Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.145966+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 26.04 | 33.38 | 12.16 | 7.74 | 0.26 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.95 | 26.57 | 12.68 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 39 | 10.35 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 4 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.29 | 22.78 | 9.9 | 7.76 | 1.24 |
| 5 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 24.27 | 20.67 | 5.34 | 7.41 | 1.59 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.86 | 35.62 | 15.29 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 7 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-0 | 1 | 23.76 | 20.38 | 2.76 | 7.08 | 0.92 |
| 8 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.09 | 24.38 | 12.68 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 9 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.66 | 13.25 | 12.87 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 10 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.65 | 20.6 | 8.45 | 8.38 | 0.62 |
| 11 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.61 | 13.75 | 12.48 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 12 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.57 | 9.67 | 12.32 | 6.86 | 1.14 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.57 | 20.29 | 13.32 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 14 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.19 | 15.5 | 9.57 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.16 | 13.38 | 9.92 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.58 | 12.57 | 9.52 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.33 | 16 | 7.35 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 18 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.74 | 15.9 | 11.8 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 19 | Auburn | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.81 | 15.25 | 13.52 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 20 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.73 | 10.89 | 9.25 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 21 | Virginia | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.54 | 21.25 | 10.07 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 22 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.5 | 7.5 | 15.06 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 23 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.34 | 5.33 | 9.92 | 5.66 | 1.34 |
| 24 | Miami | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.16 | 17.25 | 8.77 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 25 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.08 | 21.86 | 13.14 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 26 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 5.75 | 12.66 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 27 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.88 | 12.86 | 14.57 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 28 | California | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 5.62 | 11.58 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 29 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.37 | 11.71 | 11.44 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 30 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 15.43 | 8.91 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 31 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.64 | 6.14 | 8.41 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 32 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 10.22 | 9.34 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 33 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 18 | 10.98 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 34 | Nevada | Big West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.63 | 17.22 | 3.73 | 7 | -1 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.55 | 9.88 | 14.09 | 6 | -1 |
| 36 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.22 | 3.89 | 8.09 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 37 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.65 | 5.5 | 10.21 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 38 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.99 | 6.89 | 14.48 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 39 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.86 | 8.22 | 12.27 | 6 | -1 |
| 40 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.8 | 0.75 | 10.75 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 41 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.44 | 2.3 | 8.83 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 42 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.3 | 2.6 | 7.42 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 43 | Utah State | Big West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.07 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 44 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.01 | 3.44 | 10.01 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 45 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.91 | 2.89 | 11.15 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 46 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.62 | -1 | 11.19 | 3.83 | 1.17 |
| 47 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.59 | 3.44 | 7.46 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 48 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.54 | 9 | 12.28 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 49 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.53 | 11.5 | 11.87 | 5.84 | -1.84 |
| 50 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.15 | 8.9 | 10.1 | 7.4 | -2.4 |
| 51 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 6.38 | 11.85 | 5.34 | -1.34 |
| 52 | Clemson | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.99 | -2.62 | 9.72 | 3.36 | 1.64 |
| 53 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.34 | -0.56 | 9.96 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.32 | 10.67 | 14.25 | 6.58 | -2.58 |
| 55 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.2 | -5.38 | 4.48 | 2.83 | 2.17 |
| 56 | Idaho | Big West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 3.12 | 3.84 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 57 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.8 | 0.75 | 10.36 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 58 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.79 | -2.29 | 7.37 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 59 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.22 | 0.1 | 7.93 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 60 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.93 | -1.25 | 11.13 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 61 | UAB | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.61 | -0.88 | 5.29 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 62 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.5 | 1.14 | 13.77 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 63 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.51 | -4.88 | 5.17 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 64 | Maryland | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.34 | -1.89 | 10.19 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 65 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.16 | -2.89 | 12.04 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 66 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.05 | -0.12 | 16.12 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 67 | Boston College | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.77 | -6.33 | 13.7 | 3.18 | 0.82 |
| 68 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.64 | -5.89 | 10.98 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 69 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.6 | -8.78 | 14.55 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 70 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 8.5 | -17.25 | 0.78 | 1.16 | 2.84 |
| 71 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.15 | -10.44 | 9.68 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 72 | Georgia | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.62 | -4.88 | 14.14 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 73 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.34 | -6.12 | 13.99 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 74 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.32 | -8.75 | 16.86 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 75 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.14 | -9.1 | 8.88 | 2.54 | 1.46 |
| 76 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.96 | -9.75 | 12.26 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 77 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -8.75 | 9.91 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 78 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.75 | -7.62 | 8.11 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 79 | UCF | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.48 | -1.56 | 6.51 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 80 | TCU | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.45 | -10.25 | 6.2 | 2 | 1 |
| 81 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -6 | 11.55 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 82 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5.99 | 0.12 | 13.04 | 4.03 | -2.03 |
| 83 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -8 | 11.89 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 84 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -6.44 | 5.1 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 85 | North Texas | Big West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.3 | -15.78 | 9.02 | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| 86 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.24 | -7.29 | 16.2 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 87 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.22 | -19.67 | 14.54 | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| 88 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.57 | -4.12 | 14.61 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 89 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.53 | -3.75 | 10.57 | 3.44 | -1.44 |
| 90 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -7.12 | 5.6 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 91 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -9.12 | 14.89 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 92 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -14 | 15.11 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 93 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -14.5 | 15.71 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 94 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -15 | 13.93 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 95 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -14.88 | 12.81 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 96 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.4 | -20.75 | 15.43 | 0.51 | 1.49 |
| 97 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.32 | -22.38 | 14.47 | 0.63 | 1.37 |
| 98 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.86 | -7.7 | 9.7 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 99 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.74 | -16 | 7.29 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 100 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.68 | -19 | 11.73 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 101 | NC State | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.95 | -18 | 17.87 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.48 | -17 | 12.37 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 103 | Temple | Big East | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.28 | -16.22 | 13.07 | 1.79 | -0.79 |
| 104 | Boise State | Big West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.14 | -19.11 | 4.95 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 105 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.07 | -21.11 | 7.96 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 106 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0 | -23.11 | 13.97 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.03 | -23.78 | 7.34 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 108 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.28 | -16.44 | 11.15 | 1.12 | -1.12 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 0-8 | 0 | -2.67 | -22.12 | 19.1 | 0.78 | -0.78 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.75 | -27.4 | 14.33 | 1.17 | -1.17 |