Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.918679+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston | Southwest | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.09 | 53 | 10.12 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 2 | Colorado | Big 8 | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.72 | 28 | 10.53 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.67 | 34 | 9.68 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | Arkansas | Southwest | 4-0-0 | 1 | 26.67 | 20 | 11.54 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.57 | 15.8 | 12.05 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 26.39 | 20.25 | 10.66 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 7 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.38 | 10.6 | 12.9 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 8 | Miami | FBS Independents | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26 | 33.8 | 6.65 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 9 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 4-0-1 | 0.8 | 25.88 | 17 | 8.58 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 10 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.99 | 23.5 | 3.4 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 11 | Fresno State | Big West | 5-0-0 | 1 | 24.85 | 25.4 | 2.49 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 12 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 24.17 | 9.5 | 2.67 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 13 | NC State | ACC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 23.85 | 16.5 | -1.13 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 14 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 22.42 | 10 | 15.88 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 15 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.17 | 15.83 | 10.81 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 22 | 20.6 | 13.27 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 17 | Clemson | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.86 | 15.83 | 9.15 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 18 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.55 | 25.5 | 5.19 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 19 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.41 | 30.8 | 7.89 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 20 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.21 | 5 | 16.16 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 21 | Florida | SEC | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.06 | 14.2 | 9.29 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 22 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.87 | 11.2 | 9.81 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 23 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.6 | 16 | 6.14 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 24 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.59 | 4.4 | 11.58 | 3.07 | 0.93 |
| 25 | Auburn | SEC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.59 | 20.25 | 12.21 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 26 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 20.18 | 6.2 | 15.81 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 27 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.12 | 7.25 | 14.97 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.92 | 10 | 12.33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 5.75 | 11.52 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 30 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 19.64 | 11 | 5.5 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 31 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.63 | 16.5 | 7.43 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 32 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 18.68 | 1.4 | 4.14 | 2.65 | 1.35 |
| 33 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 17.69 | 0.5 | 9.09 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 34 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 1.83 | 10.77 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 35 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.79 | 9.2 | 12.44 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 36 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.7 | 10 | 11.52 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 37 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.6 | 15.2 | 12.16 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 38 | Akron | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.27 | 4.33 | 3.85 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 39 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.85 | 4.2 | 14.88 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 40 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.73 | 1.2 | 16.27 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 41 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.7 | 1 | 5.88 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 42 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-1-2 | 0.4 | 15.69 | -0.8 | 6.08 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 43 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.59 | 1.2 | 12.64 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 44 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.01 | 2.8 | 8.55 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 45 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 14.73 | 2 | 8.42 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 46 | Georgia | SEC | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 14.73 | 5.5 | 18.13 | 2.81 | -0.81 |
| 47 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 14.66 | 1.8 | 6 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 48 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 14.26 | 9.5 | 16.54 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 49 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 13.46 | -5.4 | 12.49 | 1.92 | 1.08 |
| 50 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.37 | 1.25 | 13.54 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 51 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.08 | 5.75 | 3.81 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 52 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-2-1 | 0.4 | 13.03 | 4.2 | 12.75 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 53 | Texas | Southwest | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.99 | 2 | 14.97 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 54 | San José State | Big West | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.55 | 1 | 7.61 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 55 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.74 | -3.5 | 17.6 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 56 | UNLV | Big West | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 11.71 | -8.8 | 5.32 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 57 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 11.65 | 2.8 | 18.4 | 2.87 | -0.87 |
| 58 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.24 | -2.33 | 10.97 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 59 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.99 | -5.75 | 14.55 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 60 | Duke | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.74 | -4.83 | 16.88 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 61 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 10.51 | 8.8 | 5.21 | 3.69 | -1.69 |
| 62 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.45 | -7.5 | 10.22 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 63 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.09 | -12.83 | 4.29 | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| 64 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 8.97 | -1.83 | 19.65 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 65 | Baylor | Southwest | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.79 | -7.4 | 19.2 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 66 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.11 | -6.8 | 10.76 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 67 | TCU | Southwest | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.92 | -8.6 | 11.77 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 68 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 7.9 | -4.5 | 4.27 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 69 | LSU | SEC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 7.85 | 6.5 | 12.94 | 2.64 | -1.64 |
| 70 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.71 | -14.4 | 13.91 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| 71 | California | Pac-10 | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.56 | -10.2 | 16.28 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 72 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7 | -13.4 | 10.13 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 73 | Rice | Southwest | 1-3-1 | 0.2 | 6.95 | 2.4 | 6.66 | 2.86 | -1.86 |
| 74 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.3 | -5 | 14.19 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 75 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.19 | -9.5 | 12.33 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 76 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 6.14 | 0 | 8.64 | 2 | -1 |
| 77 | Kansas | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -10 | 9.13 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 78 | Utah | Western Athletic | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -10 | 13.39 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 79 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 1-3-1 | 0.2 | 5.44 | -2.4 | 17.81 | 2.22 | -1.22 |
| 80 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 1-3-1 | 0.2 | 5.06 | -3 | 14.39 | 2.24 | -1.24 |
| 81 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-3-1 | 0.2 | 4.31 | -13.4 | 18.77 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 82 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 4.22 | -1 | 7.12 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 83 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-3-1 | 0.2 | 4.14 | -3.6 | 9.27 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 84 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -6 | 16.84 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 85 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -12 | 10.28 | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| 86 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -16.25 | 13.65 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 87 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -16.25 | 14.82 | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| 88 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 3.34 | -7.2 | 18.29 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 89 | SMU | Southwest | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.32 | -19.5 | 4.7 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 90 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.91 | -10.4 | 14.47 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 91 | Maryland | ACC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.74 | -5.5 | 17.5 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 92 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.53 | -21.2 | 20.59 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| 93 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | -19.6 | 9.02 | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| 94 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.25 | -12.2 | 13.05 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 95 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.25 | -9.67 | 13.12 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 96 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.09 | -10.5 | 9.59 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| 97 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.04 | -13.67 | 18.89 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 98 | Utah State | Big West | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 1.57 | -29.2 | 14.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| 99 | Pacific | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -22.33 | 17.45 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 100 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 0-4-0 | 0 | -1.92 | -7.5 | 21.05 | 0.98 | -0.98 |
| 101 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.56 | -17.5 | 18.99 | 0.89 | -0.89 |
| 102 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.63 | -24.6 | 7.78 | 0.17 | -0.17 |
| 103 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.66 | -22.83 | 11.57 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 104 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.67 | -24.6 | 8.85 | 0.69 | -0.69 |
| 105 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.77 | -23.83 | 15.48 | 0.32 | -0.32 |
| 106 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-6-0 | 0 | -3.14 | -31.83 | 21.03 | 0.09 | -0.09 |