Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.922529+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.28 | 27.45 | 11.32 | 10.25 | 0.75 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.74 | 18.58 | 14.35 | 10.42 | 0.58 |
| 3 | Miami | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.25 | 26.45 | 11.49 | 10.57 | -0.57 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.04 | 28.91 | 10.01 | 10.14 | -0.14 |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.92 | 11.36 | 13.14 | 8.45 | 1.55 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.86 | 13.45 | 12.13 | 8.82 | 1.18 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.83 | 14.36 | 11.69 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 8 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.63 | 14.45 | 10.57 | 8.81 | 1.19 |
| 9 | Fresno State | Big West | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 22.07 | 18.42 | 5.37 | 10.06 | 0.94 |
| 10 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.32 | 18.27 | 13.82 | 9.39 | -0.39 |
| 11 | Houston | Southwest | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.24 | 39.91 | 9.87 | 10.59 | -1.59 |
| 12 | Auburn | SEC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.05 | 12.36 | 13.99 | 9.48 | -0.48 |
| 13 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 19.09 | 10.71 | 9.97 | -0.97 |
| 14 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.76 | 12.73 | 12.09 | 8.97 | 0.03 |
| 15 | BYU | Western Athletic | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.75 | 13.75 | 10.32 | 8.74 | 1.26 |
| 16 | Virginia | ACC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.66 | 9.08 | 11.59 | 8.49 | 1.51 |
| 17 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.63 | 17.91 | 12.56 | 9.98 | -1.98 |
| 18 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.39 | 17.42 | 8.47 | 9.72 | -0.72 |
| 19 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.12 | 12.55 | 10.99 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 20 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.27 | 6.82 | 5.61 | 7.06 | 1.94 |
| 21 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.72 | 14 | 11.69 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 22 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.38 | 10.83 | 10.63 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 23 | Duke | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.15 | 6.36 | 11.65 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 24 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.82 | 4.64 | 10.77 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 25 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.78 | 5.36 | 9.87 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 26 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.72 | 7.18 | 12.86 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.33 | 5.64 | 11.26 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 28 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 10.67 | 10.78 | 8.72 | -0.72 |
| 29 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.76 | 15.73 | 11.65 | 9.46 | -2.46 |
| 30 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.55 | 16.36 | 9.86 | 9.03 | -2.03 |
| 31 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-3-2 | 0.58 | 16.46 | 2.92 | 7.86 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 32 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.43 | 7.27 | 13.43 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 33 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.37 | 5.09 | 4.7 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 34 | Florida | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.2 | 8.45 | 10.86 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 35 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.1 | 5.73 | 12.18 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 36 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.76 | 3.91 | 11.4 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 37 | NC State | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.74 | 6.09 | 9.02 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 38 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.63 | 4.73 | 9.44 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 39 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.67 | 2.09 | 13.02 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 40 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.35 | 0.82 | 6.19 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 41 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.3 | 3.18 | 7.82 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 42 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.1 | 7.55 | 10.97 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 43 | Georgia | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.97 | 4.91 | 12.36 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 44 | Akron | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.96 | 5 | 2.65 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 45 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.83 | 8.18 | 8.05 | 7.61 | -1.61 |
| 46 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 13.65 | -1.64 | 10.57 | 5.08 | 1.92 |
| 47 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.34 | 1.8 | 9.9 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 48 | San José State | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.29 | 2.91 | 9.09 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 49 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.27 | 9.45 | 2.28 | 7.92 | -1.92 |
| 50 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.92 | 4.18 | 14.32 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 51 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 12.89 | -2 | 12.95 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 52 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 12.78 | -1.55 | 10.58 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 53 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.22 | 4.18 | 7.39 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 54 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 2.58 | 9.07 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 55 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12 | -0.73 | 11.02 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 56 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 11.92 | -0.83 | 10.72 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 57 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.83 | 1.36 | 9.54 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 58 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.74 | -1 | 9.54 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 59 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.7 | 5 | 12.39 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 60 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.48 | -1.82 | 9.62 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 61 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.45 | -1.64 | 8.73 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 62 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.12 | 2.45 | 10.8 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 63 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.92 | -0.18 | 9.57 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 64 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.89 | 0 | 7.66 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 65 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.78 | -1.09 | 13.47 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 66 | LSU | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 9.68 | 3.91 | 14.99 | 6.52 | -2.52 |
| 67 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.46 | -1.64 | 11.67 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 68 | Texas | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.87 | -6.27 | 14.74 | 3.78 | 1.22 |
| 69 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.58 | -7.36 | 12.23 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 70 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.36 | -7.82 | 9.53 | 3.54 | 1.46 |
| 71 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.49 | -8 | 12.69 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 72 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -8.45 | 12.87 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 73 | TCU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.26 | -10.73 | 12.29 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 74 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-7-1 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -12.5 | 12.8 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 75 | UNLV | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.09 | -9.73 | 7.33 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 76 | Maryland | ACC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 6.08 | -2.09 | 14.94 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 77 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6 | -12.27 | 8.91 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 78 | Utah State | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.99 | -14.91 | 11.62 | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| 79 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -7.5 | 10.86 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 80 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.77 | -3.36 | 14.38 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 81 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -13.25 | 12.81 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 82 | Long Beach State | Big West | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.21 | -13.42 | 7.53 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 83 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.59 | -6.45 | 12.9 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 84 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.31 | -9.91 | 13.61 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 85 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4 | -11.55 | 7.47 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 86 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.34 | -6.73 | 10.22 | 3.83 | -1.83 |
| 87 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.81 | -4.18 | 12.6 | 4.22 | -2.22 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.53 | -11.36 | 10.47 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 89 | Rice | Southwest | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.49 | -12.55 | 11.97 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 90 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.41 | -12.73 | 8.51 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 2.27 | -6.67 | 12.38 | 4.35 | -2.35 |
| 92 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.36 | 13.48 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 93 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -14.91 | 9.41 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 94 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.81 | -17.45 | 12.95 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 95 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -14.5 | 10.34 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 96 | Pacific | Big West | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.51 | -18.92 | 12.63 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 97 | SMU | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.41 | -28.36 | 10.34 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.2 | -9.36 | 12.2 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 99 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.12 | -14.27 | 8.79 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 100 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -14.45 | 10.8 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 101 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.28 | -24.36 | 10.2 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 102 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.33 | -19.55 | 9.38 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 103 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.45 | -22.36 | 13.47 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.3 | -18 | 10.3 | 1.61 | -1.61 |
| 105 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.5 | -24.18 | 9.21 | 1 | -1 |
| 106 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.52 | -23.27 | 12.08 | 1.68 | -1.68 |