Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.145074+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.55 | 35 | 12.99 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 2 | Florida | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.09 | 38.86 | 10.64 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 3 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.96 | 22.57 | 11.87 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 4 | Florida State | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 25.82 | 26.6 | 10.59 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.17 | 16.29 | 9.41 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 6 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 24.6 | 17.71 | 6.07 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 7 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 24.36 | 18 | 4.89 | 6.36 | 1.64 |
| 8 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-0 | 1 | 24.03 | 20.5 | 2.89 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 9 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.05 | 29.5 | 16.95 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 10 | BYU | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.61 | 20 | 9.63 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 11 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.36 | 22.5 | 14.1 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 12 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.32 | 11.43 | 13.03 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 13 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.94 | 16.71 | 9.25 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 14 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.91 | 12.33 | 14.43 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 15 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.86 | 10 | 10.89 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Virginia | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.7 | 25.5 | 9.87 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.5 | 10 | 12.88 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 18 | California | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.44 | 8.83 | 11.64 | 4.01 | 0.99 |
| 19 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.41 | 8 | 13.42 | 4.14 | 0.86 |
| 20 | LSU | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.4 | 13.33 | 11.03 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 21 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.24 | 23.6 | 11.4 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 22 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.83 | 17.6 | 10.88 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 23 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.06 | 14 | 12.98 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 24 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.91 | 12.8 | 6.28 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 25 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.63 | 8.2 | 6.46 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.38 | 14.43 | 14.48 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 27 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.09 | 10.5 | 13.72 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 28 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.03 | 19.67 | 11.79 | 5.25 | -1.25 |
| 29 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.95 | 7 | 9.94 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 30 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.73 | 5 | 17.12 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 31 | East Carolina | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 10.67 | 12.71 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 32 | Miami | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 17.33 | 8.04 | 5.29 | -1.29 |
| 33 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 7.5 | 9.82 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 34 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.65 | 20.4 | 12.87 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 35 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.82 | 9.71 | 15.44 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 36 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.78 | 10.86 | 14.32 | 5.29 | -1.29 |
| 37 | UAB | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.46 | 2.17 | 4.1 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 38 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.21 | 10.43 | 12.01 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 39 | Nevada | Big West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.69 | 11.29 | 5.29 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 40 | Louisville | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.47 | 3.71 | 12.08 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 41 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.44 | 5.86 | 7.04 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 42 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.21 | 2.86 | 8.63 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 43 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.16 | 3 | 10.12 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 44 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.03 | 2 | 11.11 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 45 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.92 | 2.29 | 9.43 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 46 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.89 | 10 | 12.85 | 4.58 | -1.58 |
| 47 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.72 | 15.17 | 9.64 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 48 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.71 | 7.83 | 14.04 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 49 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 13.7 | -4.33 | 3.92 | 2.37 | 1.63 |
| 50 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 9.83 | 8.57 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 51 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.33 | 11.12 | 7.36 | 6.24 | -2.24 |
| 52 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.92 | -1.14 | 12.55 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 53 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.74 | 1.5 | 13.1 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 54 | Georgia | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 1.33 | 14.13 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 55 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.4 | 11.43 | 14.07 | 5.13 | -2.13 |
| 56 | Boston College | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.21 | -3.14 | 13.54 | 2.99 | 1.01 |
| 57 | Idaho | Big West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 3.67 | 5.2 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 58 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.81 | 1.62 | 6.79 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 59 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.68 | 0.88 | 7.63 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 60 | Clemson | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.27 | -7.57 | 9.66 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| 61 | Utah State | Big West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.25 | 0.38 | 6.29 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 62 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.21 | -9.71 | 10.69 | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| 63 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.94 | -0.5 | 8.94 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 64 | Maryland | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.72 | 1.71 | 13.21 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 65 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.31 | -5.5 | 11.79 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 66 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 10.27 | -11.29 | 1.52 | 1.66 | 2.34 |
| 67 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -5.5 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 68 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.11 | -5.5 | 8.53 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 69 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.78 | -12.67 | 16.53 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| 70 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.82 | -4.29 | 13.57 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 71 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.7 | -3.57 | 12.28 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 72 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.63 | -7.43 | 15.14 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 73 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.44 | 1.17 | 11.21 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 74 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.34 | -9.29 | 12.95 | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| 75 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.07 | -3.29 | 2.49 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 76 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.89 | 0.17 | 10.86 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 77 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.58 | -8.6 | 12.62 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 78 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.47 | -1.5 | 17.14 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 79 | North Texas | Big West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.41 | -15.29 | 7.94 | 0.84 | 2.16 |
| 80 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.48 | -5 | 14.49 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 81 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.48 | -1.33 | 1.77 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 82 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.24 | -1.57 | 14.89 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 83 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -5 | 4.93 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 84 | Missouri | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.82 | -9.5 | 11.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 85 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -10.17 | 13.67 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 86 | TCU | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -11 | 6.96 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 87 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.43 | -16.5 | 12.59 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 88 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -14 | 7.93 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 89 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.34 | -4.71 | 9.47 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 90 | UCF | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.15 | -4.86 | 6.58 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 91 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.8 | -15.43 | 18.35 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 92 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.46 | -14.57 | 7.89 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 93 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.36 | -21.43 | 13.09 | 0.53 | 1.47 |
| 94 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.32 | -23.86 | 16.28 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| 95 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -14.38 | 10.58 | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| 96 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.26 | -18 | 10.06 | 1 | 1 |
| 97 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.09 | -10.33 | 15.93 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 98 | NC State | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -15.67 | 17.5 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 99 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.44 | -15.83 | 11.85 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 100 | Temple | Big East | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.1 | -14.86 | 15.08 | 1.48 | -0.48 |
| 101 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.92 | -18.57 | 14.5 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 102 | Northern Illinois | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.77 | -21 | 6.97 | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| 103 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.7 | -24.71 | 15.77 | 0.23 | 0.77 |
| 104 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.68 | -13 | 10.68 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 105 | Boise State | Big West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.45 | -17.25 | 4.05 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 106 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.28 | -22.38 | 14.24 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 107 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.22 | -15.29 | 9.15 | 1.16 | -1.16 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Big West | 0-7 | 0 | -2.68 | -28 | 8.84 | 0.15 | -0.15 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 0-6 | 0 | -2.82 | -25 | 20.2 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-8 | 0 | -2.94 | -31.88 | 16.05 | 0.68 | -0.68 |