Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.962581+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.91 | 38.9 | 11.53 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 2 | Florida | SEC | 9-0-0 | 1 | 25.74 | 28.89 | 11.78 | 8.12 | 0.88 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0-0 | 1 | 25.59 | 23 | 11.89 | 8.87 | 1.13 |
| 4 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-0-1 | 0.9 | 24.92 | 13.3 | 10.64 | 7.64 | 1.36 |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 23.39 | 21 | 14.11 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 6 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.28 | 12.4 | 14.48 | 8.28 | 0.72 |
| 7 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 9-1-0 | 0.9 | 23.02 | 26.7 | 9.89 | 9.43 | -0.43 |
| 8 | Florida State | ACC | 8-1-0 | 0.89 | 22.67 | 31.22 | 8.6 | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| 9 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-1-1 | 0.8 | 22.24 | 13.8 | 9.54 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 10 | Texas | Southwest | 7-1-1 | 0.78 | 22.1 | 14.11 | 9.97 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.89 | 12 | 14.41 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 12 | Colorado | Big 8 | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.77 | 16.2 | 12.29 | 7.89 | 0.11 |
| 13 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.48 | 11.9 | 11.94 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 14 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.23 | 8.4 | 12 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Kansas | Big 8 | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.2 | 5.8 | 12.71 | 6.38 | 1.62 |
| 16 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.12 | 15.9 | 8.46 | 8.74 | -0.74 |
| 17 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-2-1 | 0.7 | 20.06 | 9.6 | 13.32 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 18 | Nevada | Big West | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.05 | 13.2 | 8.89 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 20.04 | 7 | 11.67 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| 20 | Alabama | SEC | 8-2-0 | 0.8 | 19.9 | 7.6 | 10.39 | 7.18 | 0.82 |
| 21 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-2-0 | 0.78 | 19.66 | 11.44 | 9.94 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 22 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 6-2-0 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 11.62 | 10.16 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 23 | Virginia | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.6 | 9.82 | 11.22 | 8.03 | -0.03 |
| 24 | Auburn | SEC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 18.22 | 18 | 10.27 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 25 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.84 | 9 | 10.37 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 26 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.76 | 7 | 11.87 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 27 | Clemson | ACC | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.71 | 10.4 | 9.48 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 28 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.66 | 10.7 | 9.04 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 29 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 10.78 | 12.03 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 30 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 9 | 13.03 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 31 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 17.34 | 4.9 | 15.97 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 32 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 7-3-0 | 0.7 | 17.2 | 2.8 | 12.27 | 5.78 | 1.22 |
| 33 | Baylor | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 9.67 | 9.75 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 34 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 4.33 | 13.37 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 35 | Miami | Big East | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 8.56 | 8.77 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 36 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 16.7 | 3.8 | 12.31 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 37 | TCU | Southwest | 6-3-0 | 0.67 | 15.65 | 1.22 | 7.81 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 38 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.56 | 5.5 | 13.15 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 39 | Utah | Western Athletic | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.28 | 4.9 | 12.13 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 40 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.12 | 1.55 | 9.27 | 6.07 | 0.93 |
| 41 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.08 | 7.5 | 8.54 | 7.22 | -1.22 |
| 42 | Louisiana | Big West | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 15.05 | 7.9 | 7.11 | 6.62 | -0.62 |
| 43 | LSU | SEC | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 14.77 | 9.1 | 12.58 | 7.44 | -2.44 |
| 44 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.68 | 4.6 | 7.88 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 45 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-3-1 | 0.6 | 14.38 | -2.8 | 12.5 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 46 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 14.38 | 1.8 | 9.94 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 47 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-4-0 | 0.56 | 14.1 | 3.78 | 10.8 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 48 | Maryland | ACC | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.76 | 0.1 | 9.97 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 49 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 13.19 | 3.6 | 15.48 | 6 | -1 |
| 50 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-4-0 | 0.6 | 13.14 | -1.9 | 14 | 4.61 | 1.39 |
| 51 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-4-1 | 0.5 | 12.7 | -0.5 | 12.03 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 52 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.67 | 4 | 11.04 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 53 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 2.9 | 10.28 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 54 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 0.5 | 11.97 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 55 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.85 | 5.33 | 13.69 | 5.87 | -1.87 |
| 56 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.38 | -0.2 | 10.78 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 57 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-4-1 | 0.44 | 11.36 | -0.56 | 14.95 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 58 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-5-1 | 0.4 | 11.28 | 2.9 | 11.52 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 59 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.24 | -0.5 | 11.35 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 60 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 11.07 | 3 | 10 | 5.19 | -1.19 |
| 61 | Georgia | SEC | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 11.05 | -1.5 | 14.27 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 62 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 10.66 | 0.78 | 13.39 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 63 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 10.29 | 9.11 | 7.43 | 6.29 | -3.29 |
| 64 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.95 | 0.78 | 5.29 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.94 | -0.18 | 9.12 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 66 | Arkansas State | Big West | 5-5-0 | 0.5 | 9.34 | -5.7 | 4.39 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 67 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 9.25 | -4.33 | 16.81 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 68 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 8.73 | -0.4 | 7.9 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 69 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-5-1 | 0.33 | 8.5 | -1 | 15.63 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 70 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-5-0 | 0.44 | 8.38 | -6.22 | 8.34 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 71 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.93 | -4.2 | 11.66 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 72 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.82 | -4.3 | 12.18 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 73 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.64 | -4.8 | 8.28 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 74 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 4-6-0 | 0.4 | 7.19 | -9.6 | 8.66 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 75 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 6.94 | -2.22 | 15.87 | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 76 | Utah State | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 6.04 | -1 | 7.8 | 4.77 | -1.77 |
| 77 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.73 | -3.5 | 11.52 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 78 | California | Pac-10 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.72 | -3.8 | 12.53 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 79 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-6-0 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -12 | 11.52 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 80 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.26 | -7.6 | 12.84 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 81 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.23 | -6.4 | 9.38 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 82 | Boston College | Big East | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.19 | -8.9 | 14.19 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 83 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5.15 | -9.3 | 13.71 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 84 | Duke | ACC | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 5 | -10 | 11.3 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 85 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.98 | -9.4 | 12.51 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 86 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.95 | -13.1 | 14.96 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 87 | San José State | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.89 | -9 | 9.44 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 88 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.71 | -15.5 | 12.26 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 89 | Pacific | Big West | 3-7-0 | 0.3 | 4.59 | -18.3 | 12.32 | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| 90 | Rice | Southwest | 2-6-1 | 0.22 | 4.44 | -4.44 | 11.69 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 91 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 3.25 | -10.11 | 14.74 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 92 | NC State | ACC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.99 | -13.44 | 13.07 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 93 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7-0 | 0.22 | 2.87 | -13.67 | 14.63 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 94 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-7-1 | 0.2 | 2.81 | -14.8 | 8.11 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 95 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.81 | -9.1 | 13.22 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 96 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.77 | -8.8 | 10.41 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 97 | Missouri | Big 8 | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -13.9 | 13.73 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 98 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.09 | -22.2 | 10.72 | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| 99 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 2.08 | -18.1 | 7.62 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 100 | UNLV | Big West | 2-8-0 | 0.2 | 1.88 | -27.4 | 7.41 | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| 101 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -16.36 | 4.61 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.39 | -9.9 | 8.78 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 103 | Houston | Southwest | 1-8-0 | 0.11 | 0.2 | -17.89 | 17.03 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.13 | -14.1 | 10.64 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 105 | Temple | Big East | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | 0.01 | -16.8 | 14.03 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 106 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-8-1 | 0.1 | 0 | -22.9 | 8.61 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 107 | SMU | Southwest | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.08 | -18.9 | 13.18 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 108 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-9-0 | 0.1 | -0.14 | -20.5 | 10.57 | 1.79 | -0.79 |