Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.146400+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.88 | 35 | 11.7 | 8.78 | 0.22 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.65 | 27.88 | 11.4 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.38 | 35.44 | 9.19 | 8.59 | 0.41 |
| 4 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.33 | 23.3 | 10.62 | 8.76 | 1.24 |
| 5 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-0 | 1 | 23.94 | 19.89 | 4.34 | 8.01 | 0.99 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.82 | 36.56 | 14.08 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 7 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.18 | 23.67 | 12.52 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 8 | BYU | Western Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.97 | 23.18 | 9.05 | 9.58 | 0.42 |
| 9 | Colorado | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.65 | 12.56 | 12.22 | 6.83 | 1.17 |
| 10 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.57 | 14.78 | 11.18 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 11 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.41 | 16.67 | 9.77 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 12 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.2 | 18.2 | 6.45 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 13 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22 | 16.62 | 8.88 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 14 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.64 | 15.9 | 11.5 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 15 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.3 | 14 | 13.06 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 16 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.28 | 8 | 11.81 | 6.95 | 1.05 |
| 17 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.14 | 11 | 13.22 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 18 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.03 | 13.9 | 8.53 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 19 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.96 | 7.5 | 10.87 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 20 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.89 | 11.56 | 10.45 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 21 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.76 | 22.12 | 11.88 | 7.15 | -1.15 |
| 22 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.73 | 14.62 | 13.72 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 23 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.7 | 17.25 | 11.7 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 24 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.29 | 14 | 11.16 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 25 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.17 | 7.75 | 12.23 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Miami | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 17.25 | 8.63 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 27 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.02 | 7.38 | 5.59 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 28 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 18 | 9.94 | 7.86 | -1.86 |
| 29 | Nevada | Big West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.41 | 18.2 | 4.74 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 30 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.27 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 31 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 2.11 | 12.7 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 32 | California | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 1.89 | 12.65 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 33 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.17 | 7.62 | 12.38 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 34 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.64 | 9.7 | 11.47 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 35 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.59 | 4.09 | 8.65 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 36 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.32 | 7.6 | 9.43 | 7.17 | -1.17 |
| 37 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.22 | 14.22 | 12.5 | 7.16 | -2.16 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.97 | 8.11 | 13.83 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 39 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.83 | 10.89 | 11.92 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 40 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.66 | 0.75 | 11.21 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 41 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.46 | 7.56 | 10.99 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 42 | Clemson | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.44 | -1.44 | 10.04 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 43 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.35 | 9.55 | 10.5 | 8.36 | -2.36 |
| 44 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.98 | 3.44 | 10.88 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 45 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.78 | 0.2 | 10.71 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 46 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.68 | 2.22 | 9.68 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 47 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.65 | 11.3 | 13.59 | 7.51 | -2.51 |
| 48 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 13.32 | -4.44 | 5.51 | 3.41 | 2.59 |
| 49 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 5.8 | 13.68 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 50 | Idaho | Big West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.27 | 4.44 | 3.68 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 51 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.71 | 0.82 | 7.04 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 52 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.05 | 0.8 | 11.67 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 53 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.99 | 2.4 | 6.04 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 54 | Utah State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.88 | -0.82 | 7.62 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 55 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.74 | 6 | 11.49 | 5.71 | -1.71 |
| 56 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.44 | 2.56 | 16.33 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 57 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.41 | -6.33 | 11.91 | 3.32 | 1.68 |
| 58 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.16 | -2.75 | 7.43 | 3.41 | 0.59 |
| 59 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.02 | -0.18 | 8.6 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 60 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.94 | -6.5 | 13.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 61 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.3 | -2.22 | 11.79 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 62 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.2 | 0.62 | 11.89 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 63 | UCF | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.16 | 0.8 | 6.61 | 5.19 | -1.19 |
| 64 | Maryland | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.14 | -1.89 | 9.74 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 65 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.08 | -3 | 11.46 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 66 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.06 | -2.89 | 12.03 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 67 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.05 | -3.44 | 14.48 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 68 | UAB | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.61 | -3.22 | 5.35 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 69 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.27 | -6.33 | 8.86 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 70 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.17 | -6.78 | 6.21 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 71 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.06 | -2.4 | 10.48 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 72 | TCU | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.91 | -8.33 | 6.2 | 2.66 | 1.34 |
| 73 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.63 | -5.6 | 9.99 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 74 | Boston College | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.6 | -8.4 | 13.99 | 3.15 | 0.85 |
| 75 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.58 | -6.8 | 13.18 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 76 | Georgia | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.52 | -4.88 | 14.91 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 77 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.45 | -4.1 | 5.64 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 78 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.38 | -15.78 | 3.16 | 1.52 | 2.48 |
| 79 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.35 | -5.62 | 15.31 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 80 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.15 | -10.4 | 9.12 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 81 | North Texas | Big West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.8 | -13.9 | 8.61 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 82 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.34 | -8.55 | 8.25 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 83 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -9.67 | 15.94 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 84 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -8.56 | 9.34 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 85 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -12.22 | 16.03 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 86 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -13.56 | 13.33 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 87 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -12.22 | 13.56 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 88 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -19.67 | 14.39 | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| 89 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.26 | -18.11 | 14.37 | 0.86 | 2.14 |
| 90 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.43 | -6.73 | 9.61 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 91 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 4.2 | -2.56 | 14.09 | 3.85 | -1.85 |
| 92 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.79 | -4.11 | 11.78 | 3.84 | -1.84 |
| 93 | NC State | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -13 | 14.49 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 94 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.6 | -6.22 | 14.33 | 3.18 | -1.18 |
| 95 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.35 | -8.89 | 15.3 | 2 | 0 |
| 96 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.06 | -9.67 | 5.83 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 97 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.84 | -17.78 | 15.78 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 98 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.79 | -17.78 | 13.31 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 99 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.58 | -24 | 14.74 | 0.59 | 1.41 |
| 100 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | -19.2 | 10.63 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 101 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.19 | -18.8 | 8.81 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 102 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.15 | -18.7 | 13.09 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 103 | Temple | Big East | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.26 | -16.22 | 12.99 | 1.79 | -0.79 |
| 104 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.13 | -19.44 | 12.83 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 105 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.01 | -14.5 | 10.93 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 106 | Boise State | Big West | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.02 | -17.5 | 5.47 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 107 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.13 | -20.4 | 7.9 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.22 | -22.9 | 8.05 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.6 | -22.11 | 16.03 | 0.95 | -0.95 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.74 | -27.4 | 14.9 | 1.17 | -1.17 |