Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.327448+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.7 | 29.22 | 11.55 | 8.29 | 0.71 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 24.67 | 12.09 | 8.24 | 0.76 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.33 | 20.78 | 11.09 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 4 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.42 | 15.38 | 17.06 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.18 | 21.2 | 11.69 | 9.24 | -0.24 |
| 6 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.1 | 20.22 | 12.75 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.86 | 19.88 | 12.72 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 8 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.39 | 19.56 | 8.96 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 9 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.37 | 13.33 | 9.84 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 10 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.1 | 10.33 | 9.21 | 6.48 | 1.52 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.05 | 14 | 9.04 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.87 | 20 | 14.84 | 7.81 | -0.81 |
| 13 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.7 | 21.4 | 10.67 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 14 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.52 | 18.11 | 12.35 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.43 | 19.44 | 12.31 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 16 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.43 | 21.44 | 11.64 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.31 | 8.33 | 15.37 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 18 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.15 | 9.64 | 8.14 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 19 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20 | 10.56 | 12.45 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 20 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.84 | 15.1 | 6.37 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 21 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.84 | 10.22 | 11.61 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 22 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.84 | 17.44 | 9.15 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 23 | Marshall | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.82 | 18.1 | 6.1 | 8.13 | -0.13 |
| 24 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.79 | 16.22 | 9.18 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 25 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.7 | 22.11 | 7.16 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 26 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.21 | 4.7 | 8.09 | 6.16 | 1.84 |
| 27 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.11 | 4.4 | 7.67 | 5.93 | 2.07 |
| 28 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 8.75 | 10.21 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 29 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.77 | 12.89 | 3.64 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 30 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.42 | 14.4 | 12.8 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 31 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.35 | 20.7 | 10.43 | 8.86 | -1.86 |
| 32 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.26 | 1.25 | 14.23 | 4.28 | 1.72 |
| 33 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.71 | 25.78 | 8.87 | 8.29 | -2.29 |
| 34 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 14.78 | 10.22 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 35 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.34 | 6 | 9.62 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 36 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 4 | 11.77 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 37 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.69 | 2.3 | 9.26 | 5.53 | 1.47 |
| 38 | Clemson | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.55 | 6.44 | 8.57 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 39 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 3.11 | 11.81 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 40 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.23 | 11.18 | 8.25 | 8.43 | -1.43 |
| 41 | Rice | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.13 | 2.22 | 10.51 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 42 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.9 | 1.33 | 10.65 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 43 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.25 | 1.62 | 14.05 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.97 | 9.78 | 12.81 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 45 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.88 | 1.8 | 13.27 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 46 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.37 | 3.56 | 14.09 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 47 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.25 | 2.78 | 14.92 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 48 | Utah State | Big West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.24 | 10.33 | 6.69 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 49 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.72 | 1.67 | 12.92 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 50 | SMU | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.32 | 1.33 | 10.31 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 51 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.23 | 0.56 | 12.29 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 52 | Nevada | Big West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.93 | 5.2 | 11.99 | 5.99 | -0.99 |
| 53 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 12 | 5.58 | 6.12 | -2.12 |
| 54 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.34 | -1.78 | 15.36 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 55 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 1.4 | 6.99 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 56 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.69 | 0.8 | 9.56 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 57 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.69 | 1 | 7.84 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 58 | NC State | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.42 | 4.11 | 12.35 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 59 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.4 | -0.75 | 14.71 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 60 | Miami | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.18 | 2.33 | 12.19 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 61 | Alabama | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.06 | 1.22 | 14.11 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 62 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.86 | 1 | 13.84 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 63 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.49 | 0.33 | 13.28 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 64 | Idaho | Big West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.41 | 3.22 | 2.03 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 65 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.75 | -8.8 | 11.78 | 2.46 | 2.54 |
| 66 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.45 | -1.78 | 14.74 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 67 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.2 | -1.91 | 8.73 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 68 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.1 | -3.56 | 13 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 69 | UCF | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.91 | 4.11 | 11.78 | 5.17 | -2.17 |
| 70 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.69 | -0.6 | 11.11 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 71 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.3 | -8.67 | 12.46 | 2.66 | 1.34 |
| 72 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.7 | -5.6 | 13.02 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 73 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.42 | -0.22 | 10.2 | 4.44 | -1.44 |
| 74 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.24 | -8.3 | 8.69 | 2.93 | 1.07 |
| 75 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.06 | -4.18 | 14.41 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 76 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.93 | -11.88 | 14.99 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| 77 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.76 | -8.12 | 6.81 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 78 | California | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.45 | -4.44 | 14.98 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 79 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -5.44 | 12.34 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 80 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -5.33 | 11.54 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 81 | UAB | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -5.11 | 6.97 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 82 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -9.56 | 11.39 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 83 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -10.11 | 9.96 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 84 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.47 | -4.4 | 9.05 | 3.99 | -0.99 |
| 85 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.4 | -14.11 | 9.98 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 86 | North Texas | Big West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.4 | -10.11 | 7.41 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 87 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -15.33 | 8.83 | 1.32 | 1.68 |
| 88 | Boston College | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.19 | -8.1 | 12.39 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 89 | Boise State | Big West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5 | -8 | 7.42 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 90 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.94 | -11.4 | 12.12 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 91 | Temple | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.78 | -13.9 | 11.87 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 92 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.76 | -12 | 8.74 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 93 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.22 | -13.64 | 15.23 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 94 | Duke | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.26 | -8.78 | 11.55 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 95 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.98 | -7.7 | 14.87 | 3.26 | -1.26 |
| 96 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.88 | -14.33 | 10.66 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 97 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.85 | -16.33 | 13.45 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 98 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.72 | -19.78 | 15.86 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 99 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.64 | -21.44 | 13.23 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| 100 | Maryland | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.35 | -17.5 | 15.1 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 101 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.25 | -16 | 5.99 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 102 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.16 | -18.5 | 13.1 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.02 | -18.8 | 5.51 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 104 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.8 | -17.91 | 11.11 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 105 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.06 | -21.22 | 13.49 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 106 | Louisville | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.04 | -16.1 | 9.35 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 107 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.52 | -33.8 | 10.5 | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| 108 | TCU | Western Athletic | 0-9 | 0 | -2.26 | -16.56 | 10.12 | 1.31 | -1.31 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-10 | 0 | -2.49 | -21.1 | 12.4 | 0.91 | -0.91 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-9 | 0 | -2.59 | -22.67 | 14.62 | 0.57 | -0.57 |
| 111 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-10 | 0 | -2.68 | -27.7 | 11.49 | 0.9 | -0.9 |