Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:31.965136+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 8 | 11-0-0 | 1 | 25.36 | 38.73 | 10.83 | 10.56 | 0.44 |
| 2 | Florida | SEC | 12-0-0 | 1 | 25.32 | 27.75 | 11.89 | 10.92 | 1.08 |
| 3 | Toledo | Mid-American | 11-0-1 | 0.92 | 24.45 | 12.25 | 10.54 | 8.89 | 2.11 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1-0 | 0.92 | 23.24 | 21.75 | 11.45 | 10.54 | 0.46 |
| 5 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.99 | 12.64 | 13.54 | 9.2 | 0.8 |
| 6 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-1-0 | 0.91 | 22.96 | 17.91 | 11.93 | 9.07 | 0.93 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.21 | 13.64 | 14.92 | 8.55 | 0.45 |
| 8 | Kansas State | Big 8 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 21.15 | 24.17 | 10.68 | 11 | -1 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 21.02 | 28.36 | 10.45 | 9.79 | -0.79 |
| 10 | Colorado | Big 8 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.92 | 15.64 | 12.57 | 8.66 | 0.34 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.8 | 15.33 | 10.62 | 10.26 | -0.26 |
| 12 | Texas | Southwest | 10-2-1 | 0.77 | 20.67 | 10.38 | 11.17 | 9.52 | 0.48 |
| 13 | Kansas | Big 8 | 10-2-0 | 0.83 | 20.37 | 7 | 11.39 | 7.91 | 2.09 |
| 14 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 20.29 | 14.64 | 11.77 | 9.17 | -1.17 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-2-0 | 0.82 | 20.11 | 7.82 | 10.64 | 7.45 | 1.55 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2-1 | 0.73 | 19.92 | 12.18 | 10.28 | 8.68 | -0.68 |
| 17 | Texas A&M | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 13.25 | 10.4 | 9.95 | -0.95 |
| 18 | Texas Tech | Southwest | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 11.5 | 10.87 | 8.89 | 0.11 |
| 19 | Nevada | Big West | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.7 | 12.17 | 9.66 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 20 | Auburn | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.64 | 16.73 | 10.71 | 8.73 | -0.73 |
| 21 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.57 | 10.09 | 12.69 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 22 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.28 | 11 | 10.27 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 23 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 9-3-0 | 0.75 | 18.22 | 4 | 11.62 | 7.35 | 1.65 |
| 24 | Clemson | ACC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.07 | 11.36 | 8.73 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 25 | Alabama | SEC | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.05 | 6.55 | 11.22 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 26 | Miami | Big East | 8-3-0 | 0.73 | 18.02 | 8.45 | 9.77 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-4-0 | 0.69 | 17.66 | 8.85 | 13.15 | 9.47 | -0.47 |
| 28 | Virginia | ACC | 9-4-0 | 0.69 | 17.34 | 8.31 | 11.51 | 8.96 | 0.04 |
| 29 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 9.83 | 10.4 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 30 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 7.08 | 11.12 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 31 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4-0 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 9.08 | 10.26 | 8.36 | -0.36 |
| 32 | LSU | SEC | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 16.52 | 11.5 | 12.22 | 9.46 | -2.46 |
| 33 | Utah | Western Athletic | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.2 | 6 | 13.1 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 34 | Baylor | Southwest | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 16.12 | 9.73 | 9.84 | 8.41 | -1.41 |
| 35 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.93 | 2.67 | 14.7 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 36 | Louisville | FBS Independents | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.92 | 10.73 | 7.81 | 8.6 | -1.6 |
| 37 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.79 | 3.55 | 12.52 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 38 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-4-1 | 0.58 | 15.67 | 3.08 | 11.95 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 39 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 15.47 | 5.73 | 7.62 | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 40 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 8-5-0 | 0.62 | 15.42 | 3.31 | 13.3 | 7.37 | 0.63 |
| 41 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-4-0 | 0.64 | 14.88 | 1.55 | 8.82 | 6.07 | 0.93 |
| 42 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.6 | 3.17 | 14.33 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 43 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-5-0 | 0.58 | 14.57 | 5.33 | 11.76 | 7.76 | -0.76 |
| 44 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-5-0 | 0.62 | 14.21 | 0.08 | 12.34 | 6.53 | 1.47 |
| 45 | Cincinnati | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 14.17 | 5 | 14.46 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 46 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.89 | 5.27 | 11.63 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 47 | Southern Miss | FBS Independents | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.65 | 3.91 | 11.19 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 48 | Louisiana | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.58 | 6.91 | 7.18 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 49 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 13.25 | 2.55 | 9.8 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 50 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.96 | 1.55 | 9.5 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 51 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.84 | 0.73 | 11.26 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 52 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 12.65 | 10.36 | 6.1 | 8.09 | -3.09 |
| 53 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 12.34 | 0.09 | 9.86 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 54 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.78 | -2 | 13.79 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 55 | Arkansas State | Big West | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.32 | -0.45 | 2.97 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 56 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-5-1 | 0.5 | 11.28 | -4.25 | 12.78 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 57 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 11.28 | -0.45 | 14.59 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 58 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 11.28 | 3.91 | 9.94 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 59 | TCU | Southwest | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.27 | -2.64 | 9.81 | 4.69 | 1.31 |
| 60 | Maryland | ACC | 6-5-0 | 0.55 | 11.17 | -3.73 | 10.97 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 61 | Georgia | SEC | 6-6-0 | 0.5 | 10.77 | -1.75 | 14.23 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 62 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 10.76 | 3.09 | 5.74 | 6.56 | -1.56 |
| 63 | Oklahoma | Big 8 | 5-5-1 | 0.45 | 10.18 | -3.82 | 12.89 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 9.89 | 1.18 | 14.53 | 5.81 | -1.81 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 9.84 | -0.18 | 8.96 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 66 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-6-1 | 0.36 | 9.51 | 0.73 | 11.95 | 5.63 | -1.63 |
| 67 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-5-2 | 0.36 | 9.39 | -1.64 | 14.26 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 68 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-7-0 | 0.42 | 8.73 | -1.33 | 10.01 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 69 | Louisiana Tech | Big West | 5-6-0 | 0.45 | 8.57 | -4.64 | 7.99 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 70 | Utah State | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 8.25 | 0.55 | 8.03 | 5.63 | -1.63 |
| 71 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 7.15 | -1.91 | 8.84 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 72 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.93 | -4.18 | 12.97 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 73 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -4.27 | 10.44 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 74 | New Mexico State | Big West | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -3.64 | 8.63 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 75 | Tulsa | FBS Independents | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -6.09 | 9.67 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 76 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-7-0 | 0.36 | 6.2 | -9.82 | 10.15 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 77 | Oklahoma State | Big 8 | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -7.92 | 12.05 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 78 | Boston College | Big East | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -9.58 | 13.76 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 79 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-8-0 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -9.67 | 9.86 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 80 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.93 | -3.45 | 11.51 | 4.54 | -1.54 |
| 81 | California | Pac-10 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.88 | -3.91 | 12.1 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 82 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.45 | -8.73 | 15.37 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 83 | Memphis | FBS Independents | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -8.18 | 12.3 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 84 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.37 | -8.73 | 12.93 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 85 | NC State | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -8.55 | 11.13 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 86 | Duke | ACC | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -9.45 | 11.63 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 87 | San José State | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -9.73 | 10.27 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 88 | Missouri | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -11.36 | 12.61 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 89 | Iowa State | Big 8 | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 4.06 | -13.18 | 12.58 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 90 | Northern Illinois | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.81 | -18.18 | 12.49 | 1.95 | 1.05 |
| 91 | Pacific | Big West | 3-8-0 | 0.27 | 3.79 | -18.09 | 11.59 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 92 | Rice | Southwest | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.95 | -6.27 | 10.91 | 3.75 | -1.75 |
| 93 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-8-1 | 0.18 | 2.34 | -14.45 | 9.77 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 94 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.2 | -10.18 | 13.07 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 95 | Tulane | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 2.11 | -10.55 | 9.29 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 96 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.97 | -14.45 | 14.93 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 97 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.94 | -15.18 | 15.44 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 98 | Houston | Southwest | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.64 | 14.83 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.73 | -16.36 | 4.69 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 100 | North Texas | FBS Independents | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.61 | -20.36 | 7.67 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 101 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10-0 | 0.17 | 1.49 | -18.58 | 9.85 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 102 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.48 | -26.09 | 11.27 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 103 | UNLV | Big West | 2-9-0 | 0.18 | 1.4 | -27.09 | 7.33 | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| 104 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | 0.21 | -9.18 | 9.52 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 105 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.16 | -15.45 | 9.6 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 106 | Temple | Big East | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.17 | -15.55 | 13.57 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 107 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-9-1 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -23.82 | 8.7 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 108 | SMU | Southwest | 1-10-0 | 0.09 | -0.36 | -20 | 12.51 | 0.98 | 0.02 |