -2.52 |
| 68 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.57 | -1.64 | 12.03 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 69 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.71 | -7.36 | 12.15 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 70 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.48 | -7.82 | 10.08 | 3.54 | 1.46 |
| 71 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.56 | -8 | 12.68 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 72 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.55 | -8.45 | 13.42 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 73 | TCU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.34 | -10.73 | 12.63 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 74 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-7-1 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -12.5 | 13.04 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 75 | UNLV | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.17 | -9.73 | 7.15 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 76 | Maryland | ACC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 6.13 | -2.09 | 14.85 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 77 | Utah State | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.08 | -14.91 | 11.54 | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| 78 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.06 | -12.27 | 8.97 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 79 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -7.5 | 10.77 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 80 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.85 | -3.36 | 14.83 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 81 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -13.25 | 13.05 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 82 | Long Beach State | Big West | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.21 | -13.42 | 7.72 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 83 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.65 | -6.45 | 13.3 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 84 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -9.91 | 14.03 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 85 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-6-2 | 0.2 | 4.17 | -5.7 | 10.17 | 3.65 | -1.65 |
| 86 | Rice | Southwest | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 3.34 | -7.4 | 11.67 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 87 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.86 | -4.18 | 12.93 | 4.22 | -2.22 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.56 | -11.36 | 10.71 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 89 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.44 | -12.73 | 8.56 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 90 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -12.9 | 7.3 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 2.3 | -6.67 | 12.99 | 4.35 | -2.35 |
| 92 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.95 | -15.36 | 13.72 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 93 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.9 | -14.91 | 9.92 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 94 | SMU | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 1.83 | -29.8 | 9.84 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| 95 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.83 | -17.45 | 13.42 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 96 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -14.5 | 10.62 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 97 | Pacific | Big West | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.52 | -18.92 | 12.76 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.41 | -9.6 | 12.13 | 2.39 | -1.39 |
| 99 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.12 | -14.27 | 8.94 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 100 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -14.45 | 10.85 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 101 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.28 | -24.36 | 10.81 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 102 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.34 | -19.55 | 9.72 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 103 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.46 | -22.36 | 14.07 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.33 | -18 | 10.6 | 1.61 | -1.61 |
| 105 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.52 | -24.18 | 9.29 | 1 | -1 |
| 106 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.55 | -23.27 | 12.26 | 1.68 | -1.68 |