Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.089158+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 25.5 | 14.25 | 12.79 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 2 | Houston | Southwest | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.03 | 18.62 | 9.46 | 6.37 | 1.63 |
| 3 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.42 | 22.44 | 13.57 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.33 | 29.89 | 11.18 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 5 | Colorado | Big 8 | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 23.09 | 8.9 | 15.67 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 6 | Virginia | ACC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.8 | 31.75 | 9.29 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 7 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.69 | 20.88 | 11.21 | 6.61 | 0.39 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.61 | 21 | 10.79 | 7.26 | -0.26 |
| 9 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.39 | 16.25 | 10.67 | 6.31 | 0.69 |
| 10 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1-2 | 0.62 | 22.25 | 24.62 | 14.54 | 7.41 | -2.41 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.13 | 11.88 | 10.45 | 5.79 | 1.21 |
| 12 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.11 | 10.56 | 9.53 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 | Texas | Southwest | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22 | 16.29 | 10.91 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 14 | Auburn | SEC | 6-1-1 | 0.75 | 21.98 | 6.25 | 13.77 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 15 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 21.91 | 7 | 10 | 6.18 | 1.82 |
| 16 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 21.81 | 8.4 | 6.78 | 6.99 | 2.01 |
| 17 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 21.77 | 16.2 | 5.82 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 18 | Fresno State | Big West | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 21.34 | 13.33 | 5.55 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 19 | Clemson | ACC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.81 | 18.5 | 11.51 | 9.29 | -1.29 |
| 20 | Miami | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.19 | 20.25 | 14.6 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 21 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.92 | 15.89 | 9.64 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 22 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.72 | 12.88 | 13.87 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 23 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.63 | 11.6 | 8.4 | 8.75 | -1.75 |
| 24 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.53 | 18.75 | 10.82 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 25 | San José State | Big West | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.14 | 12.44 | 10.22 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 26 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 7.88 | 10.81 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 27 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.99 | 14.78 | 8.34 | 7.23 | -1.23 |
| 28 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 18.8 | 3 | 14.15 | 5.18 | 0.82 |
| 29 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.54 | 14.75 | 11.5 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 30 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 5-2-2 | 0.56 | 18.35 | 11.56 | 11.49 | 7.02 | -2.02 |
| 31 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 18.33 | 10.78 | 7.61 | -1.61 |
| 32 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.21 | 5.1 | 8.88 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 33 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 9 | 9.05 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 34 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.67 | 16.75 | 12.38 | 6.58 | -1.58 |
| 35 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.52 | 6.11 | 8.23 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 36 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.5 | 13.78 | 3.89 | 7.36 | -1.36 |
| 37 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.86 | 5.89 | 10.82 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 38 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.36 | -0.78 | 13.23 | 4.34 | 1.66 |
| 39 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.32 | 9.25 | 5.44 | 5.88 | -0.88 |
| 40 | TCU | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.3 | 3.12 | 9.46 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 41 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 15.27 | 8 | 15.4 | 5.52 | -1.52 |
| 42 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 15.06 | 10.25 | 10.23 | 5.77 | -1.77 |
| 43 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.84 | 6.56 | 6.14 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 44 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.82 | 5.56 | 6.8 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 45 | NC State | ACC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 13.4 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 7.38 | -2.38 |
| 46 | Alabama | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.35 | 7.25 | 13.39 | 5.85 | -1.85 |
| 47 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 13.17 | 0.12 | 10.88 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 48 | California | Pac-10 | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 13.16 | -4.56 | 13.79 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 49 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 12.81 | -4.38 | 10.6 | 3.07 | 1.93 |
| 50 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.64 | -0.44 | 12.5 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 51 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.53 | -0.67 | 10.5 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 52 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 1.25 | 11.48 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 53 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 12.16 | 1.67 | 9.03 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 54 | Maryland | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.84 | -4.22 | 14.16 | 3.38 | 1.62 |
| 55 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.75 | 3.62 | 2.17 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 56 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.43 | 5.14 | 14.66 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 57 | LSU | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.64 | -3.12 | 13.43 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 58 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -5.25 | 12.46 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 59 | Georgia | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.22 | -4.62 | 12.25 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 60 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.18 | -3.56 | 10.91 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 61 | Temple | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.1 | -5.5 | 11.36 | 2.96 | 1.04 |
| 62 | Rice | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.88 | -0.33 | 11.94 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 63 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.1 | -3 | 11.56 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 64 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.86 | -5.11 | 12.12 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 65 | Duke | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.79 | -4.11 | 11.89 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 66 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-4-2 | 0.33 | 8.72 | -2.11 | 9.02 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 67 | Pacific | Big West | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.67 | -2.33 | 5.36 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 68 | Utah State | Big West | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.67 | -2.75 | 10.88 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 69 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 8.57 | -0.38 | 10.93 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 70 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.38 | -1.7 | 12.02 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 71 | Long Beach State | Big West | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 7.94 | -10.22 | 7.47 | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| 72 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.76 | -3.44 | 13.44 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 73 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.74 | -4.22 | 14.13 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 74 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -4.12 | 14.04 | 3 | 0 |
| 75 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.63 | -3.25 | 13.89 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 76 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.38 | -6.12 | 14.78 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 77 | UNLV | Big West | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.2 | -7.6 | 5.55 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 78 | Akron | FBS Independents | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.9 | -0.9 | 7 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 79 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.79 | -2.78 | 14.46 | 3.99 | -0.99 |
| 80 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 6.78 | -12.22 | 14.98 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 81 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.78 | -1.67 | 10.77 | 4.11 | -1.11 |
| 82 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.58 | -10.38 | 6.1 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 83 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -10.78 | 5.7 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 84 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.45 | -4 | 15.98 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 85 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -5.56 | 9.2 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 86 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -7.22 | 11.07 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 87 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -10 | 14.56 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 88 | Utah | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.66 | -12.56 | 12.83 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 89 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -10.78 | 9.8 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 90 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -13.67 | 10.62 | 1.72 | 1.28 |
| 91 | Arkansas | Southwest | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.03 | -9.38 | 14.58 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 92 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -16 | 12.69 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 93 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.18 | -11.22 | 14.66 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 94 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.15 | -10.78 | 11.81 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 95 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.02 | -12.67 | 11.48 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 96 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.01 | -10.89 | 8.28 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 97 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.67 | -11.3 | 13.49 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.69 | -23.14 | 14.3 | 0.82 | 0.18 |
| 99 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.66 | -13.62 | 14.09 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 100 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.64 | -13.11 | 5.19 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 101 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.48 | -17.12 | 14.35 | 1.14 | -0.14 |
| 102 | SMU | Southwest | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.36 | -19.88 | 11.68 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.34 | -14.56 | 10.85 | 1.58 | -0.58 |
| 104 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -18.56 | 8.47 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 105 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.03 | -22.33 | 11.64 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 106 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.12 | -20 | 11 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.52 | -24.44 | 8.26 | 0.84 | -0.84 |