Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.780122+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.93 | 26.44 | 13.06 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.4 | 25.45 | 10.49 | 10.23 | 0.77 |
| 3 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 9-0-1 | 0.9 | 24.89 | 15.5 | 9.89 | 8.65 | 0.35 |
| 4 | Auburn | SEC | 9-0-1 | 0.9 | 24.63 | 16.7 | 8.3 | 8.28 | 0.72 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0-0 | 1 | 24.27 | 10.2 | 8.33 | 7.91 | 2.09 |
| 6 | Florida State | ACC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.25 | 21.22 | 13.35 | 7.88 | 0.12 |
| 7 | Colorado | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.22 | 16.6 | 12.98 | 8.15 | 0.85 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.09 | 33.11 | 10.61 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 9 | Miami | Big East | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.88 | 21 | 11.32 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 10 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 22.85 | 13.9 | 11.65 | 7.75 | 1.25 |
| 11 | Nevada | Big West | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 21.08 | 14.7 | 1.74 | 7.56 | 1.44 |
| 12 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.55 | 19.73 | 6.94 | 9.59 | -0.59 |
| 13 | Utah | Western Athletic | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.51 | 21 | 8.95 | 8.74 | -0.74 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.45 | 12.1 | 11.71 | 7.92 | 0.08 |
| 15 | Duke | ACC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.33 | 11.4 | 10.65 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 20.33 | 9.33 | 15.22 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 17 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.27 | 10.27 | 8.63 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 18 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20 | 5.73 | 9.43 | 6.88 | 2.12 |
| 19 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.91 | 10.33 | 12.02 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 20 | Virginia | ACC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.71 | 16.56 | 8.59 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 21 | Boston College | Big East | 6-2-1 | 0.67 | 19.43 | 12.67 | 12.58 | 7.49 | -1.49 |
| 22 | NC State | ACC | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.16 | 6 | 9.7 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 23 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.77 | 10.55 | 11.98 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 24 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.58 | 10.27 | 10.88 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 25 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.23 | 6.8 | 15.35 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 26 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18 | 11.1 | 10.52 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 27 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.94 | 9 | 11.09 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 28 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.81 | 8.5 | 11.27 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 29 | Baylor | Southwest | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.8 | 12 | 9.45 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 30 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.79 | 11 | 9.8 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 31 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.76 | 7.9 | 11.22 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 32 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 16.94 | 8.8 | 4.28 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 33 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 16.12 | 12.9 | 12.85 | 8.28 | -2.28 |
| 34 | TCU | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16 | 2.33 | 9.43 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 35 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.94 | 0.56 | 12.17 | 4.61 | 1.39 |
| 36 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 15.74 | 3.1 | 5.94 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 37 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.08 | 4.6 | 11.01 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 38 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.08 | 3.2 | 11.97 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 39 | Texas | Southwest | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.07 | 4.3 | 11.66 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 40 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.93 | 8.89 | 14.16 | 6.45 | -1.45 |
| 41 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.87 | 7.44 | 13.6 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.74 | 9.9 | 11.75 | 7.18 | -2.18 |
| 43 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.51 | 2.8 | 8 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 44 | Georgia | SEC | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.13 | 3 | 12.93 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 45 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.07 | 1.78 | 15.84 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.42 | -1 | 13.85 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 47 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.41 | 1.55 | 12.15 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 48 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 13.11 | 0.89 | 9.05 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 49 | Kansas | Big 8 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 5.5 | 10.14 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 50 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.89 | 4.1 | 13.14 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 51 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 12.69 | -0.6 | 12.79 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 52 | Pacific | Big West | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 12.58 | -1 | 5.71 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 53 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.75 | 0.5 | 9.96 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 54 | UNLV | Big West | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 11.69 | -0.89 | 4.73 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 55 | Clemson | ACC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.57 | 0.2 | 11.7 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 56 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-4-2 | 0.4 | 11.35 | -0.6 | 12.99 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 57 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.3 | -0.1 | 11.48 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 58 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.29 | 0.18 | 8.82 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 59 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.25 | -0.5 | 11.29 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 60 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.21 | -0.5 | 10.99 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 61 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 10.48 | 4.5 | 11.87 | 6.27 | -2.27 |
| 62 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 10.13 | 1.7 | 14.22 | 5.52 | -1.52 |
| 63 | Rice | Southwest | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.93 | -0.33 | 11.26 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 64 | Louisiana | Big West | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -4.6 | 6.26 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 65 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.38 | -2.27 | 12.08 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 66 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 9.28 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 67 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 9.25 | -2.4 | 14.28 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 68 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.89 | 1 | 11.75 | 5.69 | -1.69 |
| 69 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 8.52 | -5.4 | 10.82 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 70 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.51 | -1.2 | 12.17 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 71 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.47 | 0.64 | 8.09 | 5.65 | -1.65 |
| 72 | Maryland | ACC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.85 | -5.1 | 12.25 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 73 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 7.77 | -5 | 11.58 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 74 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.72 | -4.1 | 10.01 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 75 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 7.59 | 0.33 | 10.07 | 4.58 | -1.58 |
| 76 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.5 | -6.8 | 12.07 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 77 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.56 | -3.1 | 11.57 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 78 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 6.02 | -5.9 | 9.97 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 79 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -4.22 | 7.95 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 80 | California | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.71 | -3.7 | 11.84 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 81 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.7 | -11.3 | 12.99 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 82 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.42 | -3.9 | 6.12 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 83 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-6-1 | 0.3 | 5.37 | -13.8 | 10.19 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 84 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.28 | -8.5 | 15.1 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 85 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.07 | -10.4 | 13.58 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 86 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.01 | -10 | 11.65 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 87 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.64 | -16 | 11.19 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 88 | LSU | SEC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.84 | -4.78 | 16.8 | 3.44 | -1.44 |
| 89 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.95 | -7.5 | 13.51 | 3.27 | -1.27 |
| 90 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.52 | -11.9 | 8.98 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 91 | Utah State | Big West | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -13.1 | 11.12 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 92 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.49 | -11.6 | 6.57 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 93 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.48 | -24.56 | 12.34 | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| 94 | Temple | Big East | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.44 | -14.9 | 12.8 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 95 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.18 | -16 | 8.06 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 96 | San José State | Big West | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | -19 | 10.98 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 97 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.08 | -23.7 | 12.84 | 0.73 | 1.27 |
| 98 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.65 | -9.89 | 14.31 | 2.35 | -1.35 |
| 99 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 1-8-1 | 0.1 | 0.29 | -15.7 | 12.56 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 100 | SMU | Southwest | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.19 | -13.27 | 12.42 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 101 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.07 | -18.7 | 12.74 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 102 | Houston | Southwest | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | -0.1 | -26.11 | 12.41 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 103 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.12 | -19.9 | 13.53 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 104 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.14 | -20.4 | 14.01 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 105 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 0-9-1 | 0 | -2.21 | -15 | 11.22 | 1.85 | -1.85 |
| 106 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.26 | -16.3 | 10.71 | 0.57 | -0.57 |
| 107 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-10-0 | 0 | -2.63 | -27.3 | 9.37 | 0.57 | -0.57 |