Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.326716+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.96 | 27.71 | 11.88 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.6 | 27.43 | 10.23 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 20 | 9.81 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 4 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.03 | 17 | 9.16 | 5.51 | 1.49 |
| 5 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 24.86 | 19.14 | 7.88 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 6 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 24.84 | 16.86 | 8.29 | 5.78 | 1.22 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 24.83 | 22.5 | 7.13 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.37 | 26.71 | 15.67 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 9 | Auburn | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.28 | 11.88 | 16.19 | 6.27 | 0.73 |
| 10 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.96 | 20 | 12.18 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 11 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.75 | 19.86 | 13.73 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 12 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.65 | 19.86 | 13.26 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.53 | 14 | 18.02 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 14 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.35 | 19.86 | 11.55 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 15 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.91 | 21.25 | 6.17 | 7.54 | -0.54 |
| 16 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.74 | 15.57 | 9.1 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 17 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.62 | 18 | 6.81 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 18 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.42 | 14.29 | 7.73 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 19 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.1 | 21.62 | 13.07 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 20 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.58 | 8.33 | 8.78 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 21 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.46 | 18.75 | 9.79 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 22 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.45 | 15.88 | 9.37 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.03 | 16.14 | 13.34 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 24 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.82 | 15.62 | 6.54 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 25 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.79 | 4.89 | 7.1 | 5.53 | 1.47 |
| 26 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.69 | 6 | 10.12 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 27 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.63 | 16.14 | 9.84 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 28 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.62 | 16.86 | 9.57 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 29 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.46 | 10.71 | 11.7 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 30 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.33 | 24 | 5.86 | 6.42 | -1.42 |
| 31 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.22 | 10.75 | 3.14 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 32 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.2 | 31 | 4.95 | 6.59 | -1.59 |
| 33 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.15 | 4.38 | 7.76 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 34 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.8 | 2.71 | 13.64 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 35 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.69 | 7.57 | 8.55 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 36 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.2 | 1.86 | 11.65 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 37 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 21.25 | 10.12 | 7.05 | -2.05 |
| 38 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.07 | 5.88 | 13.43 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 39 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 15.92 | -1.43 | 13.49 | 3.24 | 1.76 |
| 40 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.71 | 0.17 | 11.81 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 41 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.26 | 1.88 | 12.42 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 42 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.21 | 4.29 | 18.14 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 43 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.15 | 9.29 | 11 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 44 | Alabama | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.98 | 6.29 | 13.66 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 45 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.66 | 0.75 | 10.15 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 46 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.42 | 9.67 | 6.94 | 6.74 | -1.74 |
| 47 | Clemson | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.31 | 4.57 | 9.74 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 48 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.11 | 1.71 | 12.26 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 49 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.07 | 1.71 | 12.73 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 50 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.05 | 0.43 | 15.23 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 51 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.21 | 1.29 | 6.33 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 52 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 4.75 | 11.72 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 53 | Utah State | Big West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.09 | 11.12 | 7.83 | 5.84 | -1.84 |
| 54 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 11.33 | 4.27 | 4.54 | -1.54 |
| 55 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.62 | -1.86 | 15.04 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 56 | Virginia | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.43 | -3 | 13.06 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 57 | Idaho | Big West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.14 | 4 | 3.18 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 58 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 1.38 | 11.04 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 59 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.75 | 1.38 | 7.5 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 60 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.75 | 0.25 | 10.38 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 61 | NC State | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.41 | 4.71 | 11.83 | 4.34 | -1.34 |
| 62 | UCF | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.42 | 5.12 | 12.58 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 63 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.98 | -8.25 | 12.48 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 64 | Nevada | Big West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.75 | 2.12 | 14.86 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 65 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.54 | -1.43 | 13.11 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 66 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.32 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 67 | Miami | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.2 | -1.29 | 12.53 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 68 | UAB | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.91 | -0.86 | 3.99 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 69 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.76 | -2.86 | 11.65 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 70 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.26 | -10 | 13.59 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 71 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.17 | -12.14 | 14.63 | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| 72 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.11 | -0.75 | 6.02 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 73 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.9 | -5.86 | 5.65 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 74 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.78 | -4.5 | 16.39 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.57 | -3.88 | 10.9 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 76 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.56 | -15 | 10.75 | 1.74 | 1.26 |
| 77 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.55 | -3.62 | 9.8 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 78 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.53 | -4.38 | 10.81 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 79 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.2 | -7.38 | 15.44 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 80 | Boise State | Big West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.81 | -7.75 | 6.3 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 81 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.75 | -10.5 | 8.67 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 82 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -6.22 | 16.67 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 83 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.03 | -1.57 | 10.13 | 3.19 | -1.19 |
| 84 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -12.56 | 15.97 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 85 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.66 | -7.78 | 8.51 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 86 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -9.67 | 9.29 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 87 | California | Pac-10 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.23 | -7.43 | 15.61 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 88 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.69 | -3.5 | 13.08 | 3.41 | -1.41 |
| 89 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.55 | -13.29 | 14.86 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 90 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.32 | -17.86 | 15.17 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 91 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.14 | -19.29 | 6.69 | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -8.75 | 11.78 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 93 | Boston College | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.97 | -9.38 | 11.17 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 94 | Maryland | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -14.12 | 15.64 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 95 | North Texas | Big West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -12.75 | 9.2 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 96 | Temple | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -18.62 | 13.16 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 97 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -14.88 | 11.32 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.21 | -16 | 5.41 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 99 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.76 | -17.22 | 9.48 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 100 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.94 | -17.29 | 12.13 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 101 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.9 | -18.14 | 12.53 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 102 | Louisville | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.51 | -16 | 9.41 | 1.79 | -0.79 |
| 103 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.45 | -25.14 | 14.28 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 104 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.32 | -20.5 | 6.32 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 105 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.28 | -22.25 | 15.83 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 106 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.22 | -24.38 | 18.54 | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| 107 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.13 | -26.5 | 9.16 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 108 | TCU | Western Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -2.15 | -14.29 | 9.12 | 1.19 | -1.19 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.55 | -22.25 | 12.18 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-8 | 0 | -2.74 | -27.62 | 12.98 | 0.82 | -0.82 |
| 111 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-7 | 0 | -2.75 | -24.86 | 17.8 | 0.34 | -0.34 |