Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.089946+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-0-1 | 0.9 | 24.98 | 15.2 | 10.84 | 8.49 | 0.51 |
| 2 | Colorado | Big 8 | 10-1-1 | 0.83 | 23.43 | 14.08 | 13.96 | 9.53 | 0.47 |
| 3 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.17 | 22.1 | 11.9 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.1 | 30.1 | 10.18 | 9.63 | -0.63 |
| 5 | Texas | Southwest | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.99 | 18.11 | 13.03 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.67 | 23.1 | 8.96 | 9.22 | -0.22 |
| 7 | Houston | Southwest | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.48 | 19.1 | 8.69 | 7.88 | 1.12 |
| 8 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 21.77 | 15.36 | 5.65 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 9 | Washington | Pac-10 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.56 | 22.18 | 13.29 | 9.99 | -0.99 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.98 | 17.64 | 10.86 | 10.1 | -1.1 |
| 11 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.78 | 12 | 14.23 | 8.15 | -0.15 |
| 12 | Virginia | ACC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.77 | 26.3 | 9.92 | 9.05 | -1.05 |
| 13 | Miami | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.72 | 21.33 | 14.06 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 14 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.52 | 9.7 | 12.99 | 6.89 | 1.11 |
| 15 | San José State | Big West | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.48 | 16.64 | 10.95 | 9.02 | -1.02 |
| 16 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.44 | 23.1 | 9.18 | 8.93 | -0.93 |
| 17 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.39 | 15.8 | 10.56 | 7.9 | 0.1 |
| 18 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.24 | 9.64 | 9.03 | 8.27 | 0.73 |
| 19 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-2-2 | 0.6 | 20.22 | 20.1 | 15.74 | 8.82 | -2.82 |
| 20 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.16 | 7.18 | 12.67 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 21 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.89 | 14.64 | 7.71 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.84 | 7.2 | 13.64 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 23 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.84 | 14.4 | 10.43 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 | Fresno State | Big West | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.65 | 10.55 | 7.22 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 25 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.53 | 5.4 | 9.28 | 6.49 | 1.51 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.38 | 13.7 | 7.78 | 7.93 | -0.93 |
| 27 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.53 | 11 | 10.53 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.41 | 15.6 | 12.75 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 29 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.24 | 19.2 | 10.25 | 8.63 | -1.63 |
| 30 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.9 | 4.73 | 10.11 | 7.46 | 0.54 |
| 31 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 17.88 | 2.67 | 8.75 | 6.77 | 2.23 |
| 32 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.77 | 13.27 | 4.63 | 8.79 | -0.79 |
| 33 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.73 | 7.2 | 11.9 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 34 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 17.3 | 8.3 | 13.13 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 35 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 6-3-2 | 0.55 | 17.19 | 11.45 | 10.71 | 8.56 | -2.56 |
| 36 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.23 | 3.3 | 9.78 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 37 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.89 | 6.55 | 8.25 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 38 | Alabama | SEC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.71 | 11.7 | 11.44 | 8.34 | -2.34 |
| 39 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.5 | 7.55 | 5.13 | 8.53 | -1.53 |
| 40 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.05 | 1.27 | 9.9 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 41 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.01 | 8.9 | 7.4 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 42 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.97 | 3.73 | 11.71 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 43 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.48 | 8.1 | 10.15 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 44 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.38 | 5.33 | 12.72 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 45 | NC State | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.29 | 9.55 | 9.94 | 8.42 | -2.42 |
| 46 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.87 | 6.64 | 8.02 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 47 | California | Pac-10 | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 13.22 | -1.64 | 13.38 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 48 | Utah State | Big West | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 13.15 | 1.2 | 9.27 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 49 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.9 | -2 | 11.77 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 50 | Temple | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.49 | -2.7 | 9.82 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 51 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 2.6 | 10.32 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 52 | Maryland | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.56 | -4.27 | 15.31 | 4.17 | 1.83 |
| 53 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.47 | -3 | 11.85 | 4.66 | 1.34 |
| 54 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.38 | 2.1 | 2.12 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 55 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.26 | -0.7 | 14.14 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 56 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.72 | -1.7 | 13.03 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 57 | TCU | Southwest | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.66 | -1.5 | 9.6 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 58 | Long Beach State | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.46 | -7.45 | 7.13 | 3.71 | 2.29 |
| 59 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.38 | -2.27 | 9.23 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 60 | Rice | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.13 | -0.18 | 10.49 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 61 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.1 | -0.11 | 12.98 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 62 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.91 | -6.4 | 11.5 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 63 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.73 | -1.18 | 12.12 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 64 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.69 | -1.91 | 15.3 | 5 | 0 |
| 65 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.52 | -2.45 | 13.64 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 66 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.19 | -7.5 | 5.01 | 3.12 | 1.88 |
| 67 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.03 | -3.45 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 68 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.98 | -0.2 | 9.97 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 69 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.85 | -4.09 | 10.06 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 70 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.49 | -1.3 | 11.41 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 71 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.32 | -1.91 | 10.39 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 72 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.03 | -3.36 | 11.62 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 73 | LSU | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.81 | -5.8 | 13.67 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 74 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.6 | -7.9 | 13.8 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 75 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-5-2 | 0.3 | 7.58 | -2.5 | 9.4 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 76 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -7.4 | 12.6 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 77 | Georgia | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.53 | -9.1 | 14.46 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 78 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.15 | -3.09 | 13.54 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
| 79 | Duke | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.86 | -5 | 11.6 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 80 | Missouri | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -7.45 | 13.41 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 81 | Pacific | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -5.27 | 7.25 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 82 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -6.91 | 11.38 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 83 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.33 | -12.18 | 13.6 | 2.64 | 1.36 |
| 84 | UNLV | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.28 | -7.73 | 6.28 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 85 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.26 | -4.8 | 13.52 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 86 | Akron | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.63 | -2.73 | 7.35 | 4.72 | -1.72 |
| 87 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.87 | -13.82 | 14.63 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.77 | -10.27 | 6.53 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 89 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.77 | -12.4 | 10.06 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 90 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.51 | -8.64 | 14 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 91 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.14 | -8.91 | 7.11 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 92 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.12 | -11.73 | 9.55 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 93 | Arkansas | Southwest | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -11 | 15.03 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 94 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.51 | -13.2 | 12.69 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 95 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.46 | -14.6 | 13.85 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 96 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.38 | -15.5 | 12.07 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 97 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.14 | -11.09 | 10.51 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 98 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 2 | -10.08 | 12.42 | 3.58 | -1.58 |
| 99 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -13.73 | 9.71 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 100 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.13 | -19.22 | 12.06 | 1.51 | -0.51 |
| 101 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.11 | -14.7 | 14.54 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 102 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.03 | -16.36 | 6.98 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 103 | SMU | Southwest | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.17 | -21.6 | 10.78 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 104 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.35 | -19.91 | 10.15 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 105 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.45 | -20.18 | 8.97 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 106 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.56 | -26.18 | 13.23 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 107 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 1-11-0 | 0.08 | -0.64 | -21.83 | 9.35 | 1.64 | -0.64 |