Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.147250+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.65 | 30.1 | 11.97 | 9.64 | 0.36 |
| 2 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 25 | 11.57 | 9.78 | 1.22 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.23 | 34.6 | 9.35 | 9.46 | 0.54 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.56 | 36.4 | 12.24 | 9.72 | -0.72 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.52 | 29.18 | 11.33 | 10.56 | -0.56 |
| 6 | BYU | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.75 | 23.54 | 7.21 | 11.4 | 0.6 |
| 7 | Colorado | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.7 | 12.5 | 11.99 | 7.75 | 1.25 |
| 8 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.63 | 16.4 | 10.6 | 8.43 | 0.57 |
| 9 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.32 | 16.64 | 7.52 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.71 | 15.4 | 5.66 | 8.24 | 0.76 |
| 11 | North Carolina | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.27 | 20.64 | 12.22 | 10.28 | -1.28 |
| 12 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.15 | 14.5 | 11.67 | 9.9 | 0.1 |
| 13 | Washington | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.05 | 13.55 | 12.85 | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| 14 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.86 | 23.3 | 12 | 8.99 | -0.99 |
| 15 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.71 | 22.3 | 11.22 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 16 | Alabama | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.66 | 12.09 | 10.98 | 9.18 | -0.18 |
| 17 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.65 | 13.91 | 10.31 | 9.01 | -0.01 |
| 18 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.58 | 22.5 | 10.47 | 8.98 | -0.98 |
| 19 | LSU | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.17 | 11.2 | 11.12 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 20 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.04 | 7.09 | 9.4 | 7.33 | 1.67 |
| 21 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.2 | 8.3 | 6.42 | 6.67 | 1.33 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.64 | 8.73 | 12.87 | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| 23 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.49 | 11.09 | 10.12 | 9.02 | -1.02 |
| 24 | Virginia | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.28 | 16.5 | 11.73 | 8.57 | -1.57 |
| 25 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.27 | 6.27 | 11.94 | 7.08 | 0.92 |
| 26 | Nevada | Big West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.14 | 21.27 | 5.01 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 27 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.06 | 3.64 | 12.72 | 6.47 | 1.53 |
| 28 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.95 | 8.09 | 8.29 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 29 | Miami | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.88 | 14.1 | 9.89 | 8.19 | -1.19 |
| 30 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.76 | 8.1 | 11.81 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 31 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.63 | 12 | 8.95 | 7 | 0 |
| 32 | Auburn | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.71 | 10.73 | 12.25 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 33 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.6 | 10.73 | 11.98 | 8.21 | -1.21 |
| 34 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.88 | 13.4 | 12.01 | 7.69 | -1.69 |
| 35 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.69 | 11.9 | 11.21 | 7.32 | -1.32 |
| 36 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.49 | 3 | 9.73 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 37 | Clemson | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.79 | 0.64 | 9.35 | 5.69 | 1.31 |
| 38 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.66 | 11.82 | 12.21 | 8.37 | -2.37 |
| 39 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.37 | 8.55 | 11.38 | 7.4 | -1.4 |
| 40 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.3 | 3.67 | 10.05 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 41 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.24 | 9.55 | 9.9 | 8.36 | -2.36 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.98 | 5.18 | 11.69 | 6.95 | -0.95 |
| 43 | Rice | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.73 | -1.45 | 10.48 | 5.16 | 1.84 |
| 44 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.52 | 2 | 13.31 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 45 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.28 | 4.64 | 6.16 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 46 | Idaho | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.26 | 7.09 | 3.54 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 47 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.13 | 1.45 | 10.97 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 48 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.06 | 0.64 | 12.99 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 49 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 5.42 | 10.53 | 7.68 | -1.68 |
| 50 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 12.8 | -4.45 | 7.43 | 4.16 | 2.84 |
| 51 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.53 | 0.82 | 6.63 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 52 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.85 | 4.64 | 13.23 | 6.7 | -1.7 |
| 53 | California | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.84 | -1.91 | 12.11 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 54 | Utah State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.71 | -0.82 | 7.6 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 55 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.55 | -1.82 | 10.2 | 4.91 | 1.09 |
| 56 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.4 | 2.73 | 11.84 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 57 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.16 | -0.7 | 12.6 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 58 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.11 | 1.09 | 15.03 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 59 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.49 | 1.45 | 5.89 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 60 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.08 | -0.27 | 10.77 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 61 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.93 | -0.18 | 8.92 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 62 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.69 | -5 | 8.25 | 3.72 | 1.28 |
| 63 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.43 | 0.3 | 12.1 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 64 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.39 | -2.09 | 11.64 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 65 | SMU | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.26 | -1.91 | 9.86 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 66 | UAB | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.06 | -1.18 | 4.59 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 67 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.95 | -4.73 | 11.49 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 68 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.56 | -9.09 | 13.22 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 69 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.49 | -8.91 | 12.77 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 70 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.36 | -7.64 | 9.2 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 71 | Georgia | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.1 | -3.6 | 13.84 | 4.08 | -0.08 |
| 72 | North Texas | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.06 | -12 | 8.84 | 2.14 | 2.86 |
| 73 | Boston College | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.94 | -8.33 | 13.1 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 74 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.58 | -14.64 | 3.04 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 75 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.48 | -8.3 | 14.43 | 2.78 | 1.22 |
| 76 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.81 | -5.27 | 11.69 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 77 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.8 | -4.91 | 10.59 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 78 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.65 | -7.09 | 12.63 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 79 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -5.82 | 9.93 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 80 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.56 | -9.45 | 14.91 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 81 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -7 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 82 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.38 | -8 | 8.98 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 83 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.26 | -8.55 | 8.14 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 84 | TCU | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.22 | -8.27 | 6.45 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.15 | -8.45 | 5.92 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 86 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.05 | -16.73 | 13.06 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 87 | NC State | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.86 | -11.2 | 13.24 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 88 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.86 | -4.45 | 14.4 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 89 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.48 | -6.73 | 9.71 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 90 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.45 | -23.1 | 15.2 | 1.32 | 1.68 |
| 91 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -11.82 | 15.18 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 92 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.18 | -12.45 | 13.18 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 93 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.76 | -20.91 | 12.21 | 1.04 | 1.96 |
| 94 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.27 | -18.92 | 11.41 | 1.89 | 1.11 |
| 95 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.78 | -5 | 14.74 | 4.04 | -2.04 |
| 96 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.68 | -10.5 | 13.79 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 97 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.42 | -7.91 | 12.89 | 3.95 | -1.95 |
| 98 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.27 | -8.73 | 9.58 | 3.18 | -1.18 |
| 99 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.14 | -22.2 | 13.98 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 100 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.02 | -11.91 | 6.7 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 101 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -16.55 | 13.86 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 102 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -15.64 | 10.55 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 103 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.68 | -20.27 | 11.43 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.59 | -21.55 | 8.06 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 105 | Boise State | Big West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -18.25 | 5.31 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 106 | Temple | Big East | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.15 | -15.27 | 12.72 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.38 | -20.91 | 7.41 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 108 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.42 | -22.09 | 7.08 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 109 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.7 | -22.92 | 13.49 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 110 | Duke | ACC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.49 | -19.73 | 15.73 | 1.29 | -1.29 |