Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.777320+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-0-0 | 1 | 28.75 | 36.25 | 16.73 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.78 | 27.75 | 14.11 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 3 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.74 | 17 | 15.24 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 4 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.61 | 14.33 | 15.61 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.56 | 33.5 | 11.05 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 6 | Colorado | Big 8 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.5 | 24.67 | 12.74 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 7 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 27.46 | 24.33 | 13.24 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 8 | Duke | ACC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 27.11 | 21.75 | 11.8 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 3-0-0 | 1 | 26.78 | 48.67 | 6.39 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 10 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-0-0 | 1 | 26.36 | 11.75 | 10.18 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 11 | Texas | Southwest | 3-0-0 | 1 | 26.29 | 10.67 | 10.59 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 12 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 3-0-0 | 1 | 26.25 | 24 | 7.12 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 13 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-0-0 | 1 | 26.17 | 33.25 | 5.76 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.95 | 17.5 | 6.8 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 15 | NC State | ACC | 3-0-0 | 1 | 25.88 | 15.67 | 5.89 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 16 | Auburn | SEC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.54 | 19.75 | 3.98 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 17 | Alabama | SEC | 4-0-0 | 1 | 25.29 | 14 | 3.86 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 18 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-0-0 | 1 | 23.45 | 14 | -4.37 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 19 | Baylor | Southwest | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.92 | 17.25 | 7.68 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 20 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.74 | 11 | 15 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 21 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 20.4 | 15.33 | 17.1 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 22 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.24 | 22.75 | 7.6 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 23 | Georgia | SEC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.17 | 13 | 10.42 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 24 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 20.12 | 12.5 | 9.95 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 25 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.77 | 23.75 | 4.67 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 26 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 6.75 | 4.43 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 27 | BYU | Western Athletic | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.65 | 5 | 10.21 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 28 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.61 | 4.5 | 11.59 | 2.38 | 0.62 |
| 29 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 19.46 | 22.33 | 16.94 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 30 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 19.3 | 14.67 | 9.82 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 31 | Kansas | Big 8 | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 22.75 | 1 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 32 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 6.75 | 8.44 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 33 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.82 | 3 | 14.62 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 34 | Miami | Big East | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.79 | 25 | 3.53 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 35 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.73 | 21.67 | 9.81 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 36 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 18.64 | 6.67 | 19.04 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 37 | Virginia | ACC | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.88 | 5.33 | 10.95 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 38 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 17.76 | 6.67 | 10.55 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 39 | Nevada | Big West | 3-1-0 | 0.75 | 17.33 | 5.75 | -4.52 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 40 | Temple | Big East | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 3.67 | 8.51 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 41 | USC | Pac-10 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 16.32 | -2.33 | 23.53 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 42 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 15.62 | -5 | 17.73 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 43 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.61 | 2.4 | 14.04 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 44 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 14.88 | 13.5 | 11.25 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 45 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 14.8 | -2 | 9.18 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 46 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 14.01 | 4.5 | 9.81 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 47 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-1-1 | 0.33 | 13.99 | 2.33 | 10.61 | 1.63 | -0.63 |
| 48 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.98 | 4.75 | 9.44 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 49 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.72 | 6.5 | 13.53 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 50 | Toledo | Mid-American | 2-1-0 | 0.67 | 13.55 | -7 | 2.25 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 51 | TCU | Southwest | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.17 | -0.25 | 17.45 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 52 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 13.08 | -0.5 | 17.16 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 53 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.93 | -0.5 | 15.38 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 54 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.65 | -0.75 | 12.81 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 55 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 0.5 | 12.14 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 56 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.7 | -3.5 | 11.81 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 57 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.64 | -9.75 | 22.39 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 58 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.43 | -0.75 | 11.58 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 59 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 11.28 | -10 | 17.52 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| 60 | Pacific | Big West | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -9.5 | 6.46 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 61 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 10.37 | 3.67 | 19.51 | 1.86 | -0.86 |
| 62 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-1-1 | 0.33 | 10.28 | -7.67 | 12.38 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 63 | UNLV | Big West | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.25 | -1.5 | 1.73 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 64 | LSU | SEC | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 10.24 | 3.67 | 22.02 | 1.75 | -0.75 |
| 65 | Maryland | ACC | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 10.2 | -7.5 | 16 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 66 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 9.57 | 2.33 | 10.22 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 67 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-2-0 | 0.5 | 9.43 | -21.25 | 16.5 | 0.51 | 1.49 |
| 68 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 9.4 | 1.67 | 17.08 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 69 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 8.87 | 9 | 11.5 | 2.23 | -1.23 |
| 70 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 8.58 | -0.33 | 14.29 | 1.48 | -0.48 |
| 71 | Clemson | ACC | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 8.44 | 0.33 | 11.94 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 72 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.62 | -1 | 12.34 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 73 | Boston College | Big East | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 7.32 | -0.33 | 19.99 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 74 | Rice | Southwest | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.8 | -0.33 | 9.97 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 75 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6.47 | -5.67 | 13.05 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 76 | Arkansas | SEC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 6.22 | -0.5 | 14.74 | 1.92 | -0.92 |
| 77 | California | Pac-10 | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 6 | -4 | 14.68 | 1.14 | -0.14 |
| 78 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -13.67 | 14.46 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 79 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -17 | 10.23 | 0.35 | 0.65 |
| 80 | Missouri | Big 8 | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -9.67 | 7.45 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 81 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-2-0 | 0.33 | 5.31 | -7.67 | 9.81 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 82 | Tennessee | SEC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 5.25 | -4.5 | 18.54 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 83 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 5.24 | -0.25 | 15.21 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 84 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.74 | -6 | 10.19 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.47 | -6.25 | 9.28 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 86 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.39 | -9.5 | 11.84 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 87 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.35 | -9.5 | 9.71 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 88 | Utah State | Big West | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.33 | -9.25 | 14.45 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 89 | Louisiana | Big West | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.24 | -7.5 | 2.61 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 90 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 4.03 | -18 | 17.95 | 0.26 | 0.74 |
| 91 | SMU | Southwest | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -13 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 92 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -26 | 19.59 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| 93 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -15.5 | 2.55 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 94 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -21.25 | 8.05 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
| 95 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -7.25 | 7.61 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| 96 | San José State | Big West | 1-3-0 | 0.25 | 2.88 | -23.5 | 16.82 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 97 | West Virginia | Big East | 1-4-0 | 0.2 | 2.83 | -14.6 | 15.43 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 98 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 0-4-0 | 0 | -1.74 | -6.5 | 12.63 | 1.6 | -1.6 |
| 99 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-3-0 | 0 | -1.82 | -8.67 | 3.53 | 0.56 | -0.56 |
| 100 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.26 | -14 | 8.04 | 0.69 | -0.69 |
| 101 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 0-2-1 | 0 | -2.31 | -13.33 | 13.98 | 0.47 | -0.47 |
| 102 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-3-1 | 0 | -2.31 | -14.75 | 11.58 | 0.72 | -0.72 |
| 103 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.74 | -22 | 14.01 | 0.28 | -0.28 |
| 104 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.88 | -24.75 | 16.55 | 0.12 | -0.12 |
| 105 | Houston | Southwest | 0-4-0 | 0 | -2.88 | -28.75 | 12.15 | 0.04 | -0.04 |
| 106 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-3-0 | 0 | -3.31 | -39 | 18.22 | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| 107 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 0-4-0 | 0 | -3.35 | -35.75 | 22.2 | 0.17 | -0.17 |