Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.779220+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 32.57 | 12.74 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 26.22 | 11.58 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 3 | Utah | Western Athletic | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.21 | 27.38 | 8.29 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 4 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 7-0-1 | 0.88 | 24.91 | 14.38 | 9.1 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 8-0-0 | 1 | 24.68 | 18.75 | 7.11 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0-0 | 1 | 24.25 | 10 | 7.19 | 6.51 | 1.49 |
| 7 | Colorado | Big 8 | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 23.28 | 15.88 | 14.06 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 8 | Florida State | ACC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.98 | 21.86 | 14.75 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 9 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.77 | 10.38 | 13.82 | 5.71 | 1.29 |
| 10 | Florida | SEC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.43 | 32.71 | 9.85 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 11 | Miami | Big East | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.39 | 23.29 | 11.13 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 12 | Duke | ACC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.13 | 14 | 8.29 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 13 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.11 | 23.78 | 5.58 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 14 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.35 | 8.14 | 9.43 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 15 | Virginia | ACC | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.33 | 18.14 | 5.92 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 16 | Nevada | Big West | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 20.47 | 11.5 | 0.52 | 5.84 | 1.16 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.24 | 12.67 | 11.17 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 18 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.43 | 4.67 | 10.31 | 5.41 | 1.59 |
| 19 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.35 | 12.5 | 9.83 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 20 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.3 | 10.62 | 11.38 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 21 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.18 | 10.22 | 6.39 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 22 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 13.12 | 9.67 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 23 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 7.88 | 11.63 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 24 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 8.88 | 11.06 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 25 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.94 | 10.29 | 15.42 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 26 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.56 | 7.71 | 14 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 27 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.11 | 9.88 | 3.69 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 28 | NC State | ACC | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.77 | 7.29 | 7.83 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 29 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 8.89 | 12.03 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 30 | Boston College | Big East | 4-2-1 | 0.57 | 17.35 | 8.86 | 12.03 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 31 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 12.78 | 9.07 | 6.79 | -0.79 |
| 32 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 6.11 | 12.82 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 33 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-2-2 | 0.5 | 16.98 | 3.5 | 13.12 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 34 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.81 | 16.12 | 13.07 | 7.19 | -2.19 |
| 35 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 16.79 | 5.75 | 3.65 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 36 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.3 | 3.75 | 15.92 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 37 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.29 | 9.25 | 12.38 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 38 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.25 | 7.5 | 13.15 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 39 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.2 | 9.25 | 11.68 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 40 | Kansas | Big 8 | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.78 | 13.5 | 6.24 | 6.44 | -1.44 |
| 41 | Texas | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 4 | 11.2 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 42 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.4 | 4.75 | 7.69 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 43 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 15.35 | 11.12 | 13.23 | 5.82 | -1.82 |
| 44 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.3 | 4 | 9.11 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 45 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 15.07 | 3.25 | 6.79 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 46 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.54 | 5.89 | 12.36 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 47 | TCU | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.22 | 0 | 10.81 | 4 | 1 |
| 48 | Georgia | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.14 | 3.33 | 10.5 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 49 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.98 | 2.89 | 10 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 50 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.35 | 6 | 14.45 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 51 | Pacific | Big West | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 13.25 | -0.62 | 5.85 | 3.89 | 1.11 |
| 52 | UNLV | Big West | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 12.87 | -0.88 | 3.21 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 53 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-3-1 | 0.5 | 12.46 | -2 | 12.92 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 54 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.31 | 0.62 | 16.27 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 55 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.76 | -1.25 | 10.38 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 56 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.55 | -5.75 | 16.68 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 57 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.54 | 0.78 | 11.47 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 58 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.28 | -3 | 10.46 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 59 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 10.16 | 3 | 13.58 | 4.75 | -1.75 |
| 60 | Louisiana | Big West | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 10.14 | -1.88 | 4.58 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 61 | Rice | Southwest | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.67 | -0.71 | 12.11 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 62 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.62 | 1.38 | 14.62 | 4.31 | -1.31 |
| 63 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 9.34 | 1 | 13.16 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 64 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.25 | -2.67 | 11.53 | 4 | 0 |
| 65 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.17 | -3.11 | 11.61 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 66 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.79 | -4.33 | 11.98 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 67 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.63 | -3.25 | 7.82 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 68 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.49 | -7.38 | 13.88 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 69 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 8.39 | 2.11 | 11 | 4.82 | -1.82 |
| 70 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-4-1 | 0.38 | 8.38 | -7.62 | 12.21 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 71 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 8.06 | -1.22 | 8.6 | 4.23 | -1.23 |
| 72 | Clemson | ACC | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.82 | -2.38 | 13.31 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 73 | California | Pac-10 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.81 | -2.25 | 9.63 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 74 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.47 | -3.25 | 6.93 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 75 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.36 | -6.67 | 15.07 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 76 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.35 | -5.5 | 14.55 | 3 | 0 |
| 77 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 7.24 | -8.12 | 15.38 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 78 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.82 | -1.33 | 8.04 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 79 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-5-0 | 0.38 | 6.75 | -10 | 11.14 | 1.95 | 1.05 |
| 80 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-5-1 | 0.25 | 5.84 | -1.88 | 10.08 | 3.71 | -1.71 |
| 81 | LSU | SEC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.83 | -3.29 | 16.18 | 2.93 | -0.93 |
| 82 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -11.56 | 12.95 | 2 | 1 |
| 83 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -15.33 | 11.29 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| 84 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.64 | -3.88 | 13.12 | 3.17 | -1.17 |
| 85 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.39 | -5.25 | 12.11 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 86 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.28 | -6 | 11.24 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 87 | Utah State | Big West | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -10.62 | 12.81 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 88 | Temple | Big East | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -11.75 | 13.54 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 89 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -9.5 | 13.63 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 90 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -12.88 | 6.34 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 91 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -19.5 | 12.08 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 92 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.27 | -7.78 | 13.5 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 93 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.67 | -20.78 | 12.38 | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| 94 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.63 | -6.86 | 15.01 | 2.34 | -1.34 |
| 95 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.67 | -13.12 | 9.26 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 96 | SMU | Southwest | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.65 | -13.11 | 12.35 | 2.03 | -1.03 |
| 97 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.55 | -15 | 11.69 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 98 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.37 | -19.88 | 15.48 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.36 | -19.12 | 8.57 | 1.46 | -0.46 |
| 100 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.29 | -22.38 | 16.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 101 | Houston | Southwest | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.19 | -25 | 11.97 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 102 | San José State | Big West | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.15 | -26 | 12.99 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 103 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.1 | -27.88 | 13.87 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 104 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 0-7-1 | 0 | -2.16 | -14.5 | 8.65 | 1.54 | -1.54 |
| 105 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.34 | -17.5 | 10.81 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 106 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 0-7-1 | 0 | -2.37 | -16.25 | 15.62 | 0.93 | -0.93 |
| 107 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-8-0 | 0 | -2.74 | -29.88 | 10.44 | 0.26 | -0.26 |