Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:30.919384+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.28 | 13.86 | 14.34 | 5.62 | 1.38 |
| 2 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.13 | 29.57 | 10.69 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.13 | 17.5 | 12.91 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 34 | 7.75 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 5 | Miami | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 33.5 | 5.49 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 5-0-1 | 0.83 | 24.69 | 17 | 5.81 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 7 | Fresno State | Big West | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.4 | 24 | 3.21 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 8 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 22.34 | 18 | 14.26 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 9 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.31 | 18 | 12.4 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 10 | Houston | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.26 | 47 | 9.38 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 11 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.89 | 6 | 14.59 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.79 | 14.29 | 8.14 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 13 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.68 | 19.14 | 6.33 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.44 | 9.5 | 11.9 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 15 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.43 | 7.5 | 12.88 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 16 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.23 | 13 | 9.05 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 17 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.12 | 7.29 | 10.95 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 18 | NC State | ACC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.05 | 11.29 | 3.76 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 19 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 20.14 | 8 | 1.01 | 5.66 | 0.34 |
| 20 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 20.09 | 9.83 | 8.08 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 21 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.74 | 13.88 | 10 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 22 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.67 | 16.43 | 14.76 | 5.99 | -0.99 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.64 | 12.38 | 11.34 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 24 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.39 | 13.62 | 7.77 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 25 | Virginia | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.14 | 7.88 | 10.21 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 26 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.07 | 16.86 | 12.13 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 27 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.86 | 21.86 | 9.4 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 28 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.62 | 8.14 | 12.77 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 29 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.57 | 6.14 | 13.87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.46 | 19.71 | 5.76 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 31 | Auburn | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.21 | 12.83 | 12.47 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 32 | Texas | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 2.67 | 16.51 | 3.41 | 0.59 |
| 33 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 12 | 8.44 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 34 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.18 | 0.86 | 12.36 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 35 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 6.5 | 6.86 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 36 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 16.35 | 3.43 | 7.75 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 37 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.13 | 0.57 | 5.71 | 3.58 | 1.42 |
| 38 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.96 | 12.17 | -1.22 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 39 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.77 | -0.17 | 13.8 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 40 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 15.65 | -2.71 | 12.38 | 3.07 | 1.93 |
| 41 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.29 | 8.57 | 12.83 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 42 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.14 | 4.71 | 15.32 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 43 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.06 | 1.75 | 9.65 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 44 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 14.93 | -1.33 | 11.85 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 45 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 14.89 | -1 | 7.18 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 46 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.38 | 0.25 | 9.08 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 47 | Georgia | SEC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.63 | 6.17 | 15.53 | 4.23 | -1.23 |
| 48 | Akron | FBS Independents | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 2.75 | 1.93 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 49 | Duke | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.94 | -1.14 | 14.7 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 50 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 1.67 | 9.64 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 51 | TCU | Southwest | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.5 | -1.57 | 11.93 | 3.19 | 0.81 |
| 52 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.46 | 2.43 | 11.22 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 53 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 12.44 | 1.71 | 11.76 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 54 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.23 | 0.67 | 14.61 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 55 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.75 | -1 | 15.7 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 56 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.39 | -0.83 | 15.06 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 57 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.23 | 6.43 | 4.59 | 4.8 | -1.8 |
| 58 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 10.93 | -2 | 9.48 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 59 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.88 | 0.86 | 13.3 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 60 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -5 | 12.25 | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| 61 | San José State | Big West | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.34 | -2.83 | 9.61 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 62 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 9.8 | 5.17 | 17.46 | 4.06 | -2.06 |
| 63 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 9.75 | -10.14 | 13.09 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| 64 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.52 | -2.14 | 14.58 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 65 | UNLV | Big West | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.47 | -10.33 | 5.81 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 66 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.28 | -3.12 | 18.62 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 67 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.95 | -4 | 12.23 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 68 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.89 | -2.86 | 8.43 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 69 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.59 | -4 | 7.26 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 70 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.28 | -5 | 8.32 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 71 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.26 | -10.14 | 12.14 | 1.82 | 1.18 |
| 72 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 2-3-2 | 0.29 | 8.03 | -4.57 | 8.99 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 73 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.98 | -3.38 | 14.64 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 74 | Utah | Western Athletic | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.87 | -9.75 | 11.76 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 75 | Long Beach State | Big West | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.59 | -11.5 | 5.11 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 76 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -10.33 | 10.74 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 77 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -11.33 | 11.62 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 78 | LSU | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 5.27 | 2.67 | 15.07 | 3.45 | -2.45 |
| 79 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.13 | -8.71 | 16.13 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 80 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.08 | -8.71 | 13.12 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 81 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.94 | -10.43 | 13.25 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 82 | California | Pac-10 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -11.43 | 13.96 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 83 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.88 | -9.86 | 10.44 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 84 | Maryland | ACC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.72 | -4.25 | 14.81 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 85 | Kansas | Big 8 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.67 | -13.14 | 10.14 | 1.65 | 0.35 |
| 86 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.35 | -19.57 | 17.31 | 0.42 | 1.58 |
| 87 | Utah State | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.14 | -22.57 | 14.49 | 0.68 | 1.32 |
| 88 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -8.62 | 9.6 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 89 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 3.13 | -2 | 11.63 | 2.63 | -1.63 |
| 90 | Rice | Southwest | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 3.01 | -2.57 | 9.37 | 3.02 | -2.02 |
| 91 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.4 | -7 | 12.81 | 1.92 | -0.92 |
| 92 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 2.19 | -8.14 | 8.57 | 1.86 | -0.86 |
| 93 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.79 | -15.83 | 14.97 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 94 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.73 | -5.86 | 8.65 | 2.29 | -1.29 |
| 95 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.57 | -8.14 | 14.44 | 2.03 | -1.03 |
| 96 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 1.56 | -21.43 | 13.76 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 97 | SMU | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.15 | -33 | 9.19 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
| 98 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.97 | -16.29 | 6.09 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.87 | -10.38 | 12.76 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 100 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-6-1 | 0.12 | 0.8 | -14.25 | 6.44 | 1.65 | -0.65 |
| 101 | Pacific | Big West | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.33 | -21.38 | 14.63 | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| 102 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.18 | -12.67 | 13.52 | 1.64 | -1.64 |
| 103 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-6-1 | 0 | -2.32 | -18 | 7.03 | 0.63 | -0.63 |
| 104 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.53 | -22.71 | 8.39 | 0.92 | -0.92 |
| 105 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.55 | -21 | 12.47 | 0.67 | -0.67 |
| 106 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.9 | -30.29 | 15.18 | 0.16 | -0.16 |