Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.779587+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-0-0 | 1 | 25.97 | 29.25 | 12.3 | 7.2 | 0.8 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.89 | 26.4 | 12.36 | 9.33 | 0.67 |
| 3 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 8-0-1 | 0.89 | 24.95 | 15.44 | 9.75 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 4 | Auburn | SEC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.77 | 18.56 | 8.2 | 7.65 | 1.35 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 24.25 | 10.89 | 7.49 | 7.37 | 1.63 |
| 6 | Florida State | ACC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 23.18 | 23 | 13.42 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 7 | Colorado | Big 8 | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.09 | 15.67 | 13.16 | 7.31 | 0.69 |
| 8 | Miami | Big East | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 23.05 | 23 | 12.81 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 7-1-0 | 0.88 | 22.93 | 33.38 | 10.56 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 10 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.76 | 10.44 | 13.08 | 6.42 | 1.58 |
| 11 | Utah | Western Athletic | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.59 | 24.11 | 8.02 | 8.23 | -0.23 |
| 12 | Duke | ACC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.36 | 12.78 | 10.06 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 13 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.08 | 22 | 5.1 | 9.05 | -0.05 |
| 14 | Nevada | Big West | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 20.84 | 13.22 | 1.52 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 15 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.17 | 12.67 | 12.04 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 16 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.74 | 11 | 7.39 | 7.16 | 0.84 |
| 17 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.74 | 11.89 | 9.75 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 18 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.71 | 12.78 | 9.29 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 19 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.63 | 5.6 | 9.45 | 6.25 | 1.75 |
| 20 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 8.38 | 14.65 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 21 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.44 | 11.25 | 12.54 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 22 | Virginia | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 15.5 | 8.3 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 23 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.69 | 4.5 | 10.83 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 24 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 18.53 | 10.11 | 2.86 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 25 | NC State | ACC | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 18.46 | 6.62 | 8.62 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 26 | Boston College | Big East | 5-2-1 | 0.62 | 18.33 | 10.38 | 11.9 | 6.24 | -1.24 |
| 27 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.19 | 10.1 | 12.54 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 28 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.91 | 7.9 | 11.87 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 29 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 14.78 | 11.85 | 7.91 | -1.91 |
| 30 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 5.78 | 16.59 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 31 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 12.78 | 9.04 | 6.79 | -0.79 |
| 32 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 5.56 | 12.68 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 33 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.19 | 7.44 | 11 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 34 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 6.67 | 10.78 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 35 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 8.67 | 10.3 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 36 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.27 | 4.33 | 7.93 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 37 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 16.2 | 9.25 | 11.76 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 38 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 14.73 | 3.11 | 5.02 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 39 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.64 | 4.78 | 13.63 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 40 | Kansas | Big 8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.45 | 8.89 | 8.43 | 6.37 | -1.37 |
| 41 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-3-1 | 0.56 | 14.36 | 0.11 | 12.07 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 42 | TCU | Southwest | 5-3-0 | 0.62 | 14.22 | 0 | 10.81 | 4 | 1 |
| 43 | Georgia | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.07 | 3.33 | 11.28 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 44 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-3-2 | 0.44 | 13.92 | 0.67 | 13.56 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 45 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.84 | 2.89 | 9.95 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 46 | Texas | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.66 | 0.89 | 12.8 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 47 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.64 | 2.22 | 8.92 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 48 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 13.51 | 7.56 | 13.15 | 6.01 | -2.01 |
| 49 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.42 | 1.22 | 9.42 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 50 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 13.36 | 6 | 14.12 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 51 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.03 | 0.89 | 8.81 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 52 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 1.5 | 12.83 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 53 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 12.35 | 0.62 | 16.11 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 54 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 12.05 | -3.22 | 15.33 | 3.72 | 1.28 |
| 55 | UNLV | Big West | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.71 | -0.89 | 3.95 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 56 | Pacific | Big West | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.57 | -1.89 | 5.47 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 57 | Rice | Southwest | 4-4-0 | 0.5 | 11.55 | 0.25 | 10.75 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 58 | Louisiana | Big West | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.51 | -1.56 | 5.38 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 59 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.38 | 3.22 | 13.36 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 60 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.59 | 0.78 | 11.29 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 61 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 10.12 | 2.1 | 12.34 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 62 | Clemson | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.69 | -0.89 | 13.38 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 63 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 9.41 | -0.8 | 8.88 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 64 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.35 | 1 | 7.47 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 65 | Maryland | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.11 | -2.89 | 11.47 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 66 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.85 | -4.33 | 12.25 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 67 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 8.82 | 0.33 | 11.05 | 4.56 | -1.56 |
| 68 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 8.63 | 1.56 | 14.51 | 4.96 | -1.96 |
| 69 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 8.22 | 0.78 | 13.07 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 70 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.13 | -3.5 | 12.42 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 71 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.82 | -5.5 | 11.96 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 72 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.36 | -4.44 | 9.76 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 73 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.33 | -6.67 | 15.03 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 74 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.19 | -7.11 | 12.39 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 75 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 7.12 | -8.56 | 13.33 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 76 | California | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -2.78 | 11.39 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 77 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.36 | -3.33 | 11.96 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 78 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.3 | -3.33 | 7.78 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 79 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -7.67 | 15.74 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 80 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -7.56 | 14.53 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 81 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -5.78 | 11.65 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 82 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -10.78 | 10.69 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 83 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -11.56 | 12.74 | 2 | 1 |
| 84 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.34 | -15.33 | 10.57 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| 85 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.18 | -17 | 10.72 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 86 | LSU | SEC | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.57 | -5.12 | 17.38 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 87 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.55 | -3.88 | 12.9 | 3.17 | -1.17 |
| 88 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-6-0 | 0.25 | 4.2 | -6 | 11.14 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 89 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.37 | -7.78 | 13.1 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 90 | Temple | Big East | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.08 | -12.33 | 13.54 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 91 | Utah State | Big West | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.06 | -11.44 | 10.22 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 92 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.97 | -12.11 | 8.6 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 93 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.9 | -10.56 | 7.1 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 94 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.62 | -20.78 | 12.28 | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| 95 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.39 | -24.56 | 12.7 | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| 96 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.92 | -9.88 | 15.37 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 97 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-7-1 | 0.11 | 0.47 | -14 | 12.38 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 98 | SMU | Southwest | 1-8-1 | 0.1 | 0.46 | -12.5 | 12.43 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 99 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.29 | -15.78 | 10.99 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 100 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.19 | -17.89 | 14.08 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 101 | Houston | Southwest | 1-7-0 | 0.12 | 0.16 | -25 | 12.22 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -18.56 | 9.03 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 103 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.04 | -21.89 | 15.71 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 104 | San José State | Big West | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | -0.02 | -23.44 | 11.8 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 105 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 0-8-1 | 0 | -2.18 | -14.89 | 9.53 | 1.72 | -1.72 |
| 106 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.31 | -16.89 | 11.49 | 0.42 | -0.42 |
| 107 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-9-0 | 0 | -2.69 | -29.22 | 9.5 | 0.36 | -0.36 |