Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.144620+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 27.16 | 36.4 | 14.92 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 2 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.34 | 24.17 | 12.51 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.02 | 26.6 | 10.91 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 4 | Florida | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 38.5 | 8.41 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 5 | California | Pac-10 | 5-0 | 1 | 25.19 | 11.2 | 9.77 | 3.48 | 1.52 |
| 6 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 25.12 | 17.33 | 7.84 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 24.77 | 12.83 | 7.05 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 8 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 24.69 | 17.57 | 5.66 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 9 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-0 | 1 | 24.03 | 19.8 | 2.19 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.66 | 32.6 | 17.8 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.65 | 16.14 | 12.23 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 12 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.43 | 22.5 | 13.76 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.34 | 23.67 | 13.03 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 14 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.25 | 19.29 | 9.4 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 15 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.8 | 10.67 | 13.61 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 16 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.51 | 23.6 | 12.57 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 17 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.49 | 11 | 11.52 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 18 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.4 | 19 | 8.58 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 19 | Virginia | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.4 | 21 | 11.73 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 20 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.32 | 12.2 | 14.49 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 21 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.23 | 13.2 | 13.9 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.22 | 10.6 | 14.02 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.07 | 10.6 | 11.41 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 24 | Miami | Big East | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.97 | 25.8 | 7.15 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 25 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.73 | 9.4 | 12.25 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 26 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.48 | 9.6 | 10.09 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 27 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.92 | 12.8 | 5.93 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 28 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.75 | 8.2 | 6.83 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 29 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.53 | 20.5 | 8.58 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 30 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 18.7 | 3 | 3.69 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 31 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.4 | 15 | 15.01 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 32 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.19 | 13.5 | 14.03 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 33 | Nevada | Big West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 14.67 | 5.24 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 34 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 7.67 | 8.25 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 35 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.85 | 5.17 | 9.72 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 36 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.69 | 20.4 | 13.5 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 37 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.68 | 23 | 9.87 | 4.49 | -1.49 |
| 38 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.46 | 7.83 | 3.77 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 39 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.35 | 12.8 | 10.67 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 40 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.05 | 2 | 17.83 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 41 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.9 | 7.8 | 9.85 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 42 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.9 | 5.4 | 12.22 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 43 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.49 | 14.4 | 3.61 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 44 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.4 | -0.5 | 12.34 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 45 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.05 | 13.14 | 8.17 | 5.6 | -1.6 |
| 46 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.05 | 7.83 | 14.99 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 47 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.99 | 13.83 | 13.32 | 4.59 | -1.59 |
| 48 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.96 | 15.17 | 9.39 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 49 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.72 | 0.8 | 4 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 50 | UAB | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.56 | 0.6 | 3.59 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 51 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.44 | 9.17 | 11.18 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 52 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.94 | -5.8 | 11.29 | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| 53 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.93 | -1.6 | 9.4 | 2.27 | 0.73 |
| 54 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.63 | 2.5 | 11.74 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 55 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.39 | 1.17 | 10.02 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 56 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.27 | 1.5 | 11.06 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 57 | Louisville | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.14 | 0.33 | 14.9 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 58 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.01 | 2.2 | 17.66 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 59 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.86 | 6.2 | 8.29 | 3.41 | -1.41 |
| 60 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -8.17 | 13.26 | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| 61 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -7 | 15.13 | 2.27 | 0.73 |
| 62 | Boston College | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.16 | -7.67 | 15.65 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 63 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.85 | 0.29 | 8.85 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 64 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.78 | 0.4 | 10.79 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 65 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.75 | -11.5 | 10.11 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| 66 | Idaho | Big West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.69 | 2.6 | 2.58 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 67 | Georgia | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.56 | -0.6 | 16.05 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 68 | Clemson | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.42 | -9.33 | 7.94 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| 69 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.18 | -1.43 | 7.41 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 70 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.96 | -4.29 | 12.87 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 71 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 8.78 | -13.33 | 1.13 | 1.03 | 1.97 |
| 72 | Utah State | Big West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.46 | -3.14 | 7.06 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 73 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.34 | -6.43 | 7.32 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 74 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.96 | -4.8 | 15.45 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 75 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.91 | -8.6 | 13.69 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 76 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.82 | -3.2 | 8.56 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 77 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.68 | -0.67 | 13.76 | 2.89 | -0.89 |
| 78 | Rice | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.39 | -18.8 | 19.58 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| 79 | TCU | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.15 | -10.4 | 11.09 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 80 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.71 | -1.33 | 1.72 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 81 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 6.68 | -12.6 | 5.19 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 82 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.59 | -2.5 | 8.81 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 83 | Maryland | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.42 | -6.67 | 14.68 | 1.74 | 0.26 |
| 84 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -6 | 11.74 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 85 | Missouri | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -9.5 | 12.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 86 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -13.33 | 16.91 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 87 | UCF | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -5.5 | 6.07 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -8.67 | 4.15 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 89 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -16.5 | 13.14 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 90 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -16.33 | 13.86 | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| 91 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -15.5 | 6.67 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 92 | North Texas | Big West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.23 | -20 | 8.57 | 0.49 | 1.51 |
| 93 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.42 | -23.86 | 16.56 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| 94 | NC State | ACC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.98 | -9.2 | 17.58 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 95 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.54 | -10.2 | 18.26 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 96 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.27 | -13 | 13.42 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 97 | Temple | Big East | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.88 | -14 | 13.06 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 98 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -17.67 | 15.04 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 99 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.45 | -20.5 | 7.52 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 100 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.44 | -24.33 | 15.04 | 0.16 | 0.84 |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.11 | -14.14 | 11.3 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 102 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.98 | -16.86 | 10.04 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 103 | Boise State | Big West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.96 | -16.14 | 2.85 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 104 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.79 | -22 | 11.69 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 105 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.79 | -22.29 | 14.87 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 106 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.22 | -15.29 | 8.62 | 1.16 | -1.16 |
| 107 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 0-5 | 0 | -2.6 | -21.8 | 13.56 | 0.63 | -0.63 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.8 | -30.5 | 10.8 | 0.15 | -0.15 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 0-6 | 0 | -2.84 | -25 | 19.51 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -3.1 | -35 | 19.06 | 0.46 | -0.46 |