Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.150087+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.65 | 30 | 12.52 | 11.93 | 0.07 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.63 | 27 | 12.88 | 11.4 | -0.4 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.59 | 22.67 | 13.07 | 10.84 | 0.16 |
| 4 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.45 | 22.67 | 12.32 | 10.48 | 0.52 |
| 5 | BYU | Western Athletic | 14-1 | 0.93 | 22.93 | 20.87 | 8.91 | 12.86 | 1.14 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.23 | 29.15 | 13.68 | 12.21 | -1.21 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.47 | 15.15 | 12.15 | 10.83 | 0.17 |
| 8 | North Carolina | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.1 | 19.5 | 11.51 | 11.11 | -1.11 |
| 9 | Colorado | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21 | 11 | 13.47 | 9.03 | 0.97 |
| 10 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.97 | 21 | 10.38 | 10.62 | -0.62 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.93 | 13.42 | 11.8 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 12 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.48 | 15 | 8.91 | 9.14 | 0.86 |
| 13 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.44 | 10.42 | 10.2 | 9.02 | 0.98 |
| 14 | Army | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.11 | 12.92 | 7.08 | 9.32 | 0.68 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.35 | 9.31 | 12.47 | 9.86 | 0.14 |
| 16 | Syracuse | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.32 | 19.08 | 11.73 | 10.24 | -1.24 |
| 17 | Washington | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.26 | 11.42 | 13.57 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 18 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.93 | 12.42 | 10.96 | 9.56 | -0.56 |
| 19 | Miami | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.92 | 13.17 | 10.91 | 9.49 | -0.49 |
| 20 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.92 | 20.55 | 11.69 | 9.59 | -1.59 |
| 21 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.7 | 8 | 11.82 | 8.25 | 0.75 |
| 22 | Nevada | Big West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.46 | 19.75 | 5.94 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 23 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.23 | 9.27 | 10.96 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 24 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.21 | 4.83 | 10.46 | 7.33 | 1.67 |
| 25 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.11 | 11.36 | 9.14 | 7.63 | 0.37 |
| 26 | Navy | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 17.94 | 6.92 | 7.33 | 7.65 | 1.35 |
| 27 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.82 | 3.64 | 12.49 | 6.47 | 1.53 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.19 | 10.08 | 12.97 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 29 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 7.75 | 12.84 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 30 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 9.58 | 10.88 | 9.45 | -1.45 |
| 31 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.42 | 7.17 | 8.84 | 8.31 | -0.31 |
| 32 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.07 | 10.92 | 12.26 | 9.26 | -1.26 |
| 33 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 10.31 | 8.93 | 9.61 | -1.61 |
| 34 | Virginia | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.22 | 11.5 | 12.66 | 9.28 | -2.28 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.87 | 7.58 | 12.21 | 8.24 | -1.24 |
| 36 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.5 | 11.73 | 12.3 | 8.15 | -2.15 |
| 37 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.1 | 9.55 | 10 | 8.36 | -2.36 |
| 38 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.09 | 3.67 | 9.64 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 39 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.77 | 1.67 | 10.62 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 40 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.67 | 1.5 | 10.73 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 41 | Rice | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.59 | -1.45 | 10.06 | 5.16 | 1.84 |
| 42 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.42 | 2 | 12.83 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 43 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.19 | 4.64 | 6.2 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 44 | Idaho | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.16 | 7.09 | 3.44 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 45 | Clemson | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.14 | 0.33 | 9.76 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 46 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.07 | 7.83 | 12.21 | 8.12 | -2.12 |
| 47 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.01 | 1.45 | 10.46 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 48 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.91 | 0.64 | 12.5 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 49 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.84 | 4.83 | 13.14 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 50 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.69 | 4.67 | 11.5 | 7.19 | -1.19 |
| 51 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 12.68 | -4.45 | 7.25 | 4.16 | 2.84 |
| 52 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 5.42 | 10.45 | 7.68 | -1.68 |
| 53 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.39 | 0.82 | 6.63 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 54 | Utah State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.59 | -0.82 | 7.7 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 55 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.21 | 2.73 | 11.66 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 56 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.02 | 1.09 | 14.74 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 57 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.96 | 1.82 | 11.41 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 58 | California | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.52 | -2.08 | 12.91 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 59 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.37 | 1.45 | 5.76 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 60 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.9 | -0.27 | 10.66 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 61 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.79 | -0.18 | 8.49 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.46 | -1.45 | 11.51 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 63 | Georgia | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.3 | -2.45 | 13.04 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 64 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.25 | -2.09 | 11.12 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 65 | SMU | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.19 | -1.91 | 9.78 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 66 | UAB | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.01 | -1.18 | 4.35 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 67 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.73 | -4.73 | 10.59 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 68 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.43 | -9.09 | 12.69 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 69 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.41 | -6.09 | 8.34 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 70 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.4 | -8.91 | 12.11 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 71 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.28 | -7.64 | 8.68 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 72 | North Texas | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.97 | -12 | 8.74 | 2.14 | 2.86 |
| 73 | Boston College | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.82 | -8.33 | 13.03 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 74 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.47 | -14.64 | 3.17 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 75 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.67 | -4.91 | 10.34 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 76 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.67 | -5.27 | 11.14 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 77 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.56 | -7.09 | 12.95 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 78 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.53 | -8.45 | 14.68 | 2.93 | 1.07 |
| 79 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -5.82 | 9.53 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 80 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -9.45 | 14.49 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 81 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.34 | -7 | 8.42 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 82 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.29 | -8 | 9.29 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 83 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.18 | -8.55 | 8.02 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 84 | TCU | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.12 | -8.27 | 6.36 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.09 | -8.45 | 6.14 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 86 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.96 | -16.73 | 13.29 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 87 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.84 | -19.64 | 13.29 | 1.77 | 2.23 |
| 88 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.86 | -4.45 | 14.02 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 89 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -6.73 | 9.58 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 90 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -11.82 | 14.99 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 91 | NC State | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.11 | -12.09 | 12.33 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 92 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.1 | -12.45 | 12.7 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 93 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.66 | -20.91 | 11.14 | 1.04 | 1.96 |
| 94 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.28 | -18.92 | 10.77 | 1.89 | 1.11 |
| 95 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.72 | -5 | 14.54 | 4.04 | -2.04 |
| 96 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.36 | -7.91 | 12.3 | 3.95 | -1.95 |
| 97 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.23 | -8.73 | 9.01 | 3.18 | -1.18 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.22 | -10.18 | 14.19 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 99 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.98 | -11.91 | 6.82 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 100 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.85 | -16.55 | 13.78 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 101 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -15.64 | 10.17 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 102 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.64 | -21.55 | 12.86 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.57 | -21.55 | 7.89 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 104 | Boise State | Big West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.44 | -18.25 | 5.3 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 105 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.35 | -22.67 | 11.38 | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| 106 | Temple | Big East | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.16 | -15.27 | 12.4 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.38 | -20.91 | 7.79 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 108 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.41 | -22.09 | 6.72 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 109 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.69 | -22.92 | 13.5 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 110 | Duke | ACC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.44 | -19.73 | 14.58 | 1.29 | -1.29 |