Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.327086+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 32 | 11.08 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 25.62 | 10.44 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.05 | 20.12 | 9.2 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 4 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-0 | 1 | 24.98 | 15.62 | 9.9 | 6.42 | 1.58 |
| 5 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 24.77 | 17.12 | 8.45 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 6 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 24.57 | 19.71 | 6.93 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.13 | 20.44 | 12.39 | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.09 | 14.14 | 17.86 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 9 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.01 | 20.75 | 13 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 10 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.99 | 18.75 | 13.29 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.98 | 19.88 | 13.05 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 12 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.28 | 13.25 | 10 | 5.83 | 1.17 |
| 13 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.78 | 19.44 | 5.08 | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| 14 | Florida | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.62 | 20.88 | 16.11 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 15 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.61 | 21.44 | 12.42 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 16 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.5 | 8.33 | 15.29 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 17 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.17 | 19.56 | 10.24 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.83 | 18.5 | 12.71 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 19 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.82 | 8.2 | 9.04 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 20 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.64 | 11 | 14.2 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 21 | Marshall | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.47 | 17 | 6.5 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 22 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.32 | 29.38 | 7.35 | 7.47 | -1.47 |
| 23 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 15.38 | 9.37 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 24 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.3 | 11.38 | 10.64 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.28 | 19.38 | 8.94 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.27 | 21.38 | 8.49 | 7.13 | -1.13 |
| 27 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 8.75 | 9.11 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 28 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.81 | 4.56 | 8.1 | 5.37 | 1.63 |
| 29 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.81 | 7.5 | 10.53 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 30 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.8 | 12.89 | 3.56 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 31 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.76 | 4.89 | 7.26 | 5.53 | 1.47 |
| 32 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.26 | 1.25 | 14.48 | 4.28 | 1.72 |
| 33 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.83 | 22.22 | 10.92 | 8.04 | -2.04 |
| 34 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.68 | 13.33 | 11.56 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 35 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.71 | 4.56 | 9.96 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 36 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.54 | 2.78 | 12.19 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 37 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.36 | 11.12 | 11.19 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 38 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.34 | 15.12 | 10.49 | 6.33 | -1.33 |
| 39 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.75 | 1 | 9.87 | 4.71 | 1.29 |
| 40 | Clemson | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 6.12 | 9.4 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 41 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.41 | 11.1 | 8.49 | 7.71 | -1.71 |
| 42 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 3 | 12.25 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 43 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.58 | 0.12 | 11.81 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 44 | BYU | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.57 | 0.25 | 11.19 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 45 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.51 | 3.56 | 14.21 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 46 | Utah State | Big West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.32 | 10.33 | 7.4 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 47 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.84 | 0.43 | 15.22 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 48 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.71 | 5.78 | 5.9 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 49 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.36 | -0.29 | 14.51 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.23 | 4.75 | 13.6 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 51 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.14 | 2.5 | 16.57 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 52 | Miami | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 2.88 | 10.93 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 53 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.87 | 0.12 | 13.04 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 54 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.72 | 1 | 6.97 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 55 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.7 | 0.25 | 11.39 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 56 | Nevada | Big West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.51 | 4.22 | 12.81 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 57 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.27 | -6.22 | 11.55 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 58 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.26 | -1 | 13.27 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 59 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.25 | 9.14 | 5.16 | 5.03 | -2.03 |
| 60 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.24 | -0.25 | 11.59 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 61 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.95 | 1 | 15.34 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 62 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.63 | 0.33 | 13.11 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 63 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -5 | 15.77 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 64 | Idaho | Big West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.51 | 3.22 | 1.84 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 65 | NC State | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.01 | 2.5 | 13.84 | 4.47 | -1.47 |
| 66 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.8 | -0.67 | 10.83 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 67 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.15 | 1.25 | 9.91 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 68 | UCF | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 9.01 | 4.11 | 11.82 | 5.17 | -2.17 |
| 69 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.12 | -12.14 | 15.74 | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| 70 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.94 | -5.86 | 4.96 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 71 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.7 | -4.5 | 16.59 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 72 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.7 | -3.62 | 12.71 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 73 | California | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.57 | -4.12 | 15.4 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 74 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.41 | -5.3 | 7.29 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 75 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.37 | -4.38 | 10.68 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 76 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.21 | -8.3 | 8.99 | 2.93 | 1.07 |
| 77 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7 | -9 | 11.97 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 78 | UAB | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7 | -5.38 | 5.15 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 79 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.84 | -9.88 | 13.21 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 80 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.5 | -15.75 | 10.43 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 81 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.43 | -3.78 | 11.96 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 82 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.32 | -3.56 | 8.33 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 83 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.26 | -15.5 | 8.4 | 1.16 | 1.84 |
| 84 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -9.22 | 14.35 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 85 | Boise State | Big West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -7.33 | 7.19 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 86 | Boston College | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -8.22 | 11.88 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 87 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -10.11 | 10.75 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 88 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -10.11 | 10.27 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 89 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.66 | -5.9 | 17.37 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 90 | Temple | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -11.89 | 11.36 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 91 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.39 | -12.22 | 10.16 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 92 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.01 | -12.2 | 14.59 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 93 | Duke | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -8.75 | 11.56 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 94 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.71 | -5.44 | 14.45 | 3.41 | -1.41 |
| 95 | North Texas | Big West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -12.75 | 8.52 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 96 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.88 | 12.81 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 97 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -20.75 | 13.97 | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| 98 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.39 | -14.88 | 10.18 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 99 | Maryland | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.87 | -17.56 | 15.57 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.67 | -16.56 | 5.64 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 101 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.62 | -19.78 | 16.08 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 102 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.25 | -18.3 | 10.64 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 103 | Louisville | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.28 | -15.78 | 8.63 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 104 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.23 | -23.25 | 12.93 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 105 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.05 | -21.67 | 14.11 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 106 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.04 | -21.78 | 6.41 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 107 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.19 | -29.78 | 9.68 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 108 | TCU | Western Athletic | 0-8 | 0 | -2.24 | -16.25 | 9.6 | 1.14 | -1.14 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.48 | -20.33 | 13.04 | 0.89 | -0.89 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-8 | 0 | -2.67 | -23.88 | 15.88 | 0.38 | -0.38 |
| 111 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-9 | 0 | -2.74 | -29.22 | 11.82 | 0.78 | -0.78 |