Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.778463+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado | Big 8 | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.37 | 21.67 | 13.14 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 2 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0-0 | 1 | 26.22 | 29.83 | 11.17 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 7-0-0 | 1 | 26.09 | 26.29 | 11.05 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 4 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 13.86 | 11.24 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 5 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 6-0-0 | 1 | 25.34 | 18 | 8.8 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 6 | Auburn | SEC | 7-0-0 | 1 | 25.05 | 19 | 7.25 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 7 | Duke | ACC | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.98 | 21 | 6.47 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 8 | Utah | Western Athletic | 6-0-0 | 1 | 24.96 | 26.67 | 5.49 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0-0 | 1 | 24.46 | 9.86 | 6.65 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 10 | Florida | SEC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 22.32 | 31.83 | 10.06 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22.19 | 13.86 | 10.57 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 12 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 22 | 8.14 | 11.8 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 13 | Florida State | ACC | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.89 | 19.4 | 15.12 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 14 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.75 | 13.8 | 14.38 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 15 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.63 | 15.17 | 10.78 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 16 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 13.67 | 11.27 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 17 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 21.46 | 25.71 | 4.02 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 18 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-1-1 | 0.67 | 21.22 | 10.33 | 14.17 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 19 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 8.33 | 10.73 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Miami | Big East | 4-1-0 | 0.8 | 21.15 | 22 | 10.35 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 21 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 21.01 | 13.5 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 22 | NC State | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.75 | 10.83 | 7.23 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 23 | Virginia | ACC | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.63 | 17.17 | 4.56 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 24 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-1-0 | 0.83 | 20.35 | 7.5 | 6.22 | 3.95 | 1.05 |
| 25 | Nevada | Big West | 6-1-0 | 0.86 | 20.04 | 8.57 | 0.4 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 26 | Baylor | Southwest | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.84 | 15.29 | 9.59 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 27 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.52 | 13.57 | 9.44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.32 | 6.17 | 17.11 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 29 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.25 | 18.83 | 12.79 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 30 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 18.12 | 8.83 | 13.79 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 31 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 18.06 | 11.14 | 7.66 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 32 | Texas | Southwest | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.73 | 5.67 | 13.14 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 33 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2-0 | 0.71 | 17.47 | 8.57 | 3.22 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 34 | Kansas | Big 8 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 16.83 | 5.12 | 5.06 | -1.06 |
| 35 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 3.5 | 12.54 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 36 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 16.62 | 13.33 | 14.27 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 37 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 16.12 | 3.17 | 6.45 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 38 | Boston College | Big East | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 15.96 | 7 | 14.29 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 39 | Georgia | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.51 | 9.14 | 11.93 | 4.78 | -0.78 |
| 40 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-2-0 | 0.67 | 15.42 | -1.17 | 15.17 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 41 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 15.37 | 5.29 | 14.07 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 42 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.89 | 6.14 | 11.47 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 43 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.77 | 4.57 | 9.85 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 44 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 14.55 | 3.43 | 11.95 | 4.08 | -0.08 |
| 45 | Rice | Southwest | 3-2-0 | 0.6 | 14.32 | 0.8 | 10.94 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 46 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 14.11 | 6.5 | 16.74 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 47 | California | Pac-10 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 13.22 | 7.67 | 7.35 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 48 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 13 | -2.83 | 13.2 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 49 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.93 | 3.67 | 10.95 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 50 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-2-1 | 0.5 | 12.83 | -1.83 | 5.06 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 51 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 1.17 | 9.66 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 52 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 12.29 | -2.29 | 11.38 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 53 | UNLV | Big West | 4-3-0 | 0.57 | 11.69 | -2.86 | 3.22 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 54 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 11.62 | 5.86 | 12.81 | 4.77 | -1.77 |
| 55 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-3-1 | 0.43 | 11.25 | 0.29 | 6.59 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 56 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.96 | -5.33 | 16.58 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 57 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.81 | -1.33 | 11.02 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 58 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.68 | 1.29 | 12.19 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 59 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.61 | -2.67 | 8.31 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 60 | TCU | Southwest | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 10.53 | -3.83 | 14.12 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 61 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 10.29 | -0.57 | 17.24 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 62 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.67 | -1.14 | 16.73 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 63 | Pacific | Big West | 3-3-0 | 0.5 | 9.51 | -6.83 | 6.39 | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| 64 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 9.05 | 1.67 | 16.38 | 3.28 | -1.28 |
| 65 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 9.02 | -3.43 | 11.66 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 66 | Louisiana | Big West | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.8 | -2.43 | 5.03 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 67 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 8.57 | 1 | 12.69 | 3.17 | -1.17 |
| 68 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 8.35 | -6.14 | 11.68 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 69 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-4-0 | 0.43 | 7.85 | -12.43 | 7.92 | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| 70 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-3-1 | 0.33 | 7.42 | -8.5 | 12.84 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 71 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.41 | 0 | 8.99 | 3 | -1 |
| 72 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.27 | -1.17 | 13.92 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 73 | LSU | SEC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 7.15 | -1.67 | 18.64 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 74 | Clemson | ACC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -3 | 13.71 | 2.33 | -0.33 |
| 75 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.32 | -3.67 | 12.08 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 76 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -3.83 | 10.98 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 77 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 6.07 | -2.29 | 14.39 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 78 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -9.67 | 13.51 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 79 | Maryland | ACC | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -11.17 | 14.77 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 80 | Temple | Big East | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -10.17 | 13.33 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 81 | Utah State | Big West | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -10.17 | 14.6 | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| 82 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.63 | -3 | 9.14 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 83 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-4-0 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -9.83 | 10.46 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 84 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.2 | -9.29 | 16.16 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 85 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 5.14 | -9.71 | 16.32 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 86 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.81 | -13.57 | 14.5 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 87 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.54 | -18.71 | 14.17 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 88 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-5-0 | 0.29 | 4.33 | -20.86 | 10.51 | 0.64 | 1.36 |
| 89 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-4-1 | 0.17 | 3.59 | -3.33 | 11.04 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 90 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.64 | -5.5 | 16.39 | 2.13 | -1.13 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 2.13 | -3.29 | 11.5 | 3.09 | -2.09 |
| 92 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 2.09 | -9.83 | 10.87 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -13 | 13.24 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 94 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -14.5 | 14.44 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 95 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -15.5 | 6.1 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 96 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.54 | -8.29 | 13.17 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 97 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -22.5 | 17.96 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 98 | San José State | Big West | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.3 | -27.17 | 14.67 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 99 | Houston | Southwest | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1.12 | -23.33 | 11.18 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| 100 | SMU | Southwest | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.12 | -13.71 | 9.22 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 101 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 1.06 | -15.14 | 11.16 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 102 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-5-0 | 0.17 | 1 | -27.5 | 12.94 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| 103 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-6-0 | 0.14 | 0.8 | -21.29 | 11.39 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 104 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.33 | -17 | 10.08 | 0.84 | -0.84 |
| 105 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 0-5-1 | 0 | -2.35 | -15.5 | 14.79 | 0.74 | -0.74 |
| 106 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.35 | -17.33 | 10.12 | 0.34 | -0.34 |
| 107 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-6-0 | 0 | -2.83 | -30.33 | 12.68 | 0.12 | -0.12 |