Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.146856+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 29.22 | 12.54 | 8.65 | 0.35 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.52 | 32.5 | 10.61 | 9.68 | 0.32 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.36 | 34.6 | 9.66 | 9.46 | 0.54 |
| 4 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.32 | 23.3 | 10.94 | 8.76 | 1.24 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.72 | 36.4 | 12.72 | 9.72 | -0.72 |
| 6 | BYU | Western Athletic | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.03 | 23.83 | 8.4 | 10.54 | 0.46 |
| 7 | Colorado | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.86 | 12.5 | 12.59 | 7.75 | 1.25 |
| 8 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.41 | 16.64 | 7.73 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.31 | 16.33 | 9.69 | 7.56 | 0.44 |
| 10 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.84 | 15.4 | 5.58 | 8.24 | 0.76 |
| 11 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.16 | 21 | 13.33 | 9.36 | -1.36 |
| 12 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.06 | 15.55 | 11.95 | 9.34 | -0.34 |
| 13 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.61 | 14.2 | 12.41 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 14 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.54 | 22.44 | 12.77 | 8.05 | -1.05 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.43 | 19 | 12.88 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 16 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.39 | 13.8 | 10.6 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 17 | Alabama | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.36 | 13.2 | 10.57 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 18 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.25 | 19.89 | 11.47 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 19 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.11 | 7.09 | 9.53 | 7.33 | 1.67 |
| 20 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.99 | 13.9 | 8.57 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 21 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.88 | 10.44 | 12.2 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 22 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.62 | 8.11 | 5.29 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 23 | Virginia | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.28 | 16.5 | 11.55 | 8.57 | -1.57 |
| 24 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.19 | 3.64 | 12.76 | 6.47 | 1.53 |
| 25 | Auburn | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.17 | 11.9 | 11.69 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 26 | Nevada | Big West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.15 | 21.27 | 4.92 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 27 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.97 | 8.09 | 8.33 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 28 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.96 | 9.2 | 11.6 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 29 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.54 | 5 | 12.43 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 30 | Miami | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 13.78 | 9.97 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 31 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 7.89 | 13.04 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 32 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 12.22 | 9.63 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 33 | Clemson | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.17 | 1 | 8.94 | 5.29 | 1.71 |
| 34 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 12.07 | 7.69 | -1.69 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.85 | 10.8 | 12.96 | 7.41 | -1.41 |
| 36 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.69 | 11.9 | 11.14 | 7.32 | -1.32 |
| 37 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.55 | 9.7 | 10.92 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 38 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.54 | 3 | 10.37 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 39 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.7 | 11.82 | 12.55 | 8.37 | -2.37 |
| 40 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.36 | 3.67 | 9.81 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 41 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.33 | 9.55 | 10.28 | 8.36 | -2.36 |
| 42 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.07 | 6 | 10.41 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 43 | California | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.93 | 0 | 12.35 | 5 | 1 |
| 44 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.16 | 5.8 | 13.3 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 45 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.1 | 0.33 | 11.42 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 46 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.98 | 7.2 | 10.67 | 6.59 | -1.59 |
| 47 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 12.02 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 48 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.62 | 0.82 | 7.14 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 49 | Rice | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.33 | -4.4 | 11.17 | 4.06 | 1.94 |
| 50 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 2.4 | 6.43 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 51 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 11.89 | -5 | 6.64 | 3.63 | 2.37 |
| 52 | Idaho | Big West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.88 | 3.3 | 3.74 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 53 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.88 | 0.4 | 12.34 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 54 | Utah State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.74 | -0.82 | 7.51 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 55 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.61 | 0.4 | 9.55 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 56 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11 | -0.6 | 11.61 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 57 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.96 | -1.4 | 14.82 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 58 | Maryland | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.58 | -1.4 | 10.2 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 59 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.55 | 0.67 | 12.94 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 60 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.49 | 1.45 | 6.15 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 61 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.96 | -4.1 | 9.97 | 3.73 | 1.27 |
| 62 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.95 | -0.18 | 8.71 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 63 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.82 | 0.5 | 15.17 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 64 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.52 | -2.09 | 11.69 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 65 | Georgia | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.03 | -3.56 | 14.71 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 66 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.64 | -9.09 | 13.3 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 67 | Boston College | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.63 | -7.55 | 12.64 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 68 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 8.57 | -13.9 | 2.34 | 2.04 | 2.96 |
| 69 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.42 | -6 | 8.88 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 70 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.07 | -2.4 | 9.83 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 71 | North Texas | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.04 | -12 | 8.95 | 2.14 | 2.86 |
| 72 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.97 | -3.4 | 10.71 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 73 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.97 | -4.1 | 12.32 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 74 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -6.8 | 12.29 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 75 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.5 | -8.5 | 14.87 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 76 | UAB | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.46 | -4.9 | 6.11 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 77 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.38 | -6 | 8.88 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 78 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.32 | -6.7 | 7.4 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 79 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.19 | -11.5 | 13.38 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 80 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.07 | -10.4 | 8.86 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 81 | TCU | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.06 | -8.8 | 6.15 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 82 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7 | -13.8 | 12.59 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 83 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.68 | -5.82 | 10.07 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 84 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.29 | -8.55 | 8.36 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.23 | -8.45 | 6.17 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 86 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -9.56 | 15.58 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 87 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.09 | -11.3 | 16.58 | 2.38 | 0.62 |
| 88 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.88 | -12.7 | 13.32 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 89 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.5 | -6.73 | 9.93 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 90 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.49 | -23.1 | 15.03 | 1.32 | 1.68 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.37 | -21.5 | 13.01 | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| 92 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.45 | -3.7 | 14.38 | 3.99 | -1.99 |
| 93 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.08 | -6.6 | 15.43 | 3.43 | -1.43 |
| 94 | NC State | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.97 | -14.11 | 14.48 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 95 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.95 | -7.2 | 12 | 3.73 | -1.73 |
| 96 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.75 | -17.78 | 13.41 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 97 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.71 | -10.5 | 13.92 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 98 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.55 | -10.4 | 5.96 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 99 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.38 | -16.2 | 13.89 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 100 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.34 | -13.6 | 10.79 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 101 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.19 | -8.73 | 9.89 | 3.18 | -1.18 |
| 102 | Boise State | Big West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.71 | -15.82 | 4.69 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 103 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.71 | -20.27 | 11.43 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| 104 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.7 | -20.91 | 13.12 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 105 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.62 | -21.55 | 8.01 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 106 | Temple | Big East | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.11 | -14.7 | 12.32 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.91 | 7.13 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 108 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.41 | -22.09 | 7.11 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 109 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.62 | -24.73 | 15.01 | 1.62 | -0.62 |
| 110 | Duke | ACC | 0-10 | 0 | -2.49 | -20 | 14.96 | 1.2 | -1.2 |