Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.143823+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virginia | ACC | 4-0 | 1 | 27.58 | 27.75 | 14.87 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 2 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-0 | 1 | 27.48 | 22 | 15.18 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-0 | 1 | 27.36 | 49.33 | 11.95 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 4 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 27.12 | 25.4 | 13.38 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 5 | LSU | SEC | 3-0 | 1 | 26.52 | 20.33 | 10.83 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 6 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 13.5 | 10.93 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 7 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-0 | 1 | 26.02 | 13.67 | 10.3 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 4-0 | 1 | 25.77 | 38.25 | 5.18 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 3-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 28 | 7.05 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 10 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-0 | 1 | 25.55 | 17.4 | 7.2 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 11 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 25.49 | 17.2 | 6.82 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | 4-0 | 1 | 25.32 | 11 | 7.77 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 13 | California | Pac-10 | 4-0 | 1 | 25.2 | 12.25 | 6.45 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 14 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-0 | 1 | 25.2 | 31.25 | 3.12 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 15 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-0 | 1 | 25.19 | 17.33 | 5.12 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 16 | Miami | Big East | 4-0 | 1 | 25.06 | 36.75 | 2.21 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 17 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-0 | 1 | 24.43 | 10.67 | 3.65 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 18 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.62 | 14.4 | 12.99 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 19 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.22 | 8.6 | 12.9 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 20 | Auburn | SEC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 21.12 | 26 | 13.33 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 21 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.99 | 16.25 | 11.78 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 22 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.62 | 9.75 | 16.28 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 23 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.46 | 16.75 | 8.98 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 24 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.35 | 20.25 | 10.13 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 25 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.17 | 29.5 | 7.86 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 26 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.16 | 12.8 | 4.42 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 27 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.14 | 8 | 10.2 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 28 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.93 | 15.75 | 9.96 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 29 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.89 | 15 | 9.48 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 30 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 8.25 | 11.56 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 31 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.45 | 10.5 | 8 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 32 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 2-1 | 0.67 | 19.32 | 26 | 16.38 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 33 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-1 | 0.67 | 19.23 | 7.67 | 21.08 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 34 | Tennessee | SEC | 2-1 | 0.67 | 18.96 | 22.67 | 12.61 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 35 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.78 | 6.5 | 1.56 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 36 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.24 | 10.5 | -0.1 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 37 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-1 | 0.67 | 18.11 | 11.33 | 10.98 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 38 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.04 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 39 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-1 | 0.67 | 17.86 | 19 | 1.55 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 40 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.82 | -0.5 | 14.01 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 41 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-1 | 0.67 | 17.65 | 3.33 | 16.02 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 42 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2-1 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 6.33 | 8.87 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 43 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 17.36 | 1.75 | 2.68 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 44 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-1 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 0.33 | 8.06 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 45 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.94 | 4.4 | 9.61 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 46 | Texas | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.63 | 9.25 | 14.13 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 47 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.4 | 14 | 15.88 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 48 | Maryland | ACC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.31 | 4.25 | 16.64 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 49 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.21 | -1.6 | 12.51 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 50 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.18 | 11.5 | 11.63 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 51 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.15 | 5 | 13.35 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 52 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.29 | 2 | 10.95 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 53 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 8.5 | 7.87 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 54 | Houston | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 1.75 | 10.57 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 55 | Nevada | Big West | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.61 | 3.25 | 10.16 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 56 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.48 | 0.75 | 11.14 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 57 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.12 | 4.25 | 4.43 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 58 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 11.98 | 1.25 | 9.87 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 59 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.75 | 10 | 10 | 3.83 | -1.83 |
| 60 | Boston College | Big East | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.44 | -9 | 20.22 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 61 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -3.5 | 11.65 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 62 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.28 | -8.5 | 13.64 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| 63 | UAB | FBS Independents | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -5.25 | 8.49 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 64 | Louisville | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.19 | -0.2 | 17.06 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 65 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -6.75 | 13.84 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 66 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.11 | -11.5 | 18.9 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 67 | Clemson | ACC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.58 | -8 | 8.38 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 68 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-2 | 0.33 | 9.27 | 4 | 25.77 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 69 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.13 | -1.6 | 13.14 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 70 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 1-2 | 0.33 | 8.89 | 0 | 18.25 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 71 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.65 | -3.2 | 8.4 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 72 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.65 | -2.8 | 7.91 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 73 | Tulane | Conference USA | 1-2 | 0.33 | 8.62 | 2 | 7.4 | 1.69 | -0.69 |
| 74 | Utah State | Big West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.15 | -5.2 | 5.67 | 2 | 0 |
| 75 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-2 | 0.33 | 8.02 | 0.67 | 6.15 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 76 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 7.98 | 7.5 | 12.7 | 2.63 | -1.63 |
| 77 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.8 | -11.8 | 12.2 | 1 | 1 |
| 78 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-3 | 0.4 | 6.93 | -16.6 | 3.38 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 79 | Georgia | SEC | 1-2 | 0.33 | 6.9 | -3.33 | 16.11 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 80 | Idaho | Big West | 1-3 | 0.25 | 6.84 | 2 | 6 | 2.15 | -1.15 |
| 81 | Arkansas | SEC | 1-2 | 0.33 | 6.45 | -2 | 15.8 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 82 | TCU | Western Athletic | 1-2 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -14 | 14.44 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 83 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.79 | -4.25 | 17.39 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 84 | Missouri | Big 12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.23 | -8.25 | 10.23 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 85 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.15 | -10.75 | 16.73 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 86 | Temple | Big East | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -11.25 | 15.7 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 87 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -12.75 | 5.76 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 88 | Rice | Western Athletic | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -27.75 | 20.45 | 0.25 | 0.75 |
| 89 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -18.5 | 14.68 | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| 90 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -26.75 | 16.33 | 0.05 | 0.95 |
| 91 | North Texas | Big West | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -27.75 | 13.44 | 0.14 | 0.86 |
| 92 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.24 | -25.25 | 4.17 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 93 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.12 | -16.5 | 13.89 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 94 | Boise State | Big West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.01 | -5.2 | -3.13 | 1.86 | -0.86 |
| 95 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 1-3 | 0.25 | 2.91 | -18.25 | 8.6 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 96 | UCF | FBS Independents | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.71 | -13 | 10.13 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 97 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.55 | -16.4 | 10.09 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 98 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.41 | -24 | 19.3 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 99 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.33 | -18.8 | 9.33 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| 100 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.23 | -24.6 | 15.2 | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| 101 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.2 | -12.2 | 11.03 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 102 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.13 | -24 | 9.11 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 103 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-3 | 0 | -2.13 | -9.33 | 23.25 | 0.69 | -0.69 |
| 104 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.16 | -14 | 5.73 | 0.88 | -0.88 |
| 105 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 0-3 | 0 | -2.24 | -13.33 | 11.42 | 0.71 | -0.71 |
| 106 | NC State | ACC | 0-3 | 0 | -2.69 | -22.33 | 13.47 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 107 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 0-4 | 0 | -2.71 | -22 | 15.69 | 0.61 | -0.61 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-5 | 0 | -2.88 | -30.2 | 12.53 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 0-4 | 0 | -3 | -26.5 | 21.92 | 0.32 | -0.32 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-5 | 0 | -3.22 | -34.6 | 20.77 | 0.27 | -0.27 |