Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.428731+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.34 | 18.14 | 14.55 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 25.83 | 30.43 | 10.13 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.56 | 21.25 | 10.26 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 4 | Miami | Big East | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.37 | 16.71 | 10.15 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 5 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 25.23 | 15.57 | 9.92 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 6 | Boston College | Big East | 6-0-1 | 0.86 | 25.19 | 16.43 | 9.25 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 7 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.65 | 9.86 | 8.51 | 5.56 | 1.44 |
| 8 | Florida State | ACC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 23.08 | 15 | 15.93 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.32 | 24.38 | 7.27 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 10 | Kansas | Big 8 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.25 | 22 | 9.75 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 11 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.13 | 10 | 12.52 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 12 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1-1 | 0.71 | 21.84 | 20.57 | 11.77 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 13 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.69 | 12.29 | 7.91 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 14 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.63 | 23.17 | 9.92 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 15 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.33 | 6.33 | 18.61 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 16 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 3.5 | 13.66 | 3.43 | 1.57 |
| 17 | Penn State | FBS Independents | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.8 | 18.5 | 11.19 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 18 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 8.25 | 13.43 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 19 | Virginia | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 17.88 | 7.09 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 20 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 9.38 | 10.01 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 21 | NC State | ACC | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19 | 7.89 | 10.24 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 22 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.93 | 3.75 | 13.36 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 23 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.71 | 15.29 | 10.72 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 24 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.43 | 9 | 11.95 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 25 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.15 | 3.5 | 8.11 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 26 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 18.07 | 12 | 14.82 | 6.01 | -2.01 |
| 27 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.96 | 9.57 | 8.64 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 28 | San José State | Big West | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.44 | 4.29 | 8.52 | 4.14 | 0.86 |
| 29 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 17.03 | 2.75 | 7.75 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 30 | Nevada | Big West | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 16.58 | 2.43 | 5.27 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 31 | Florida | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 1.83 | 12.83 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 32 | Texas | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.13 | 1.5 | 10.59 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 33 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-2-2 | 0.43 | 15.98 | 4.43 | 14.64 | 4.23 | -1.23 |
| 34 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 15.53 | 4.33 | 11.48 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 35 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.48 | 5.5 | 7.94 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 36 | Clemson | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.25 | 8.43 | 11.49 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 37 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.01 | 1.25 | 11.63 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 38 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.01 | 9.71 | 9.87 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 39 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.93 | 6.43 | 12.69 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 40 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.89 | 6 | 12.45 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 41 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.58 | 9.14 | 7.37 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 42 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.46 | 4.43 | 8.44 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 43 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.38 | 5.29 | 8.21 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 44 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.13 | 0.57 | 14.45 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 45 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.12 | 0.71 | 13.49 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 46 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.95 | 1.86 | 8.39 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 47 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 13.9 | 9 | 13.72 | 5.15 | -2.15 |
| 48 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.79 | 1 | 12.02 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 49 | Baylor | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.56 | 7.38 | 12.39 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 50 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 13.46 | 4.57 | 1.68 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 51 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.43 | 8.5 | 10.21 | 6.1 | -2.1 |
| 52 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.36 | 7.88 | 11.69 | 5.03 | -1.03 |
| 53 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.91 | 0 | 9.33 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 54 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 12.82 | -0.5 | 8.76 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.43 | -3 | 12.55 | 3 | 1 |
| 56 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.42 | 2 | 11.68 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 57 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.08 | -4.86 | 11.92 | 2.61 | 1.39 |
| 58 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.05 | 0.25 | 12.19 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 59 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.66 | -4.29 | 9.73 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 60 | California | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.62 | 2.86 | 15.74 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 61 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.25 | -6.29 | 8.01 | 2.32 | 1.68 |
| 62 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.94 | 0.86 | 16.27 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 63 | Rice | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.81 | 3 | 9.35 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 64 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.34 | -4.67 | 9.27 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 65 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.2 | -5.25 | 13.07 | 2.74 | 1.26 |
| 66 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.98 | -1 | 15.85 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 67 | New Mexico State | Big West | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -4.62 | 5.55 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 68 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.44 | -0.71 | 8.12 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 69 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.2 | -2.14 | 15.08 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 70 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.59 | -3.86 | 11.22 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 71 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 2-4-1 | 0.29 | 8.56 | 1.71 | 10.58 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 72 | Houston | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.32 | 0.67 | 12.7 | 3.08 | -1.08 |
| 73 | SMU | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.15 | -5.57 | 4.86 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 74 | UNLV | Big West | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.83 | -11.14 | 7.16 | 1.74 | 1.26 |
| 75 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.72 | -4 | 13.11 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 76 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.61 | -6.62 | 17.1 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 77 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.41 | -4.62 | 9.58 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 78 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.18 | -6.25 | 8.96 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 79 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 6.29 | -0.57 | 7.68 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| 80 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -8.83 | 2.28 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 81 | Duke | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.31 | -5.71 | 12.26 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 82 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.23 | -8.29 | 17.2 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 83 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.12 | -7 | 12.57 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 84 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.06 | -8.86 | 13.92 | 2 | 0 |
| 85 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -11.86 | 16.3 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 86 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.84 | -2.75 | 12.46 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 87 | Utah State | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.82 | -12.71 | 15.3 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 88 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.57 | -12.57 | 14.33 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| 89 | Pacific | Big West | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.47 | -4.12 | 8.5 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 90 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.36 | -18.43 | 16.21 | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| 91 | Maryland | ACC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.21 | -6 | 14.58 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 92 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.14 | -7.62 | 11.52 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 93 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.12 | -20.71 | 7.33 | 0.38 | 1.62 |
| 94 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -15.5 | 7.46 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 95 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -16.25 | 8.23 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 96 | LSU | SEC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 2.19 | -3.14 | 16.14 | 2.88 | -1.88 |
| 97 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 2.12 | -3.57 | 13.4 | 2.8 | -1.8 |
| 98 | TCU | Southwest | 1-5-1 | 0.14 | 1.82 | -14.29 | 12.84 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 99 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.38 | -10.14 | 13.39 | 1.72 | -0.72 |
| 100 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.37 | -10.86 | 14.29 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 101 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.3 | -8.14 | 13.95 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 102 | Temple | Big East | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.94 | -17.86 | 12.79 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 103 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-6-1 | 0.12 | 0.92 | -19 | 17.32 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 104 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.82 | -10.75 | 11.27 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 105 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.38 | -15.12 | 11.93 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 106 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | -0.01 | -32.12 | 5.26 | 0.26 | 0.74 |
| 107 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.72 | -25.5 | 14.21 | 0.22 | -0.22 |