Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.429468+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-0-1 | 0.89 | 25.3 | 28.11 | 9.2 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 21.11 | 9.58 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 3 | Miami | Big East | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25 | 16.12 | 9.74 | 7.02 | 0.98 |
| 4 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.58 | 13.89 | 8.24 | 7.66 | 1.34 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.62 | 16.44 | 15.22 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 6 | Florida State | ACC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.43 | 18.11 | 14.49 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 23.16 | 28.25 | 12.52 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.86 | 24.67 | 11.48 | 8.15 | -1.15 |
| 9 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.56 | 13.33 | 10.95 | 7.14 | 0.86 |
| 10 | Boston College | Big East | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.04 | 11.89 | 9.02 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 11 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 21.84 | 10.22 | 9.35 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 12 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 21.84 | 6.5 | 11.24 | 5.08 | 1.92 |
| 13 | Kansas | Big 8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.11 | 13.33 | 10.81 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 14 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.97 | 5.6 | 11.63 | 6.45 | 1.55 |
| 15 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.89 | 21.44 | 7.83 | 8.21 | -1.21 |
| 16 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.79 | 11.44 | 10.28 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 17 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.79 | 14.11 | 13.89 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 18 | NC State | ACC | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 19.64 | 9.5 | 10.23 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.51 | 8.33 | 9.95 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 20 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.31 | 7.89 | 8.93 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 21 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.59 | 4.25 | 16.8 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 22 | Florida | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.46 | 2.12 | 13.53 | 4.45 | 1.55 |
| 23 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.04 | 4.6 | 15.43 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 24 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 15 | 10.9 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 25 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.46 | 4.9 | 10.01 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 26 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.91 | 6.44 | 10.77 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 27 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.82 | 2.5 | 9.25 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 28 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 4.67 | 11.36 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 29 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 16.32 | 11 | 12.17 | 6.94 | -1.94 |
| 30 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.24 | 3.33 | 9.01 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 31 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.24 | 13.25 | 10 | 6.61 | -1.61 |
| 32 | San José State | Big West | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.22 | 3.33 | 8.79 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 33 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.96 | 1.89 | 9.46 | 5 | 1 |
| 34 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 15.96 | 1.5 | 8.95 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 35 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.69 | 10.9 | 9.83 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 36 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 10 | 11.19 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 37 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.31 | 5 | 12.36 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 38 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 15.29 | 4.89 | 8.1 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.96 | 2.3 | 12.24 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 40 | Texas | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.88 | 1.38 | 9.62 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 41 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.88 | 9.89 | 12.56 | 6.91 | -1.91 |
| 42 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.82 | 4.78 | 16.63 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 43 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.62 | 11.22 | 8.45 | 6.97 | -1.97 |
| 44 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-3-2 | 0.44 | 14.6 | 3.56 | 14.23 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 45 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.58 | 7 | 12.04 | 5.86 | -0.86 |
| 46 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.33 | 7.44 | 8.34 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 47 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 14.18 | 2.75 | 10.23 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 48 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.16 | 6.56 | 7.73 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 49 | Utah | Western Athletic | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.58 | 1.33 | 10.49 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 50 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.19 | 3.78 | 3.37 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 51 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 8.2 | 9.41 | 7.37 | -2.37 |
| 52 | Nevada | Big West | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.8 | 1.22 | 3.88 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 53 | Rice | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.75 | 6.5 | 8.58 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 54 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.73 | 0 | 8.67 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 55 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.42 | -0.11 | 8.17 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 56 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.26 | 1.6 | 11.9 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 57 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 12.16 | -1.1 | 10.69 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 58 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12 | -2.44 | 11.56 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 59 | California | Pac-10 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.82 | 4 | 14.85 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 60 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.67 | 3.67 | 13.86 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 61 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 10.27 | -4 | 11.07 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 62 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -2.62 | 9.19 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 63 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.72 | -1.44 | 13.8 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 64 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.99 | -3.44 | 12.94 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 65 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.94 | -4.56 | 15.04 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 66 | Utah State | Big West | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.9 | -3.33 | 11.81 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 67 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.81 | -5.33 | 12.46 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 68 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.54 | -6.67 | 10.84 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 69 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.36 | -9.56 | 14.12 | 2.04 | 1.96 |
| 70 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.35 | -8.89 | 11.08 | 2.36 | 1.64 |
| 71 | SMU | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.31 | -5.33 | 7.43 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 72 | New Mexico State | Big West | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.1 | -7.44 | 6.45 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 73 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.07 | -4.4 | 13.82 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 74 | UNLV | Big West | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 7.92 | -12.67 | 8.28 | 2.09 | 1.91 |
| 75 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.87 | -6.2 | 16.52 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 76 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.87 | -3.4 | 10.26 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 77 | Houston | Southwest | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.87 | -2.25 | 10.49 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 78 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.46 | -2.12 | 4.54 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 79 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 7.46 | 0.11 | 6.43 | 4.53 | -1.53 |
| 80 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.23 | -6.12 | 14.08 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 81 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -4.11 | 12.34 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 82 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.24 | -6.33 | 14.56 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 83 | Pacific | Big West | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -3.33 | 7.7 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 84 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -7.56 | 10.15 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 85 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 5.36 | -0.89 | 11.7 | 4.31 | -2.31 |
| 86 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.28 | -6.8 | 10.9 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 87 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.3 | -6.22 | 13.85 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 88 | TCU | Southwest | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 3.73 | -10.44 | 12.96 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 89 | Duke | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.54 | -6.33 | 12.39 | 3.25 | -1.25 |
| 90 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.54 | -6.33 | 11.55 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 91 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.17 | -8.78 | 12.79 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 92 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.98 | -14.22 | 13.97 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 93 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.86 | -18.11 | 16.65 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 94 | Maryland | ACC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.78 | -10.3 | 14.84 | 3 | -1 |
| 95 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.6 | -18.56 | 5.7 | 0.68 | 1.32 |
| 96 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.38 | -15.1 | 9.98 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 97 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.33 | -15 | 7.42 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 98 | LSU | SEC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.81 | -8.22 | 16.73 | 2.46 | -1.46 |
| 99 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.81 | -8.11 | 13.2 | 2.66 | -1.66 |
| 100 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.67 | -9.56 | 12.63 | 2.84 | -1.84 |
| 101 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.56 | -11.11 | 14.25 | 2.22 | -1.22 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.43 | -18.22 | 15.76 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 103 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.41 | -9.7 | 8.87 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 104 | Temple | Big East | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.12 | -19.78 | 12.33 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 105 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.1 | -22.62 | 13.75 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 106 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.03 | -17.8 | 11.2 | 1 | 0 |
| 107 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | -0.23 | -31.11 | 7.05 | 0.25 | 0.75 |