Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.257075+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-0-0 | 1 | 27.16 | 41 | 13.09 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 2 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.67 | 27.67 | 12.33 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 3 | California | Pac-10 | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.18 | 25.8 | 10.41 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 4 | Miami | Big East | 5-0-0 | 1 | 26.14 | 25 | 10.26 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 5 | NC State | ACC | 5-0-0 | 1 | 25.62 | 21 | 8.3 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 6 | Fresno State | Big West | 5-0-0 | 1 | 24.75 | 32.2 | 2.74 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.99 | 18.5 | 16.71 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.36 | 21.17 | 12.79 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 9 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.28 | 16.67 | 11.04 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.74 | 17.83 | 9.8 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.74 | 11.6 | 13.39 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 12 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.6 | 19.6 | 12.4 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 13 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.56 | 6.83 | 10.56 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 14 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.55 | 13.6 | 14.32 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 15 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.53 | 5 | 15.5 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 16 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.51 | 10.71 | 6.71 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 17 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.39 | 12 | 9.6 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 18 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.37 | 25.33 | 6.04 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.37 | 23.2 | 10.44 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 20 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.11 | 9.6 | 12.87 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 21 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.6 | 8.17 | 6.69 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 22 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.44 | 9.6 | 8.93 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 23 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.38 | 20 | 3.17 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 24 | TCU | Southwest | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.31 | 15 | 5.58 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 25 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 20.29 | 12.6 | 6.95 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 26 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 20.21 | 9.5 | 7.37 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 27 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 19.57 | 3.83 | 3.6 | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| 28 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 19.34 | 10 | 10.17 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 29 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 21.75 | 4.92 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 30 | Clemson | ACC | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 19.26 | 10.2 | 7.98 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 31 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19 | 18 | 8.68 | 6.07 | -1.07 |
| 32 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.68 | 7.29 | 10.51 | 5 | 0 |
| 33 | Duke | ACC | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 18.61 | 4.2 | 8.1 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 34 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 18.39 | 0.6 | 6.07 | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| 35 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-1-3 | 0.43 | 18.27 | 2.14 | 8.25 | 4 | -1 |
| 36 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 18.15 | 1.5 | 1.64 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 37 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.14 | 16.67 | 11.63 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 38 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.08 | 7.83 | 12.41 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 39 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.45 | 11.83 | 8.49 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 40 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 5 | 9.92 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 41 | Auburn | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 3.5 | 11.01 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 42 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.78 | 0.71 | 8.86 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 43 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.78 | 10.4 | 17.3 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 44 | Colorado | Big 8 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.69 | 22.8 | 11.62 | 4.59 | -1.59 |
| 45 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 16.61 | 10.6 | 12 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 46 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.55 | 1 | 12.81 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 47 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.25 | 2 | 8.61 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 48 | Virginia | ACC | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.89 | 6 | 11.92 | 4.11 | -1.11 |
| 49 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 2.6 | 15.48 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 50 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.44 | 3 | 9.75 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 51 | Arkansas | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.11 | -1.5 | 12.65 | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| 52 | Rice | Southwest | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.09 | 3.8 | 9.37 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 53 | San José State | Big West | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 14 | 2 | 4.58 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 54 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 2-2-2 | 0.33 | 13.56 | 6.5 | 12.18 | 3.99 | -1.99 |
| 55 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.41 | 1 | 6.2 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 56 | Texas | Southwest | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.32 | 3.25 | 17.55 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 57 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.17 | 3.67 | 14.26 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 58 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.76 | 1.83 | 10.01 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 59 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 0.5 | 11.21 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 60 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.14 | 0.33 | 14.05 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 61 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.91 | 0.57 | 6.05 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 62 | BYU | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.62 | -0.67 | 15.87 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 63 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-2-1 | 0.4 | 10.61 | -11.4 | 17.31 | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| 64 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-2-1 | 0.4 | 10.57 | -12 | 17.52 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 65 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.17 | -5.83 | 9.87 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 66 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.98 | -10.5 | 13.36 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| 67 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 9.98 | 2.8 | 1.59 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 68 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 9.45 | 4 | 14.12 | 3.49 | -1.49 |
| 69 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 9.3 | 0.2 | 12.32 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 70 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 9.29 | -0.6 | 11.53 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 71 | UNLV | Big West | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.06 | -7.33 | 0.63 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 72 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.72 | -2.2 | 13.65 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 73 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.41 | -5.6 | 14.6 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 74 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.05 | -0.33 | 16.11 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 75 | LSU | SEC | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 8.02 | -3.4 | 12.74 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 76 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.66 | 0.17 | 11.72 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 77 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 7.28 | -14.2 | 16.58 | 0.52 | 1.48 |
| 78 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 6.21 | -7.43 | 11.14 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 79 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -9 | 9.78 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 80 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -15.17 | 16.77 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 81 | Pacific | Big West | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -5.33 | 5.83 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 82 | Akron | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -5.67 | 4.06 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 83 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.39 | -15.17 | 14.44 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| 84 | Houston | Southwest | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 3.51 | -6 | 20.79 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 85 | Boston College | Big East | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 3.05 | -4.4 | 15.77 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 86 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 3.01 | -9.4 | 12.74 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| 87 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 2.89 | -10.67 | 13.48 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 88 | Maryland | ACC | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.88 | -12.2 | 17.88 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 89 | SMU | Southwest | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.61 | -12.4 | 8.65 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 90 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.54 | -13.2 | 6.16 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 91 | Temple | Big East | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.11 | -10.83 | 15.63 | 1.09 | -0.09 |
| 92 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.11 | -10.5 | 14.06 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 93 | Long Beach State | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.51 | -20.33 | 9.36 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 94 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.44 | -22.33 | 6.71 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 95 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.39 | -26.83 | 15.63 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| 96 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.1 | -14.57 | 14.08 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 97 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.69 | -25.14 | 13.08 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 98 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.11 | -11.86 | 12.02 | 1.31 | -1.31 |
| 99 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.28 | -14.83 | 11.47 | 0.89 | -0.89 |
| 100 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.29 | -15.6 | 11.78 | 0.68 | -0.68 |
| 101 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.38 | -21.29 | 3.34 | 0.84 | -0.84 |
| 102 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.5 | -19.4 | 12.48 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 103 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.55 | -19 | 15.65 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 104 | Utah State | Big West | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.69 | -22.4 | 16.05 | 0.51 | -0.51 |
| 105 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.74 | -21.4 | 20.48 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 106 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 0-5-0 | 0 | -2.75 | -22.2 | 19.13 | 0.28 | -0.28 |
| 107 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.93 | -29 | 17.78 | 0.15 | -0.15 |