Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.922897+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.24 | 27.45 | 11.3 | 10.25 | 0.75 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.69 | 18.58 | 14.32 | 10.42 | 0.58 |
| 3 | Miami | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.2 | 26.45 | 11.47 | 10.57 | -0.57 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23 | 28.91 | 9.99 | 10.14 | -0.14 |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.87 | 11.36 | 13.11 | 8.45 | 1.55 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.81 | 13.45 | 12.1 | 8.82 | 1.18 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.78 | 14.36 | 11.66 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 8 | Arkansas | Southwest | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.58 | 14.45 | 10.54 | 8.81 | 1.19 |
| 9 | Fresno State | Big West | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 22.03 | 18.42 | 5.35 | 10.06 | 0.94 |
| 10 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.28 | 18.27 | 13.8 | 9.39 | -0.39 |
| 11 | Houston | Southwest | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.2 | 39.91 | 9.85 | 10.59 | -1.59 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.14 | 19.17 | 11.47 | 10.93 | -0.93 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.01 | 12.36 | 13.95 | 9.48 | -0.48 |
| 14 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.72 | 12.73 | 12.06 | 8.97 | 0.03 |
| 15 | Virginia | ACC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.62 | 9.08 | 11.57 | 8.49 | 1.51 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.59 | 17.91 | 12.54 | 9.98 | -1.98 |
| 17 | BYU | Western Athletic | 10-3-0 | 0.77 | 19.38 | 11.85 | 10.87 | 9.04 | 0.96 |
| 18 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.24 | 6.82 | 5.59 | 7.06 | 1.94 |
| 19 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-3-1 | 0.69 | 18.82 | 14.54 | 9.1 | 10.03 | -1.03 |
| 20 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.53 | 6.58 | 11.36 | 7.71 | 1.29 |
| 21 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.49 | 9.83 | 11.79 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 22 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.48 | 7.5 | 13.49 | 8.8 | -0.8 |
| 23 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.02 | 5.42 | 11.86 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 24 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.75 | 5.36 | 9.85 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 25 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 16.08 | 12.35 | 10.37 | -2.37 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 12.58 | 12.14 | 9.58 | -1.58 |
| 27 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 8.92 | 13.63 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 28 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17 | 10.67 | 10.76 | 8.72 | -0.72 |
| 29 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 8-4-1 | 0.62 | 16.93 | 9 | 10.84 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 30 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 5.83 | 12.45 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 31 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.51 | 16.36 | 9.83 | 9.03 | -2.03 |
| 32 | Duke | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 3.5 | 12.14 | 6.83 | 1.17 |
| 33 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-3-2 | 0.58 | 16.43 | 2.92 | 7.84 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 34 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.38 | 3.67 | 11.59 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 35 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 16.33 | 5.09 | 4.68 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 36 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.6 | 4.73 | 9.41 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 37 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 14.83 | -0.42 | 11.2 | 5.89 | 2.11 |
| 38 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.64 | 2.09 | 12.99 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 39 | Florida | SEC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.63 | 5.5 | 11.31 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 40 | NC State | ACC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.36 | 5 | 9.59 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 41 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.33 | 0.82 | 6.17 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 42 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.28 | 3.18 | 7.8 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 43 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.08 | 7.55 | 10.95 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 44 | Akron | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.94 | 5 | 2.63 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 45 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.81 | 8.18 | 8.03 | 7.61 | -1.61 |
| 46 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 1.8 | 9.87 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 47 | San José State | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.26 | 2.91 | 9.07 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 48 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.25 | 9.45 | 2.27 | 7.92 | -1.92 |
| 49 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.9 | 4.18 | 14.3 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 50 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 12.86 | -2 | 12.92 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 51 | Georgia | SEC | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 4.42 | 12.62 | 7.64 | -1.64 |
| 52 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 12.75 | -1.55 | 10.56 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 53 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.2 | 4.18 | 7.37 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 54 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 12.09 | 2.58 | 9.05 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 55 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.97 | -0.73 | 10.99 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 56 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 11.9 | -0.83 | 10.7 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 57 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.81 | 1.36 | 9.51 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 58 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.72 | -1 | 9.52 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 59 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.68 | 5 | 12.36 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 60 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.46 | -1.82 | 9.6 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 61 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.43 | -1.64 | 8.71 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 62 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.1 | 2.45 | 10.78 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 63 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.9 | -0.18 | 9.55 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 64 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.88 | 0 | 7.64 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 65 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.76 | -1.09 | 13.43 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 66 | LSU | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 9.66 | 3.91 | 14.96 | 6.52 | -2.52 |
| 67 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.44 | -1.64 | 11.65 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 68 | Texas | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.85 | -6.27 | 14.71 | 3.78 | 1.22 |
| 69 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.57 | -7.36 | 12.2 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 70 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.34 | -7.82 | 9.5 | 3.54 | 1.46 |
| 71 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -8 | 12.66 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 72 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.45 | -8.45 | 12.84 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 73 | TCU | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.25 | -10.73 | 12.26 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 74 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-7-1 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -12.5 | 12.78 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 75 | UNLV | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.08 | -9.73 | 7.31 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 76 | Maryland | ACC | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 6.07 | -2.09 | 14.91 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 77 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.99 | -12.27 | 8.89 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 78 | Utah State | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.98 | -14.91 | 11.6 | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| 79 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -7.5 | 10.84 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 80 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.76 | -3.36 | 14.35 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 81 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -13.25 | 12.79 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 82 | Long Beach State | Big West | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.2 | -13.42 | 7.51 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 83 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.58 | -6.45 | 12.87 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 84 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -9.91 | 13.58 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 85 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -11.55 | 7.45 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 86 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-7-2 | 0.18 | 3.34 | -6.73 | 10.2 | 3.83 | -1.83 |
| 87 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.81 | -4.18 | 12.58 | 4.22 | -2.22 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.53 | -11.36 | 10.44 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 89 | Rice | Southwest | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.49 | -12.55 | 11.94 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 90 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.41 | -12.73 | 8.49 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 2.26 | -6.67 | 12.36 | 4.35 | -2.35 |
| 92 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.36 | 13.45 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 93 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -14.91 | 9.39 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 94 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.8 | -17.45 | 12.92 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 95 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -14.5 | 10.31 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 96 | Pacific | Big West | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.51 | -18.92 | 12.6 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 97 | SMU | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.4 | -28.36 | 10.32 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.2 | -9.36 | 12.18 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 99 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.12 | -14.27 | 8.77 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 100 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -14.45 | 10.77 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 101 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.28 | -24.36 | 10.17 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 102 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.33 | -19.55 | 9.36 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 103 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.45 | -22.36 | 13.44 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.29 | -18 | 10.27 | 1.61 | -1.61 |
| 105 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.49 | -24.18 | 9.19 | 1 | -1 |
| 106 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.52 | -23.27 | 12.05 | 1.68 | -1.68 |