Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.257475+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 27.2 | 35.33 | 15.3 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 2 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.75 | 27.86 | 8.96 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 3 | Miami | Big East | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.74 | 30 | 8.77 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 4 | NC State | ACC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.65 | 17.67 | 5.29 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 5 | Fresno State | Big West | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.17 | 29.17 | 1.33 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 23.24 | 20.29 | 14.65 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 23.11 | 20 | 14.19 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 8 | California | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.47 | 20.33 | 12.89 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.12 | 22.43 | 8.22 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 10 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.08 | 16.83 | 13.06 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 11 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.99 | 20.5 | 11.76 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 12 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.94 | 9.33 | 15.04 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 13 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.54 | 14.83 | 10.24 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 14 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.35 | 12 | 10.17 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 15 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.19 | 7.43 | 7.5 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | TCU | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.09 | 14.33 | 8.2 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 17 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.04 | 21.8 | 10.42 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 18 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 20.79 | 13 | 6.77 | 6.2 | -1.2 |
| 19 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 20.04 | 18.25 | 12.08 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 20 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-1-3 | 0.5 | 19.23 | 3.88 | 6.61 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 21 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.16 | 7.75 | 9.05 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 22 | Clemson | ACC | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 19.13 | 10.2 | 8.58 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 23 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.91 | 11.14 | 11.38 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 24 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.71 | 15 | 8.7 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 25 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.65 | 7.29 | 13.52 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 26 | Duke | ACC | 3-1-1 | 0.6 | 18.47 | 4.2 | 8.23 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.41 | 5.29 | 11.72 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 28 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.39 | 11.14 | 9.76 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 29 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.36 | 10.83 | 14.35 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 30 | Colorado | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.34 | 21.83 | 12.67 | 5.44 | -1.44 |
| 31 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.29 | 7.29 | 10.62 | 5 | 0 |
| 32 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.16 | 14.83 | 13.36 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 33 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 17.95 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 34 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.92 | 3.33 | 17.05 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 35 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.9 | 15.67 | 11.23 | 5.12 | -1.12 |
| 36 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.77 | 5 | 9.33 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 37 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.4 | 9.67 | 8.24 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 38 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.36 | 5.86 | 12.65 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 39 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 13.83 | 5.68 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 40 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.3 | 1.86 | 10.26 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 41 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 5.67 | 9.69 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 42 | Auburn | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 3.5 | 9.73 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 43 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.41 | 0.43 | 5.84 | 3.58 | 1.42 |
| 44 | San José State | Big West | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.15 | 4.5 | 5.39 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 45 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.15 | 2 | 7.87 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 46 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.02 | -1.14 | 11.78 | 3.21 | 1.79 |
| 47 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.88 | 7 | 10.45 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 48 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-2-2 | 0.43 | 15.72 | 6.86 | 12.27 | 4.75 | -1.75 |
| 49 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.67 | 13.57 | 10.99 | 5.83 | -1.83 |
| 50 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.08 | -0.67 | 7.75 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 51 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.44 | 6.29 | 7.68 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 52 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.42 | 1.86 | 14.76 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 53 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.05 | 1 | 13.53 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 54 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.54 | -1.62 | 7.43 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 55 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.37 | 1 | 6.26 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 56 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 1.67 | 13.79 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 57 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 12.91 | -4.33 | 14.88 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 58 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.75 | 3 | 12.56 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 59 | Rice | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 1.33 | 10.78 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 60 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 6.5 | 2.65 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 61 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.16 | 0.5 | 12.23 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 62 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 0.67 | 12.96 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 63 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.74 | 5.43 | 14.49 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 64 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.72 | 6.43 | 14.02 | 4.68 | -1.68 |
| 65 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.31 | 1.86 | 14.18 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 66 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 11.21 | -1 | 8.74 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 67 | Texas | Southwest | 2-3-0 | 0.4 | 11.01 | 2.4 | 17.14 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 68 | LSU | SEC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.63 | -2.33 | 12.03 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 69 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 9.63 | -0.38 | 6.97 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 70 | UNLV | Big West | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.1 | -7.33 | 0.09 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 71 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.55 | -4 | 10.45 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 72 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.41 | -7.43 | 10.47 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 73 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.38 | -9.71 | 13.2 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 74 | Akron | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.04 | -4.14 | 3.44 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 75 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 7.94 | -10 | 17.05 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 76 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.79 | 0.17 | 10.38 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 77 | Houston | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.71 | -0.17 | 17.64 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 78 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.5 | -5.17 | 13.69 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 79 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.15 | -8.67 | 13.19 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 80 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -13.17 | 13.39 | 0.72 | 1.28 |
| 81 | Maryland | ACC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -10 | 14.63 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 82 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -15.17 | 17.11 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 83 | Pacific | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.98 | -7 | 7.03 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 84 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -8.71 | 15.34 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 85 | Temple | Big East | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.84 | -8.29 | 12.21 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 86 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.76 | -11.29 | 9.21 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 87 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.46 | -19.71 | 13.13 | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| 88 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10.5 | 13.95 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 89 | Boston College | Big East | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.67 | -4.83 | 15.91 | 2.24 | -1.24 |
| 90 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.95 | -13 | 14.59 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.9 | -11.17 | 5.3 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 92 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 1.88 | -14 | 13.59 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 93 | SMU | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.73 | -15.17 | 7.96 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 94 | Utah State | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.5 | -14.83 | 14.31 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 95 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.43 | -17.17 | 17.99 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 96 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.74 | -22.43 | 7.09 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| 97 | Long Beach State | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.68 | -25.29 | 12.48 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 98 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.63 | -27.43 | 17.18 | 0.34 | 0.66 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.21 | -24.5 | 12.17 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 100 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.1 | -11.86 | 12.19 | 1.31 | -1.31 |
| 101 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.21 | -14.17 | 10.59 | 0.91 | -0.91 |
| 102 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.28 | -15 | 12.71 | 0.95 | -0.95 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.32 | -19.25 | 4.42 | 1.14 | -1.14 |
| 104 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.46 | -18.5 | 13.4 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 105 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.65 | -22 | 16.25 | 0.36 | -0.36 |
| 106 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.77 | -23.5 | 19.18 | 0.29 | -0.29 |
| 107 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.9 | -29.5 | 16.68 | 0.2 | -0.2 |