Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.145539+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.34 | 31.71 | 13.19 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 23.33 | 12 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 38.86 | 9.69 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 4 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.64 | 23.75 | 10.85 | 6.91 | 1.09 |
| 5 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 24.27 | 18 | 5.23 | 6.36 | 1.64 |
| 6 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-0 | 1 | 24.19 | 20.43 | 4.46 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.62 | 33.29 | 16.33 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 8 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.97 | 23.29 | 14.33 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 9 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.65 | 20.44 | 9.13 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 10 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.65 | 10.38 | 13.3 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 11 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.44 | 11.14 | 14.57 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.36 | 13.38 | 9.71 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 13 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.22 | 13.43 | 12.55 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 14 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.18 | 15.12 | 8.28 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 15 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.17 | 15.5 | 8.9 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 16 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.94 | 20.83 | 13.05 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 17 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.88 | 9.12 | 9.41 | 5.68 | 1.32 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.68 | 12.57 | 9.62 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 19 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.49 | 13.5 | 6.44 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 20 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.36 | 11.67 | 6.34 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 21 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.31 | 14.89 | 11.67 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 22 | Virginia | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.17 | 20.86 | 12.2 | 6.24 | -1.24 |
| 23 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.09 | 14.43 | 14.32 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 24 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.72 | 20.71 | 10.35 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 25 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.54 | 7 | 14.67 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Miami | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.47 | 15.29 | 10.24 | 6.11 | -1.11 |
| 27 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.46 | 5.14 | 14.28 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 28 | California | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.18 | 6.29 | 11.21 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 29 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.05 | 21.67 | 12.08 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 30 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.83 | 10.5 | 13.82 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 31 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.81 | 13.17 | 11.45 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 32 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.8 | 7.43 | 9.12 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 33 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.62 | 10.67 | 12.32 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 34 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.64 | 9.12 | 15.03 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.63 | 9.88 | 14.48 | 6 | -1 |
| 36 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.39 | 11.25 | 12.06 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 37 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 5.5 | 10.56 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 38 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 6.75 | 10.58 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 39 | Nevada | Big West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.63 | 13.25 | 5.22 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 40 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.54 | 6 | 8.94 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 41 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.19 | 10.43 | 12.32 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 42 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.17 | 2.62 | 10.11 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 43 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 14.24 | -3.29 | 3.14 | 2.88 | 2.12 |
| 44 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.53 | 2.44 | 8.39 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 45 | UAB | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.31 | 1.29 | 5.39 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 46 | Utah State | Big West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.99 | 1.11 | 6.87 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 47 | Louisville | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.7 | 2.88 | 10.8 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 48 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.63 | -0.71 | 11.32 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 49 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.58 | 0 | 8.46 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 50 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.31 | 1.88 | 11.03 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 51 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.26 | 2.5 | 7.07 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 52 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.15 | 12.43 | 11.67 | 5.21 | -2.21 |
| 53 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.83 | 7.67 | 9.58 | 6.37 | -2.37 |
| 54 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.82 | -2.29 | 7.99 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 55 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.75 | 6.14 | 12.49 | 4.69 | -1.69 |
| 56 | Rice | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.7 | -7 | 14.46 | 2.49 | 1.51 |
| 57 | Clemson | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.25 | -7.57 | 8.98 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| 58 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.06 | -1 | 9.95 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 59 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 11.05 | 9.62 | 14.64 | 5.71 | -2.71 |
| 60 | Idaho | Big West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.48 | 2.14 | 5.88 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 61 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.45 | -2.75 | 11.71 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 62 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.36 | 0.43 | 10.85 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 63 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.34 | 0 | 18.14 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 64 | Boston College | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -6.25 | 14.4 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -5.75 | 12.17 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| 66 | Georgia | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.23 | 0.14 | 11.98 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 67 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 10.19 | -11.29 | 0.26 | 1.66 | 2.34 |
| 68 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -6 | 14.73 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 69 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.03 | 0 | 8.36 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 70 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.64 | -9.38 | 9.59 | 2.37 | 1.63 |
| 71 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.16 | -3.57 | 14.9 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 72 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.16 | -8.43 | 9.72 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 73 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.15 | -7.14 | 11.39 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 74 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.83 | -1.5 | 9.88 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 75 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.55 | -10.43 | 6.17 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 76 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.41 | -6.12 | 13.38 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 77 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.25 | 0.57 | 13.32 | 3.61 | -1.61 |
| 78 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.06 | -8.62 | 11.67 | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| 79 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.95 | -5 | 3.45 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 80 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -5 | 15.33 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 81 | North Texas | Big West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.38 | -16.75 | 8.41 | 0.87 | 2.13 |
| 82 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -8.5 | 14.44 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 83 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.54 | -3.86 | 10.77 | 3 | -1 |
| 84 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -10.89 | 9 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 85 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.98 | -5 | 2.49 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 86 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.93 | -9.71 | 13.71 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 87 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.82 | -8.86 | 8.3 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 88 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.68 | -4.12 | 14.75 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 89 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.67 | -15.43 | 17.01 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.64 | -14.57 | 13.97 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| 91 | TCU | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.55 | -12.86 | 8.71 | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| 92 | UCF | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.28 | -5.12 | 8.48 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 93 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.88 | 12.65 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 94 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.39 | -23 | 15.64 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| 95 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -22.38 | 14.36 | 0.63 | 1.37 |
| 96 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.35 | -17.88 | 6.66 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 97 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.3 | -20.75 | 16.08 | 0.51 | 1.49 |
| 98 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.23 | -7 | 9.45 | 2.86 | -0.86 |
| 99 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.72 | -19 | 11.57 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 100 | NC State | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.76 | -15.67 | 17.59 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 101 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.22 | -12.71 | 15.54 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.93 | -17.29 | 10.73 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 103 | Temple | Big East | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.61 | -14.38 | 12.67 | 1.71 | -0.71 |
| 104 | Boise State | Big West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.42 | -17.25 | 4.61 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 105 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.32 | -20.5 | 7.58 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 106 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.25 | -22.38 | 13.94 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.15 | -20.62 | 6.84 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 108 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.15 | -13.75 | 10.31 | 1.37 | -1.37 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 0-7 | 0 | -2.67 | -21.86 | 18.66 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-9 | 0 | -2.84 | -29.56 | 15.03 | 0.87 | -0.87 |