Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.092613+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 11-0-1 | 0.92 | 24.76 | 16.08 | 11.32 | 10.13 | 0.87 |
| 2 | Colorado | Big 8 | 11-1-1 | 0.85 | 23.37 | 13.08 | 14.43 | 10.25 | 0.75 |
| 3 | Houston | Southwest | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.28 | 18.91 | 8.16 | 8.53 | 1.47 |
| 4 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 10-1-1 | 0.83 | 21.74 | 16.33 | 5.77 | 10.56 | -0.56 |
| 5 | Miami | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.64 | 21.92 | 14.19 | 10.7 | -0.7 |
| 6 | Washington | Pac-10 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.41 | 21.33 | 12.93 | 10.65 | -0.65 |
| 7 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-2-2 | 0.69 | 21.2 | 18.85 | 13.64 | 11.11 | -2.11 |
| 8 | Texas | Southwest | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.14 | 10.92 | 13.98 | 8.96 | 1.04 |
| 9 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.05 | 21.08 | 10.82 | 10.44 | -0.44 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.01 | 18.67 | 11.15 | 11.21 | -1.21 |
| 11 | San José State | Big West | 9-2-1 | 0.75 | 20.75 | 17.25 | 11.24 | 9.87 | -0.87 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.63 | 19.64 | 9.96 | 9.61 | -0.61 |
| 13 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.92 | 9.64 | 8.75 | 8.27 | 0.73 |
| 14 | BYU | Western Athletic | 10-3-0 | 0.77 | 19.6 | 13.38 | 12.27 | 9.39 | 0.61 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.4 | 15.92 | 13.2 | 9.99 | -0.99 |
| 16 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.38 | 20.17 | 11.62 | 10.48 | -1.48 |
| 17 | Fresno State | Big West | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.26 | 10.55 | 6.99 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 18 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.2 | 8.33 | 14.7 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 19 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 9.83 | 13.71 | 9.22 | -0.22 |
| 20 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 9-3-1 | 0.69 | 19.03 | 17.92 | 10.1 | 10.9 | -1.9 |
| 21 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.81 | 20.64 | 10.96 | 9.66 | -1.66 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.24 | 5.58 | 13.43 | 7.86 | 0.14 |
| 23 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.2 | 7.42 | 11.96 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 24 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.04 | 11.42 | 8.68 | 9.93 | -1.93 |
| 25 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 17.74 | 2.83 | 9.42 | 6.99 | 2.01 |
| 26 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 12.17 | 5.35 | 9.24 | -1.24 |
| 27 | Virginia | ACC | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 19.75 | 11.2 | 10.14 | -2.14 |
| 28 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 11.58 | 11.28 | 8.61 | -0.61 |
| 29 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 10 | 10.25 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 30 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-4-1 | 0.62 | 16.83 | 5.69 | 12.82 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 31 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 9-4-0 | 0.69 | 16.75 | 5.85 | 8.98 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 32 | Illinois | Big Ten | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.38 | 3.92 | 11.23 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 33 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 16.28 | 10.75 | 10.69 | 8.99 | -1.99 |
| 34 | Syracuse | FBS Independents | 7-4-2 | 0.54 | 16.27 | 9.85 | 11.13 | 9.79 | -2.79 |
| 35 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.24 | 4 | 10.34 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 36 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 9-4-0 | 0.69 | 16.21 | 2.31 | 8.88 | 7.24 | 1.76 |
| 37 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.29 | 7.55 | 4.96 | 8.53 | -1.53 |
| 38 | Alabama | SEC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.99 | 8.25 | 12.41 | 9.08 | -2.08 |
| 39 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.87 | 1.27 | 9.64 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 40 | NC State | ACC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.77 | 9.08 | 10.38 | 8.96 | -1.96 |
| 41 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.71 | 3.73 | 11.05 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 42 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.65 | 9.75 | 8.95 | 8.5 | -1.5 |
| 43 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.28 | 2.09 | 10.22 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 44 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.09 | 6.64 | 12.2 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 45 | California | Pac-10 | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 13.95 | -1.33 | 13.21 | 5.66 | 1.34 |
| 46 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 13.93 | 7.58 | 9.9 | 8.2 | -2.2 |
| 47 | Temple | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 13.78 | -0.73 | 9.34 | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| 48 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.56 | 4.09 | 10.27 | 6.62 | -0.62 |
| 49 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.54 | 6.64 | 7.22 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 50 | Virginia Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.48 | 1.64 | 14.43 | 6 | 0 |
| 51 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.51 | 2.82 | 2.52 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 52 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 12.32 | -1.75 | 11.71 | 5.45 | 1.55 |
| 53 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 11.87 | -3.67 | 11.33 | 4.93 | 2.07 |
| 54 | Maryland | ACC | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 11.49 | -3.92 | 15.08 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 55 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.97 | -5.18 | 11.27 | 4.06 | 1.94 |
| 56 | Long Beach State | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.36 | -7.45 | 6.99 | 3.71 | 2.29 |
| 57 | Utah State | Big West | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.29 | -2.09 | 10.12 | 5 | 0 |
| 58 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.18 | -2.27 | 9.34 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 59 | Rice | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.92 | -0.18 | 10.19 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 60 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.59 | -1.18 | 12.02 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 61 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.54 | -1.91 | 14.49 | 5 | 0 |
| 62 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -2.45 | 13.34 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 63 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.25 | -2.64 | 12.93 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 64 | LSU | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.82 | -5 | 12.38 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 65 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.77 | -3.45 | 8.51 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 66 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.76 | -4.09 | 9.72 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 67 | TCU | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.63 | -5.55 | 10.65 | 4.28 | 0.72 |
| 68 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 8.11 | -1.91 | 10.2 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 69 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.03 | -7.73 | 5.12 | 3.39 | 1.61 |
| 70 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.86 | -3.36 | 11.25 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 71 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-5-2 | 0.3 | 7.48 | -2.5 | 9.54 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 72 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.37 | -1.45 | 10.66 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 73 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.36 | -2 | 13.2 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 74 | West Virginia | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.22 | -1.91 | 10.25 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 75 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.1 | -3.09 | 12.81 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
| 76 | Duke | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.73 | -5 | 11.57 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 77 | Missouri | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -7.45 | 11.92 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 78 | Pacific | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -5.27 | 7.4 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 79 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.45 | -8 | 12.36 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 80 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.45 | -6.91 | 10.39 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 81 | Boston College | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.42 | -8.91 | 13.23 | 2.99 | 1.01 |
| 82 | Georgia | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.42 | -9.82 | 14.64 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 83 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.17 | -12.18 | 12.88 | 2.64 | 1.36 |
| 84 | UNLV | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.16 | -7.73 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 85 | Akron | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.54 | -2.73 | 7.1 | 4.72 | -1.72 |
| 86 | Pittsburgh | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.48 | -4.82 | 13.57 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 87 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.75 | -13.82 | 13.96 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.66 | -10.27 | 5.93 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 89 | Arkansas | Southwest | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.36 | -8.82 | 13.15 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 90 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.35 | -8.64 | 12.38 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.25 | -9.45 | 11.26 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 92 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.16 | -8.91 | 7.45 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 93 | Rutgers | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.02 | -11.73 | 9.14 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 94 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.95 | -13.73 | 10.33 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 95 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.09 | -11.09 | 10.1 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 96 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.95 | -10.08 | 11.64 | 3.58 | -1.58 |
| 97 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.94 | -14.55 | 13.47 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 98 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.92 | -13.73 | 9.11 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 99 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -14.55 | 11.59 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 100 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.02 | -16.36 | 6.86 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 101 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.08 | -13.82 | 14.39 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 102 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.35 | -20.18 | 8.33 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 103 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.35 | -19.91 | 9.06 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 104 | SMU | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.38 | -20.82 | 9.62 | 1.52 | -0.52 |
| 105 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.39 | -20.91 | 11.77 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| 106 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.56 | -26.18 | 12.67 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 107 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 1-11-0 | 0.08 | -0.64 | -21.83 | 9.24 | 1.64 | -0.64 |