Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.327815+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.64 | 27.3 | 11.91 | 9.32 | 0.68 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.41 | 32.6 | 10.09 | 9.34 | 0.66 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.3 | 19.7 | 11.47 | 9.46 | 0.54 |
| 4 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.33 | 14.56 | 15.81 | 7.12 | 0.88 |
| 5 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.19 | 19.9 | 12.45 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.06 | 22.45 | 9.97 | 10.28 | -0.28 |
| 7 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.56 | 18.6 | 9.29 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 8 | North Carolina | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.5 | 12.7 | 10.52 | 8.35 | 0.65 |
| 9 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.36 | 15.22 | 10.26 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 10 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.24 | 12.5 | 9.15 | 7.6 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Florida | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.22 | 20.7 | 14.36 | 8.68 | -0.68 |
| 12 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.89 | 21.7 | 12.19 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.87 | 8.6 | 16.35 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 14 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.64 | 21.4 | 10.62 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 15 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.57 | 16.44 | 13.68 | 7.51 | -0.51 |
| 16 | Marshall | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.49 | 18.91 | 7.7 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 17 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.44 | 9.75 | 8.86 | 9.58 | 0.42 |
| 18 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.39 | 11.6 | 11.96 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 19 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.18 | 24.3 | 7.36 | 9.18 | -1.18 |
| 20 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.79 | 17.44 | 9.12 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.63 | 7.55 | 6.41 | 7.14 | 1.86 |
| 22 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.45 | 10 | 9.68 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 23 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.36 | 12.6 | 5.26 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 24 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.13 | 2.44 | 13.68 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 25 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.98 | 19.27 | 10.81 | 9.52 | -1.52 |
| 26 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.94 | 16.91 | 11.23 | 8.86 | -0.86 |
| 27 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.57 | 13.9 | 13.74 | 7.82 | -0.82 |
| 28 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.43 | 15.7 | 12.07 | 8.37 | -1.37 |
| 29 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.24 | 11.27 | 7.97 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 30 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.85 | 6.7 | 12.36 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 31 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.82 | 12.2 | 9.18 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 32 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.69 | 3.36 | 9.7 | 6.43 | 1.57 |
| 33 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.62 | 6.9 | 11.41 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 34 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.43 | 3.27 | 8.65 | 6.32 | 1.68 |
| 35 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 3.33 | 14.21 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 36 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.98 | 23.1 | 8.77 | 9.08 | -3.08 |
| 37 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.87 | 3.27 | 12.36 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 38 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.78 | 4.82 | 8.87 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 39 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.7 | 11.6 | 10.59 | 7.35 | -1.35 |
| 40 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.18 | 3.9 | 13.49 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 41 | Utah State | Big West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.15 | 11.2 | 7.22 | 7.34 | -1.34 |
| 42 | Clemson | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.05 | 5.1 | 10 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 43 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.97 | 9.33 | 9.67 | 8.87 | -1.87 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.88 | 9.78 | 12.9 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 45 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.71 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 46 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.36 | 0.7 | 13.99 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| 47 | SMU | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.19 | 1.3 | 10.02 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 48 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.04 | 13.78 | 4.15 | 7.04 | -2.04 |
| 49 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.95 | 0.2 | 11.45 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 50 | Rice | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.75 | 0.3 | 8.89 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 51 | NC State | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.84 | 4.4 | 12.57 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 52 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.76 | -0.33 | 13.72 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 53 | Miami | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 4.9 | 10.82 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 54 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.69 | 2.7 | 14.31 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 55 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 0.8 | 15.53 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 56 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.16 | 1.4 | 12.4 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 57 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 0.5 | 14.65 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 58 | Idaho | Big West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 4.6 | 2.39 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 59 | Nevada | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.5 | 3 | 11.98 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 60 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -1.3 | 13.52 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 61 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -1.6 | 12.9 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 62 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.59 | 1.18 | 7.1 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 63 | UCF | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.57 | 5.4 | 11.5 | 6.01 | -2.01 |
| 64 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.1 | 0.33 | 8.29 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 65 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.82 | -7.1 | 12.76 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 66 | Alabama | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.35 | -0.1 | 14.22 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 67 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.27 | -1.91 | 9.07 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 68 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.11 | -3.91 | 11.11 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 69 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.93 | -5 | 12.97 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 70 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.86 | -0.1 | 9.26 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 71 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.53 | -3.75 | 14.64 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 72 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.48 | -9.27 | 11.22 | 2.79 | 2.21 |
| 73 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.15 | -6 | 6.86 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 74 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.04 | -4.2 | 13.99 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 75 | UAB | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.75 | -2.2 | 5.24 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 76 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.41 | -7.2 | 11.41 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 77 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.35 | -2.09 | 10.7 | 5.06 | -1.06 |
| 78 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.8 | -13.1 | 8.05 | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| 79 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.36 | -8.73 | 9.32 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 80 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -11.44 | 16.11 | 1.95 | 1.05 |
| 81 | California | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.69 | -4.3 | 14.08 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 82 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.44 | -4.4 | 9.52 | 3.99 | -0.99 |
| 83 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.37 | -5.9 | 11.6 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 84 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.26 | -7.2 | 12.06 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 85 | Boston College | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.14 | -8.1 | 12.16 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 86 | Boise State | Big West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.97 | -8 | 7.73 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 87 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.81 | -11.5 | 9.36 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 88 | North Texas | Big West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.81 | -10.2 | 7.31 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 89 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.73 | -12 | 9.05 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 90 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.64 | -5.91 | 13.25 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 91 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.6 | -16 | 10.25 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 92 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.52 | -16.9 | 12.2 | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| 93 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -13.64 | 15.15 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 94 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.08 | -14.36 | 12.59 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 95 | Temple | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.06 | -14.45 | 12.39 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 96 | Duke | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.85 | -8.2 | 12.22 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 97 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.48 | -13 | 10.9 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 98 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.35 | -16.5 | 13.31 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 99 | Maryland | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.32 | -17.5 | 15.09 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 100 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.26 | -19 | 14.29 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 101 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.09 | -18.8 | 5.21 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 102 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.81 | -16.09 | 6.73 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 103 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -17.91 | 11.45 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 104 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -19.73 | 14.09 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 105 | Louisville | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -14.73 | 8.87 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 106 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.31 | -25.4 | 14.38 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 107 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.77 | -34.27 | 11.73 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 108 | TCU | Western Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.2 | -15.6 | 9.27 | 1.57 | -1.57 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.55 | -23 | 12.88 | 0.78 | -0.78 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-10 | 0 | -2.63 | -23.9 | 15.1 | 0.54 | -0.54 |
| 111 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-11 | 0 | -2.67 | -27.73 | 11.54 | 1.04 | -1.04 |