Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.144221+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 27.25 | 44.75 | 13.33 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 2 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.6 | 27.4 | 11.84 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 3 | LSU | SEC | 4-0 | 1 | 25.54 | 24 | 7.23 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 4 | Florida | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 25.52 | 37.6 | 5.8 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 25.5 | 14.4 | 9.37 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 6 | California | Pac-10 | 5-0 | 1 | 25.46 | 11.2 | 10.12 | 3.48 | 1.52 |
| 7 | Florida State | ACC | 4-0 | 1 | 25.41 | 28.75 | 6.22 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 8 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 17.33 | 8 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 9 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 25.17 | 18.17 | 6.72 | 4.79 | 1.21 |
| 10 | Miami | Big East | 4-0 | 1 | 24.65 | 36.75 | 1.71 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 11 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-0 | 1 | 24.04 | 19.5 | 0.73 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 12 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.8 | 16 | 14.1 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 13 | Virginia | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.19 | 21 | 13.06 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 14 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.98 | 16.67 | 11.3 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 15 | Auburn | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.94 | 21.6 | 14.23 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 16 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.92 | 20.8 | 14.37 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 17 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 21.55 | 28.5 | 18.57 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 18 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.53 | 10.6 | 12.69 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 19 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.04 | 12.8 | 11.51 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 20 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.02 | 17.8 | 7.5 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 21 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.95 | 8.6 | 12.13 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 22 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.71 | 11 | 17.82 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 23 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.59 | 9.6 | 10.14 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 24 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.54 | 26.5 | 12.42 | 3.66 | -0.66 |
| 25 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.39 | 9.75 | 15.58 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 26 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.88 | 29.5 | 7.03 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 27 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.74 | 16.75 | 8.62 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 28 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 15 | 7.89 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 29 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 8 | 10.75 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 30 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.45 | 5 | 9.46 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 31 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.42 | 6.5 | 12.37 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 32 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 7.25 | 6.03 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 33 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19 | 3 | 5.34 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 34 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 6.5 | 6.51 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 35 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.56 | 9.5 | 5.06 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 36 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 18.38 | 21.25 | -0.32 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 37 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-1 | 0.67 | 17.75 | 11.33 | 9.93 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.03 | 15.4 | 16.86 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 39 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.98 | 14.8 | 13.2 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 40 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.82 | 7.83 | 3.54 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 41 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.77 | 18.8 | 13.42 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 42 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.45 | 10.8 | 14.38 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 43 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.92 | 5 | 11.06 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 44 | Nevada | Big West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.27 | 10 | 5.89 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 45 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.96 | 2.8 | 9.88 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 46 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.82 | 2 | 10.44 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 47 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.29 | 13.5 | 17.09 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 48 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.1 | 0.8 | 3.59 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 49 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.84 | -2 | 13.53 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 50 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.73 | 13.67 | 9.88 | 4.93 | -1.93 |
| 51 | UAB | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.47 | 0.6 | 3.82 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 52 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.47 | 4.75 | 16.55 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 53 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 8.5 | 7.55 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 54 | Georgia | SEC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.89 | 2.25 | 16.64 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 55 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.56 | -6.4 | 13.14 | 1.46 | 1.54 |
| 56 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.34 | -9.4 | 7.51 | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| 57 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 1.25 | 9.29 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 58 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.79 | 16 | 14.34 | 3.95 | -1.95 |
| 59 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 11.37 | -2.25 | 11.6 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 60 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.07 | 5.4 | 10.52 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 61 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.93 | 3.4 | 11.22 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 62 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.87 | -0.67 | 7.21 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 63 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -4.5 | 13.35 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 64 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.71 | -4.67 | 10.15 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 65 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.51 | -3.5 | 10.47 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 66 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.36 | 0.8 | 13.65 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 67 | Louisville | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.85 | -0.2 | 18.16 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 68 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.72 | 2 | 1.13 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 69 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.71 | 1.2 | 10.92 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 70 | Idaho | Big West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.59 | 2.6 | 2.72 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 71 | Maryland | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.11 | -1.8 | 12.56 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 72 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 8.76 | -13.33 | 1.63 | 1.03 | 1.97 |
| 73 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.08 | -5.8 | 11.87 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 74 | Boston College | Big East | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.03 | -10.6 | 17.9 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 75 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.94 | -10.6 | 16.75 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 76 | Missouri | Big 12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.55 | -6.4 | 11.02 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 77 | Clemson | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.4 | -12.6 | 9.76 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| 78 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.28 | -12.6 | 16.08 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 79 | Rice | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.24 | -18.8 | 20.3 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| 80 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.19 | -14.2 | 15.4 | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| 81 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 2-3 | 0.4 | 6.88 | -8.2 | 2.79 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 82 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.76 | -2.5 | 8.23 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 83 | North Texas | Big West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 6.62 | -21.6 | 10.56 | 0.41 | 1.59 |
| 84 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 6.41 | -17.2 | 3.79 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 85 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -6.67 | 12.32 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 86 | Utah State | Big West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -9 | 9.21 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 87 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -16.33 | 14.59 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| 88 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.3 | -19.83 | 16.35 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 89 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.62 | -4.75 | 7.98 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 90 | Arkansas | SEC | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.26 | -10.25 | 16.67 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 91 | TCU | Western Athletic | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -17.5 | 11.1 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 92 | NC State | ACC | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -10.25 | 15.66 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 93 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.33 | -18.25 | 6.92 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 94 | Temple | Big East | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.97 | -9.2 | 13.89 | 1.64 | -0.64 |
| 95 | UCF | FBS Independents | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.54 | -13 | 9.63 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 96 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -17 | 11.97 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| 97 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.19 | -27 | 17.11 | 0.07 | 0.93 |
| 98 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.86 | -12.67 | 8.88 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 99 | Boise State | Big West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -12.5 | 1.49 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 100 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -14.83 | 10.86 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| 101 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.66 | -17.67 | 10.5 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 102 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.51 | -20.5 | 8.44 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 103 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.5 | -24.33 | 18.43 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 104 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.2 | -15.5 | 5.7 | 0.84 | -0.84 |
| 105 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 0-4 | 0 | -2.4 | -17 | 13.12 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-4 | 0 | -2.5 | -15.75 | 22.55 | 0.41 | -0.41 |
| 107 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 0-4 | 0 | -2.67 | -22 | 15.39 | 0.61 | -0.61 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-5 | 0 | -2.86 | -30.2 | 12.69 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 0-5 | 0 | -3.01 | -28.6 | 21.41 | 0.45 | -0.45 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-6 | 0 | -3.11 | -35 | 17.72 | 0.33 | -0.33 |