Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.598865+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.8 | 18.5 | 14.96 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.77 | 27.67 | 13.4 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.57 | 40.75 | 10.7 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.56 | 23.67 | 12.74 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.18 | 14.5 | 12.98 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 6 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.14 | 14.75 | 13.21 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 7 | Miami | Big East | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.13 | 13.67 | 12.94 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 3-0-0 | 1 | 26.63 | 16.33 | 9.52 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 26.43 | 29.5 | 6.26 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 10 | California | Pac-10 | 4-0-0 | 1 | 26.38 | 28.25 | 6.34 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 11 | Virginia | ACC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 26.28 | 27 | 6.74 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 12 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-0-1 | 0.75 | 26.26 | 11.25 | 10.4 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.9 | 20.5 | 4.99 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 14 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.86 | 9.5 | 8.61 | 2.76 | 1.24 |
| 15 | Auburn | SEC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.82 | 16.75 | 6.38 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 16 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-0-0 | 1 | 25.66 | 26.33 | 4.46 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 17 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.5 | 17.5 | 4.66 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 18 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.36 | 30.25 | 1.75 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 19 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-0-0 | 1 | 24.77 | 14 | 2 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 20 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 23.71 | 8.33 | -1.65 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 21 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.97 | 15 | 11.94 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 22 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 21.33 | 12.25 | 13.06 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 23 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.76 | 16.75 | 11.13 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 24 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.64 | 24.25 | 9.19 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 25 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.14 | 22 | 7.28 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 26 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 25.5 | 4.93 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 27 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.71 | 12 | 7.73 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 28 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 19.67 | 22.33 | 15.19 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 29 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.6 | 8.75 | 9.06 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 30 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 19.53 | 7.33 | 22.79 | 2.16 | -0.16 |
| 31 | Rice | Southwest | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.51 | 9 | 8.68 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 32 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 19.26 | 14.33 | 18.35 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 33 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.83 | 14.67 | 14.31 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 34 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.75 | 13 | 8.17 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 35 | NC State | ACC | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.72 | 3.33 | 13.42 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 36 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.53 | 14 | 5.63 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 37 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 18.09 | 4.75 | 2.54 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 38 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.51 | 3 | 14.19 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 39 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 9.33 | 4.4 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 40 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 17.27 | -3.75 | 14.56 | 1.72 | 1.28 |
| 41 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 16 | 4 | 4.33 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 42 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 15.78 | 10.33 | -4.66 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 43 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 15.38 | 0 | 4.09 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 44 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 15.22 | -9 | 16.6 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| 45 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 15.16 | -0.67 | 10.46 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| 46 | Colorado | Big 8 | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 15.01 | 9 | 14.09 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 47 | USC | Pac-10 | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 14.56 | 12.5 | 16.3 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 48 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 14.29 | -3.33 | 9.68 | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| 49 | Clemson | ACC | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 14.17 | -14.67 | 16.38 | 0.44 | 1.56 |
| 50 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 14.06 | 5.5 | 10.01 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 51 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 14.02 | 4.75 | 17.22 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 52 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.99 | 7 | 7.46 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 53 | Nevada | Big West | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.9 | 13.75 | 2.95 | 2.92 | -0.92 |
| 54 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.8 | 6.75 | 5.84 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 55 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 3.75 | 8.44 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 56 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.15 | -3.25 | 8.04 | 1.74 | 0.26 |
| 57 | Utah | Western Athletic | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.99 | -6.75 | 11.74 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 58 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -10.25 | 12.91 | 0.48 | 1.52 |
| 59 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -3 | 12.11 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 60 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.38 | -9.75 | 7.1 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 61 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 9.73 | -10.5 | 13.02 | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 9.69 | 3.33 | 8.95 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 63 | Boston College | Big East | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 9.33 | 11.67 | 16.04 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 64 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 8.06 | 4.67 | 6.15 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 65 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.84 | 0 | 23.12 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 66 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.61 | -3.33 | 15.82 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 67 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.6 | -5 | 20.18 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 68 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 7.35 | 2 | 11.21 | 2.13 | -1.13 |
| 69 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.13 | -2.67 | 7.54 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 70 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 7.11 | 1.25 | 10.16 | 2.12 | -1.12 |
| 71 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 6.78 | 3.5 | 17.3 | 2.27 | -1.27 |
| 72 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.75 | -7.67 | 9.98 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 73 | SMU | Southwest | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.56 | -2 | 17.82 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 74 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 6.54 | 0.25 | 8.71 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 75 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.51 | -10 | 10.17 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 76 | Utah State | Big West | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 6.45 | -0.25 | 13.68 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 77 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.24 | -12.67 | 17.47 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 78 | Louisiana | Big West | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -6.67 | 9.88 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 79 | TCU | Southwest | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -12.33 | 8.2 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 80 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 5.98 | -2 | 16.34 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 81 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -25.67 | 14.15 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| 82 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -24.33 | 20.07 | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| 83 | Temple | Big East | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -35.67 | 10.24 | 0.16 | 0.84 |
| 84 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -14.33 | 8.67 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 85 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 5.53 | -3.5 | 16.85 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 86 | Pacific | Big West | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.06 | -9 | 8.42 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 87 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.62 | -9.25 | 15.31 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 88 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.55 | -12.75 | 21.88 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 89 | UNLV | Big West | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.49 | -7.5 | 13.28 | 1.35 | -0.35 |
| 90 | Georgia | SEC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.48 | -9 | 16.73 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 91 | Duke | ACC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.4 | -13.25 | 23.14 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 92 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.36 | -7 | 8.14 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 93 | Kansas | Big 8 | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -10.25 | 11.91 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 94 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -17.5 | 15.96 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 95 | LSU | SEC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -17 | 16.12 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 96 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -21.25 | 19 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| 97 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -16 | 8.27 | 0.34 | 0.66 |
| 98 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -9 | 9.53 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 99 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-3-0 | 0 | -2.36 | -12 | 20.27 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| 100 | San José State | Big West | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.39 | -13.5 | 21.56 | 0.99 | -0.99 |
| 101 | Maryland | ACC | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.62 | -15.75 | 23.56 | 1.15 | -1.15 |
| 102 | Texas | Southwest | 0-2-1 | 0 | -2.72 | -17.67 | 24.42 | 0.41 | -0.41 |
| 103 | Houston | Southwest | 0-3-0 | 0 | -2.82 | -25.67 | 12.22 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| 104 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.89 | -26.25 | 14.01 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| 105 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-3-0 | 0 | -3.15 | -34 | 15.93 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| 106 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 0-3-0 | 0 | -3.52 | -44.67 | 22.09 | 0 | 0 |