Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.919032+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.59 | 29.17 | 11.83 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.52 | 15.5 | 13.93 | 5 | 1 |
| 3 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.28 | 10.6 | 14.18 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 4 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 22.4 | 11.06 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.2 | 35.5 | 9.11 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 5-0-0 | 1 | 25.82 | 17.6 | 9.86 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 7 | Miami | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 33.5 | 7.52 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 25.02 | 17 | 6.04 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 9 | Fresno State | Big West | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.57 | 25.67 | 2.61 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 10 | NC State | ACC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 23.77 | 16.5 | 0.39 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 11 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.29 | 19.83 | 12.25 | 5.43 | -0.43 |
| 12 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.26 | 16.14 | 8.93 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 13 | Houston | Southwest | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 22.16 | 41.6 | 9.93 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 14 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.15 | 18.14 | 6.59 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 15 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.91 | 10 | 17.12 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 16 | Florida | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.42 | 15.67 | 8.36 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 17 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.38 | 13 | 9.02 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 18 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.25 | 25.5 | 5.06 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 19 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.24 | 18.17 | 6.82 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 20 | Auburn | SEC | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.17 | 17 | 10.76 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 21 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.07 | 5 | 15.29 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 22 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.96 | 8.2 | 12.93 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 23 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.94 | 8.6 | 12.67 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 24 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 20 | 8 | 0.9 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 25 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 18.95 | 11 | 5.59 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 26 | Clemson | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.73 | 11.29 | 8.77 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 27 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 18.61 | 0.8 | 6.55 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 28 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.35 | 18.33 | 12.62 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 29 | Virginia | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.33 | 6.29 | 11.18 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 30 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.19 | 25 | 7.29 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.97 | 9 | 13.57 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 32 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.89 | 6.83 | 14.94 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 33 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.94 | 12.4 | 6.05 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 34 | Texas | Southwest | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.56 | 2.4 | 15.85 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.54 | -1.67 | 12.17 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 36 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.37 | 3.4 | 8.21 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 37 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 14.94 | 3.83 | 7.97 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 38 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 14.9 | 11.8 | 1.65 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 39 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 14.86 | 2.8 | 7.65 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 40 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 14.83 | 1 | 11.34 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 41 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 14.79 | -0.5 | 15.87 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 42 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 14.72 | -3.83 | 13.52 | 2.46 | 1.54 |
| 43 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 14.31 | -2.33 | 3.72 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 44 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 13.95 | -1.4 | 17.3 | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| 45 | Akron | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.87 | 3.14 | 2.91 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 46 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.8 | 6.67 | 11.91 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 47 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.55 | 1 | 8.28 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 48 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.49 | 3.33 | 16.98 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 49 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.36 | 12 | 8.04 | 4.85 | -1.85 |
| 50 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.23 | -0.14 | 8.1 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 51 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 12.96 | -3.2 | 12.19 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 52 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 1.5 | 15.52 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 53 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 12.66 | -5.2 | 12.55 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 54 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 11.8 | 7 | 16.17 | 3.61 | -1.61 |
| 55 | UNLV | Big West | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 11.69 | -8.8 | 4.77 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 56 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.5 | -2.33 | 15.04 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 57 | Georgia | SEC | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 11.46 | 3.6 | 16.97 | 3.19 | -1.19 |
| 58 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-2-2 | 0.33 | 11.01 | -1.83 | 7.58 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 59 | Duke | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.78 | -4.83 | 16.19 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 60 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.75 | -4.17 | 10.82 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 61 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -3.17 | 6.16 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 62 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 10.36 | 1.5 | 17.67 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 63 | TCU | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.14 | -4.83 | 10.41 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 64 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 10.11 | -2.57 | 5.36 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.59 | -10.5 | 10.82 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| 66 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.99 | -3.43 | 14.67 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 67 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.82 | -3.4 | 14.66 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 68 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.74 | -1.6 | 17.36 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 69 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 8.54 | -1.83 | 14.19 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 70 | San José State | Big West | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.22 | -5.6 | 10.81 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 71 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.75 | -11.57 | 4.33 | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| 72 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 7.52 | -12 | 13.77 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 73 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.79 | -5.71 | 19 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 74 | LSU | SEC | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 6.39 | 4.4 | 14.46 | 3.13 | -2.13 |
| 75 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -6.33 | 10.85 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 76 | California | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -11.17 | 16.18 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 77 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6 | -9.5 | 13.64 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 78 | Maryland | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.97 | -1.86 | 15.84 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 79 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -8 | 11.34 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 80 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -7.33 | 10.23 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 81 | Kansas | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -10 | 8.64 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 82 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.99 | -8.71 | 16.81 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 83 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.89 | -6.29 | 8.32 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 84 | Utah | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.88 | -11.57 | 11.98 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 85 | Rice | Southwest | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 4.58 | -0.33 | 8.38 | 2.94 | -1.94 |
| 86 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 3.55 | -1.8 | 13.95 | 2.2 | -1.2 |
| 87 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 3.55 | -4.6 | 12.41 | 1.88 | -0.88 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 3.07 | -6.33 | 6.81 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 89 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -13 | 13.14 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 90 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 2.68 | -14 | 13.44 | 1.09 | -0.09 |
| 91 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.65 | -14.4 | 14.52 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 92 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -15.4 | 14.68 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 93 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.47 | -6.33 | 8.47 | 1.92 | -0.92 |
| 94 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.3 | -9 | 16.92 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 95 | SMU | Southwest | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.06 | -24.8 | 5.33 | 0.35 | 0.65 |
| 96 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -17 | 7.31 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 97 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.52 | -24.83 | 20.42 | 0.15 | 0.85 |
| 98 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.34 | -11 | 11.77 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 99 | Utah State | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.31 | -28.83 | 16.87 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
| 100 | Pacific | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.88 | -20.43 | 16.08 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 101 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.38 | -14.4 | 17.75 | 1.22 | -1.22 |
| 102 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-5-1 | 0 | -2.45 | -20.5 | 7.23 | 0.42 | -0.42 |
| 103 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-6-1 | 0 | -2.46 | -19.57 | 9.34 | 0.92 | -0.92 |
| 104 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.62 | -24 | 9.63 | 0.79 | -0.79 |
| 105 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.63 | -20.71 | 15.5 | 0.58 | -0.58 |
| 106 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.98 | -30.29 | 17.16 | 0.16 | -0.16 |