Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.780948+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 26.73 | 11.58 | 9.62 | 1.38 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 12-0-0 | 1 | 25.37 | 24.17 | 11.42 | 11.17 | 0.83 |
| 3 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 10-0-1 | 0.91 | 24.85 | 15.64 | 10.45 | 9.49 | 0.51 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0-0 | 1 | 24.45 | 9.91 | 10.08 | 8.65 | 2.35 |
| 5 | Florida State | ACC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 23.47 | 20.18 | 14.25 | 9.55 | -0.55 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 23.35 | 28.64 | 12.14 | 10.07 | -1.07 |
| 7 | Colorado | Big 8 | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.15 | 17 | 11.95 | 9 | 1 |
| 8 | Miami | Big East | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 23.06 | 20.82 | 10.68 | 10.2 | -0.2 |
| 9 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.74 | 12.82 | 10.84 | 8.21 | 1.79 |
| 10 | Auburn | SEC | 9-1-1 | 0.82 | 22.55 | 14.55 | 10.55 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 11 | Utah | Western Athletic | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.89 | 19.36 | 10.2 | 9.35 | -0.35 |
| 12 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.73 | 13.55 | 10.92 | 9.14 | -0.14 |
| 13 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.53 | 19.73 | 8 | 9.59 | -0.59 |
| 14 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.3 | 10.27 | 9.45 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Nevada | Big West | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 19.43 | 12.91 | 3.18 | 8.03 | 0.97 |
| 16 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 11 | 11.73 | 9.36 | -0.36 |
| 17 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.81 | 9.75 | 10.19 | 8.87 | 0.13 |
| 18 | Virginia | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.71 | 15 | 10.11 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 19 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.65 | 9.27 | 12.39 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 20 | Duke | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.58 | 10.27 | 11.41 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 21 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.41 | 5 | 10.56 | 7.3 | 1.7 |
| 22 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 10.45 | 10.4 | 7.93 | 0.07 |
| 23 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 10.09 | 10.34 | 7.88 | 0.12 |
| 24 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.26 | 8.27 | 10.42 | 8.04 | -0.04 |
| 25 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-3-1 | 0.64 | 17.98 | 6.55 | 14.32 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 26 | NC State | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 17.56 | 2.36 | 11.19 | 6.14 | 1.86 |
| 27 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.9 | 12.09 | 13.76 | 8.61 | -1.61 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.5 | 4.73 | 15.41 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 29 | Baylor | Southwest | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.24 | 8.36 | 9.94 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 30 | Texas | Southwest | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.24 | 6.45 | 12.11 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 31 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.2 | 6.64 | 11.28 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 32 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.19 | 5.64 | 12.12 | 7 | 0 |
| 33 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.08 | 4.45 | 12.45 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 34 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 6.36 | 10.51 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 35 | Boston College | Big East | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.69 | 8.82 | 12.44 | 8.28 | -2.28 |
| 36 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.61 | 7.18 | 13.47 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 37 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.61 | 9.55 | 11.83 | 7.89 | -1.89 |
| 38 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.58 | 7.73 | 5.73 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 39 | Georgia | SEC | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 15.3 | 6.18 | 12.19 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 40 | TCU | Southwest | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.09 | 1 | 11.3 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 41 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.64 | 11.18 | 12.35 | 8.79 | -2.79 |
| 42 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.62 | 9.73 | 12.73 | 8.16 | -2.16 |
| 43 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.51 | -0.27 | 11.61 | 5.42 | 1.58 |
| 44 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-4-1 | 0.55 | 14.05 | 2.55 | 5.89 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 45 | Kansas | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.95 | 6.55 | 9.63 | 7.15 | -1.15 |
| 46 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 13.83 | 1.08 | 12 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 47 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.41 | 1.91 | 11.56 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 48 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.35 | 1.55 | 12.01 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 49 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.93 | 0.82 | 10.6 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 50 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.57 | 0.36 | 9.24 | 5.66 | 0.34 |
| 51 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.49 | 0.18 | 10.1 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 52 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.09 | -1.82 | 14.77 | 4.93 | 1.07 |
| 53 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.35 | 0.18 | 9.38 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 54 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.19 | 1.18 | 14.23 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 55 | UNLV | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.09 | -3.82 | 8.28 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 56 | Pacific | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.08 | -2.09 | 5.19 | 4.93 | 1.07 |
| 57 | Louisiana | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 10.98 | -3.91 | 8.02 | 4.36 | 1.64 |
| 58 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.77 | -1.55 | 12.63 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 59 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.62 | -1.82 | 11.83 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 60 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 10.6 | -1.83 | 11.67 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 61 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.48 | -1.82 | 10.22 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 62 | Rice | Southwest | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.27 | 0.27 | 9.94 | 5.6 | -0.6 |
| 63 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 10.21 | 1.25 | 11.2 | 6.27 | -1.27 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-5-2 | 0.36 | 9.68 | -0.91 | 13.42 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 65 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 9.52 | 3.73 | 11.98 | 6.67 | -2.67 |
| 66 | Clemson | ACC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.36 | -2.18 | 11.49 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 67 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.04 | -3.45 | 10.92 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 68 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.89 | -5.09 | 12.27 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 69 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.73 | -6.73 | 11.41 | 3.56 | 1.44 |
| 70 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-7-1 | 0.38 | 8.37 | -3.85 | 12.73 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 71 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.32 | 0.64 | 7.3 | 5.65 | -1.65 |
| 72 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.31 | -0.09 | 12.97 | 5.47 | -1.47 |
| 73 | LSU | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.26 | -0.09 | 14.52 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 74 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.89 | -0.64 | 11.73 | 5.36 | -1.36 |
| 75 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.56 | -1.45 | 12.33 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 76 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.07 | -3.27 | 11.52 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 77 | Maryland | ACC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.85 | -5.09 | 12.75 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 78 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 6.73 | 0 | 9.21 | 5.5 | -2.5 |
| 79 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.76 | -2.91 | 11.28 | 4.89 | -1.89 |
| 80 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.3 | -3.9 | 4.98 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 81 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 5.18 | -6.91 | 10.87 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 82 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.86 | -12.82 | 14.02 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 83 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.73 | -5.55 | 13.09 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 84 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-7-1 | 0.27 | 4.71 | -12.91 | 10.2 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 85 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.56 | -5.45 | 7.59 | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 86 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -8.36 | 13.78 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 87 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -9.55 | 13.71 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 88 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.38 | -20.9 | 10.99 | 1.28 | 1.72 |
| 89 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-8-1 | 0.25 | 4.28 | -9.75 | 11.51 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 90 | Utah State | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -9.45 | 10.22 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 91 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.1 | -10 | 6.67 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 92 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.9 | -12.91 | 6.19 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 93 | San José State | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.88 | -16.09 | 10.58 | 2 | 1 |
| 94 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.84 | -17 | 10.53 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 95 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.7 | -20.91 | 11 | 1.03 | 1.97 |
| 96 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.47 | -12.91 | 11.15 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 97 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -13.91 | 9.02 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 98 | Temple | Big East | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.73 | 13.65 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 99 | SMU | Southwest | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | 0.18 | -13.27 | 13.04 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 100 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.02 | -12.18 | 12.72 | 2.37 | -1.37 |
| 101 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -17.55 | 10.9 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 102 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.27 | 12.48 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 103 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.48 | -23.55 | 8.45 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 104 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.48 | -23.27 | 13.79 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 105 | Houston | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.56 | -26.09 | 12.52 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 106 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 0-10-1 | 0 | -2.23 | -15.55 | 11.87 | 1.99 | -1.99 |
| 107 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-11-0 | 0 | -2.23 | -16.09 | 10.15 | 0.68 | -0.68 |