Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.260648+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington | Pac-10 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 32.73 | 11.2 | 10.71 | 0.29 |
| 2 | Miami | Big East | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.22 | 24 | 11.51 | 10.51 | 0.49 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.6 | 19 | 14.76 | 9.75 | 0.25 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.25 | 21.55 | 12.36 | 9.78 | 0.22 |
| 5 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.01 | 23.45 | 10.69 | 10.11 | -0.11 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.9 | 22.36 | 11.55 | 9.51 | -0.51 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.61 | 16 | 10.07 | 9.87 | 0.13 |
| 8 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.48 | 14.91 | 9.63 | 9.2 | 0.8 |
| 9 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 22.36 | 9.25 | 9.62 | 9.23 | 1.77 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.15 | 14.18 | 9.25 | 9.31 | -0.31 |
| 11 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22 | 11.73 | 7.95 | 8.06 | 1.94 |
| 12 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.32 | 21.08 | 11.84 | 10.61 | -0.61 |
| 13 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.29 | 22.08 | 11.48 | 10.86 | -0.86 |
| 14 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 10.36 | 13.46 | 8.01 | 0.99 |
| 15 | California | Pac-10 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.76 | 16.36 | 10.99 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 16 | Syracuse | Big East | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.48 | 10.36 | 11.29 | 8.35 | 0.65 |
| 17 | Fresno State | Big West | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.46 | 22.67 | 6.41 | 10.33 | -0.33 |
| 18 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-1-4 | 0.55 | 20.35 | 4.36 | 8.6 | 7.18 | -1.18 |
| 19 | Colorado | Big 8 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.25 | 14 | 11.32 | 9.26 | -1.26 |
| 20 | Virginia | ACC | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.09 | 17.64 | 9.28 | 9.99 | -1.99 |
| 21 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 8-1-2 | 0.73 | 20.07 | 7.82 | 0.96 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 22 | NC State | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.85 | 7.73 | 8.65 | 7.81 | 1.19 |
| 23 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.63 | 8.82 | 6.74 | 7.84 | 1.16 |
| 24 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.32 | 13.75 | 12.74 | 9.14 | -0.14 |
| 25 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.64 | 11.82 | 12 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 26 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 18.53 | 9.17 | 12.49 | 8.07 | -0.07 |
| 27 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.52 | 17.45 | 9.28 | 9.71 | -1.71 |
| 28 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.4 | 11.18 | 10.63 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 29 | Baylor | Southwest | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.35 | 9.27 | 11.23 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 30 | Georgia | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.34 | 9.82 | 10.89 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 31 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.22 | 8 | 7.99 | 8.22 | 0.78 |
| 32 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.13 | 8.82 | 9.92 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 33 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 8-3-1 | 0.67 | 17.98 | 5.5 | 11.15 | 7.25 | 0.75 |
| 34 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.47 | 10.91 | 11.5 | 8.74 | -1.74 |
| 35 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.9 | 7.55 | 9.13 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 36 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.27 | 3.36 | 8.2 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 37 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.96 | 5.18 | 10.79 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 38 | San José State | Big West | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.95 | 6.73 | 9.26 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 39 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.91 | 6.73 | 8.92 | 8.05 | -2.05 |
| 40 | TCU | Southwest | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.89 | 1.09 | 9.76 | 5.79 | 1.21 |
| 41 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.64 | 5.67 | 11.41 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 42 | Kansas | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.14 | 6.27 | 12.42 | 7.08 | -1.08 |
| 43 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.12 | 7.18 | 11.43 | 7.72 | -1.72 |
| 44 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.56 | 3.91 | 9.92 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 45 | Utah | Western Athletic | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 12.86 | -0.08 | 9.28 | 5.97 | 1.03 |
| 46 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.85 | 0.73 | 10.97 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.68 | 0.27 | 11.68 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 48 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.62 | 0.82 | 8.35 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 49 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.14 | 0 | 8.11 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 50 | Arkansas | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.76 | -1.73 | 12.34 | 4.77 | 1.23 |
| 51 | Texas | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.7 | 4.55 | 13.02 | 7.36 | -2.36 |
| 52 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.5 | 4.18 | 11.51 | 6.67 | -1.67 |
| 53 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.47 | -3.36 | 13.2 | 4.34 | 1.66 |
| 54 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.29 | -3.18 | 10.89 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 55 | Auburn | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.05 | 1.73 | 12.13 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 56 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.9 | 1.73 | 10.36 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 57 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.5 | -2 | 11.86 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 58 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.17 | -0.09 | 11.94 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 59 | LSU | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.69 | -1.36 | 13.57 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 60 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.07 | -2 | 7.9 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 61 | Utah State | Big West | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.95 | -4 | 11.61 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 62 | Houston | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.84 | 0.82 | 14.49 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 63 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.75 | -5.64 | 12.07 | 3.83 | 1.17 |
| 64 | Boston College | Big East | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.38 | 0.09 | 13.81 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 65 | Akron | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.33 | -4.64 | 4.14 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 66 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-7-1 | 0.33 | 8.19 | 0.17 | 10.04 | 6.06 | -2.06 |
| 67 | Pacific | Big West | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 7.97 | -3.83 | 6.79 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 68 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.7 | -4.73 | 11.53 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 69 | Duke | ACC | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.68 | -4.45 | 10.61 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 70 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.39 | -1.18 | 8.87 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 71 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-7-1 | 0.33 | 6.92 | -4.42 | 13.01 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 72 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-6-2 | 0.27 | 6.87 | -1.64 | 14.27 | 5.05 | -2.05 |
| 73 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.84 | -4.82 | 12.68 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 74 | Rice | Southwest | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -4.36 | 10.05 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 75 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.74 | -5.45 | 12.33 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 76 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.7 | -2.73 | 3.95 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 77 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.37 | -10.27 | 13.88 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 78 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.14 | -11.09 | 10.17 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 79 | UNLV | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 5.81 | -12.45 | 5.23 | 2.65 | 1.35 |
| 80 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.09 | -8 | 11.88 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 81 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.95 | -4.27 | 15 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 82 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.9 | -9.91 | 11.08 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 83 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.66 | -5.64 | 12.37 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 84 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.64 | -16.36 | 13.77 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 85 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.54 | -7.09 | 13.17 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 86 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -10 | 13.12 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 87 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.23 | -10 | 11.28 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.14 | -9.55 | 7.86 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 89 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.06 | -13.27 | 12.41 | 1.95 | 1.05 |
| 90 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-9-0 | 0.25 | 3.29 | -19.42 | 11.51 | 2 | 1 |
| 91 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.57 | -11 | 10.93 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 92 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.5 | -12 | 10.71 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 93 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.04 | -11.45 | 8.36 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 94 | Temple | Big East | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2 | -13.18 | 11.79 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 95 | Maryland | ACC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.96 | -14.91 | 15.52 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 96 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.81 | -18 | 14.67 | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| 97 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.75 | -18.18 | 10.95 | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| 98 | Long Beach State | Big West | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.69 | -18.91 | 9.24 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 99 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.68 | -20.09 | 11.34 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 100 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.59 | -21.64 | 9.14 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| 101 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.06 | -13.45 | 11.85 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 102 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -14.64 | 7.75 | 1.77 | -0.77 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.16 | -15.64 | 1.53 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 104 | SMU | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.35 | -19.82 | 12.47 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 105 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.42 | -21.64 | 12.5 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 106 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.43 | -21.82 | 13.94 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 107 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.41 | -18.27 | 15.78 | 0.82 | -0.82 |