Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.257830+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.71 | 33.43 | 13.93 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 2 | Florida State | FBS Independents | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.61 | 25.75 | 9.75 | 7.24 | 0.76 |
| 3 | Miami | Big East | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.58 | 29.57 | 9.08 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 4 | Fresno State | Big West | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.18 | 28.71 | 2.46 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 23.39 | 18 | 14.33 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 23.07 | 20.29 | 14.54 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 7 | California | Pac-10 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.92 | 20.43 | 13.88 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 8 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.64 | 25.71 | 11.36 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.63 | 14.57 | 13.81 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 10 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.29 | 15.86 | 11.35 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 11 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.04 | 10.43 | 11.89 | 4.97 | 1.03 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.99 | 22.43 | 8.1 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 13 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.69 | 8.12 | 8.24 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 14 | NC State | ACC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.61 | 13.71 | 7.03 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 15 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.6 | 14.14 | 7.88 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 16 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.48 | 19.67 | 9.85 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 17 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.77 | 21.22 | 12.23 | 8.08 | -1.08 |
| 18 | Clemson | ACC | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 20.46 | 10.17 | 11.15 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 19 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-1-3 | 0.56 | 20.03 | 4.22 | 7.81 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 20 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.75 | 11.88 | 13.12 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 21 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.63 | 7.67 | 9.78 | 6.06 | 0.94 |
| 22 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.61 | 8.12 | 14.12 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 23 | Duke | ACC | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 19.42 | 4.17 | 8.36 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 24 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.34 | 15.88 | 9.04 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 25 | Colorado | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 19.19 | 20.14 | 12.95 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 26 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.14 | 10.12 | 9.88 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 27 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.94 | 13.43 | 13.36 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 28 | Virginia | ACC | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.4 | 10.25 | 11.21 | 6.33 | -1.33 |
| 29 | TCU | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.34 | 9.86 | 9.44 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 30 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.33 | 17.29 | 8.09 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 31 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.92 | 9.25 | 6.88 | 6.45 | -1.45 |
| 32 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-1-2 | 0.57 | 17.85 | 1.29 | 1.92 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 33 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 3.33 | 16.78 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 34 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.21 | 7.14 | 11.29 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 35 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.15 | 2.43 | 9.12 | 3.92 | 1.08 |
| 36 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.45 | 12.75 | 10.91 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 37 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.26 | 4.5 | 13.9 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 38 | Arkansas | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 15.99 | -1.14 | 11.92 | 3.21 | 1.79 |
| 39 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.91 | 6 | 9.49 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 40 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.82 | 3.88 | 12.86 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 41 | South Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-2-2 | 0.43 | 15.79 | 6.86 | 12.59 | 4.75 | -1.75 |
| 42 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.73 | 4 | 10.34 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 43 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.49 | 8.43 | 13.33 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 44 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.17 | 8 | 11.08 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 45 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.71 | 4.14 | 11.03 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 46 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.63 | 5.29 | 8.85 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 47 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.48 | 4.86 | 10.67 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 48 | Auburn | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.19 | 2 | 10.32 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 49 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.56 | -1.38 | 8.19 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| 50 | San José State | Big West | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.56 | 0.86 | 8.03 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 51 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.53 | 9.12 | 12.49 | 5.81 | -1.81 |
| 52 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.48 | -4 | 12.54 | 3.08 | 1.92 |
| 53 | Texas | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.45 | 7.67 | 13.33 | 4.85 | -1.85 |
| 54 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.28 | 4.25 | 15.34 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 55 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.61 | 4.25 | 6.74 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 56 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.35 | -2 | 9.44 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 57 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 0.25 | 13.68 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 58 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.81 | -2.89 | 8.92 | 3.78 | 1.22 |
| 59 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.71 | 5.43 | 13.5 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 60 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.44 | 0 | 7.99 | 4 | 0 |
| 61 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11 | 0.86 | 15.78 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.93 | 3 | 11.12 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 63 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.87 | 1.14 | 12.91 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 64 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.54 | 4 | 1.61 | 4.26 | -1.26 |
| 65 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 10.39 | -6.14 | 17.39 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 66 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 10.32 | -2.78 | 9.73 | 4 | 0 |
| 67 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 10.02 | -11.86 | 14.97 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 68 | Akron | FBS Independents | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -2.38 | 2.8 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 69 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.3 | -2.71 | 13.92 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 70 | Rice | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.23 | -1.71 | 9.14 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 71 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.17 | -2 | 10.31 | 3 | 0 |
| 72 | LSU | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.06 | -3.57 | 13.98 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 73 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.27 | -7.43 | 11 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 74 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 8.14 | -1.11 | 8.4 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 75 | UNLV | Big West | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.66 | -10 | 3.56 | 1.88 | 1.12 |
| 76 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.25 | -7.25 | 15.67 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 77 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.08 | -9.38 | 12.2 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 78 | Pacific | Big West | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -5.25 | 5.46 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 79 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.54 | -16 | 13.51 | 1.37 | 1.63 |
| 80 | Houston | Southwest | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 6.39 | -1.43 | 17.11 | 3.3 | -1.3 |
| 81 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 5.9 | -7.43 | 9.75 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 82 | Boston College | Big East | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.7 | -2.57 | 14.86 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 83 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.19 | -7.57 | 13.96 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 84 | Maryland | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.05 | -9.14 | 14.77 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 85 | Temple | Big East | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.97 | -8.29 | 12.11 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 86 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.74 | -10.29 | 14.2 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 87 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.72 | -16.86 | 18.27 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 88 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.58 | -17.86 | 15.34 | 0.52 | 1.48 |
| 89 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 4.53 | -11.62 | 11.09 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 90 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -10.5 | 13.56 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 91 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -13.38 | 9.38 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 92 | Long Beach State | Big West | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.14 | -22 | 11.35 | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| 93 | Utah State | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.16 | -12.86 | 12.72 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 94 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.03 | -16.14 | 17.7 | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| 95 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.01 | -15.43 | 6.73 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 96 | SMU | Southwest | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.92 | -17.86 | 9.07 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 97 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.69 | -22.43 | 6.82 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| 98 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.18 | -25.25 | 15.22 | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | -0.02 | -23.78 | 12.37 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 100 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 0-7-1 | 0 | -2.01 | -10.38 | 13.72 | 1.68 | -1.68 |
| 101 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.07 | -12.71 | 7.99 | 1.32 | -1.32 |
| 102 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.18 | -13.75 | 10.92 | 1.51 | -1.51 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.27 | -19 | 3.3 | 1.33 | -1.33 |
| 104 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.35 | -16.86 | 12.17 | 1.08 | -1.08 |
| 105 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 0-6-1 | 0 | -2.6 | -20.14 | 17.32 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 106 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 0-7-0 | 0 | -2.66 | -23.14 | 15.76 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 107 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.87 | -29.5 | 16.15 | 0.2 | -0.2 |