Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.328177+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 25.37 | 18.45 | 12.44 | 10.28 | 0.72 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.31 | 32.6 | 9.97 | 9.34 | 0.66 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.65 | 24.55 | 12.77 | 9.98 | 0.02 |
| 4 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.45 | 15.9 | 15.17 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 5 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.11 | 20.36 | 11.01 | 9.78 | 0.22 |
| 6 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.82 | 17.45 | 10.12 | 8.56 | 1.44 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.67 | 16.2 | 10.85 | 8.17 | 0.83 |
| 8 | North Carolina | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.58 | 14.82 | 9.4 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.65 | 19.09 | 14.88 | 9.31 | -0.31 |
| 10 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.42 | 20.08 | 11.44 | 10.99 | -0.99 |
| 11 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.21 | 20.36 | 11.97 | 9.22 | -0.22 |
| 12 | Auburn | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.07 | 7.91 | 15.31 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.94 | 21.36 | 10.11 | 9.79 | -0.79 |
| 14 | Georgia | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.87 | 15.5 | 13.95 | 8.28 | -0.28 |
| 15 | Marshall | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.44 | 18.91 | 7.62 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 16 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.41 | 9.75 | 8.97 | 9.58 | 0.42 |
| 17 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.26 | 9.82 | 8.92 | 7.82 | 1.18 |
| 18 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.26 | 11.6 | 11.39 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 19 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.06 | 24.3 | 6.87 | 9.18 | -1.18 |
| 20 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.81 | 14.91 | 4.99 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 21 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.56 | 7.55 | 6.19 | 7.14 | 1.86 |
| 22 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.91 | 19.27 | 10.55 | 9.52 | -1.52 |
| 23 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.89 | 16.91 | 11.1 | 8.86 | -0.86 |
| 24 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.6 | 10.55 | 11.63 | 7.85 | 0.15 |
| 25 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.38 | 15.7 | 12.62 | 8.37 | -1.37 |
| 26 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.3 | 8.45 | 10.67 | 7.81 | 0.19 |
| 27 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.23 | 12 | 8.48 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 28 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.13 | 11.27 | 7.98 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 29 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.98 | 15 | 9.66 | 8.37 | -1.37 |
| 30 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.65 | 8.3 | 10.33 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 31 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.36 | 3.27 | 8.23 | 6.32 | 1.68 |
| 32 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.1 | 12.09 | 14.48 | 8.17 | -1.17 |
| 33 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.82 | 1.2 | 12.51 | 5.34 | 1.66 |
| 34 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.66 | 23.82 | 8.08 | 10.15 | -3.15 |
| 35 | Tulane | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.55 | 13.64 | 10.32 | 8.47 | -1.47 |
| 36 | Clemson | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.05 | 7 | 10.15 | 7.54 | -0.54 |
| 37 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.85 | 1 | 10.97 | 6.31 | 1.69 |
| 38 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.8 | 3.27 | 11.78 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 39 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.69 | 4.82 | 9.02 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 40 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.59 | 9.8 | 11.8 | 7.44 | -1.44 |
| 41 | Rice | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.07 | 1.91 | 8.79 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 42 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.05 | 2.3 | 14.42 | 5.66 | 0.34 |
| 43 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.01 | 15.7 | 4.52 | 7.96 | -1.96 |
| 44 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.59 | 2.1 | 11.39 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 45 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.48 | 1.6 | 12.29 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 46 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14 | 5.18 | 11.93 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 47 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.96 | 3.09 | 14.58 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 48 | Utah State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.95 | 9.91 | 6.74 | 7.65 | -1.65 |
| 49 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.85 | 7.31 | 9.71 | 9.05 | -2.05 |
| 50 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.71 | 2.55 | 12.39 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 51 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.88 | 0 | 14.19 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 52 | SMU | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.83 | 0.91 | 8.7 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 53 | Miami | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 4.9 | 10.63 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 54 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.68 | 0.18 | 12.1 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 55 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.25 | 0.8 | 15.36 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 56 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.17 | -0.36 | 9.39 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 57 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.97 | 2.5 | 7.57 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 58 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.9 | 6.45 | 12.44 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 59 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.73 | 1 | 9.69 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 60 | Nevada | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.41 | 3 | 11.85 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 61 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -1.3 | 13.17 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 62 | Idaho | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.71 | 3.55 | 2.66 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 63 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.79 | -1.27 | 12.55 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 64 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.77 | -1.91 | 14.9 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 65 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.23 | -1.91 | 8.87 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 66 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.16 | -3.73 | 13.7 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 67 | UAB | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.02 | -1.45 | 4.98 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 68 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9 | -3.91 | 11.3 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 69 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.66 | -7.64 | 12.27 | 3.45 | 1.55 |
| 70 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.5 | -3.75 | 13.69 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 71 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.42 | -9.27 | 11.32 | 2.79 | 2.21 |
| 72 | Alabama | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.34 | -0.18 | 14.89 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 73 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.16 | -6.33 | 13.5 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 74 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.66 | -7.75 | 8.93 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| 75 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.5 | -9.3 | 16.3 | 2.52 | 1.48 |
| 76 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.42 | -7.2 | 10.81 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 77 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.34 | -5.8 | 6.57 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 78 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.29 | -2.09 | 10.89 | 5.06 | -1.06 |
| 79 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.26 | -2.27 | 10.17 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 80 | Boston College | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -7 | 11.98 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 81 | Boise State | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.36 | -6.64 | 7.89 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 82 | North Texas | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.17 | -9 | 8.13 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 83 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.97 | -14.73 | 11.24 | 2.38 | 1.62 |
| 84 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.97 | -13.55 | 8.3 | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| 85 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -12.25 | 12.76 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 86 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.3 | -5.9 | 11.07 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 87 | California | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.99 | -4 | 13.57 | 4.6 | -1.6 |
| 88 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.72 | -4.64 | 8.96 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 89 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.46 | -8.18 | 12.2 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 90 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.16 | -10.73 | 9.13 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 91 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.15 | -13.64 | 15.2 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 92 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -8 | 13.11 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 93 | Temple | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -14.45 | 12.7 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 94 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.98 | -13.91 | 9.52 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 95 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.85 | -17.64 | 10.76 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 96 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.21 | -10.73 | 13.24 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 97 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.92 | -15.91 | 14.02 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 98 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.27 | 11.28 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 99 | Maryland | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.85 | -17.64 | 14.29 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -16.09 | 6.99 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 101 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -17.91 | 11.5 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 102 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.74 | -19.73 | 13.73 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.72 | -17.64 | 5.49 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 104 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.69 | -21.73 | 14.61 | 0.76 | 1.24 |
| 105 | Louisville | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -14.73 | 8.94 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 106 | TCU | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.16 | -13.91 | 9.3 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 107 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.55 | -25.36 | 14.66 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 108 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.77 | -34.27 | 11.58 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.55 | -23 | 12.8 | 0.78 | -0.78 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-11 | 0 | -2.58 | -22.64 | 14.79 | 0.71 | -0.71 |
| 111 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-11 | 0 | -2.67 | -27.73 | 11.72 | 1.04 | -1.04 |