Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.329315+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.23 | 30.67 | 10.65 | 11.09 | 0.91 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 25.12 | 18.45 | 12.02 | 10.28 | 0.72 |
| 3 | Tennessee | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.47 | 13.92 | 14.11 | 9.3 | 1.7 |
| 4 | Florida State | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.42 | 24.55 | 12.71 | 9.98 | 0.02 |
| 5 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.9 | 20.36 | 10.67 | 9.78 | 0.22 |
| 6 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.69 | 17.45 | 10.15 | 8.56 | 1.44 |
| 7 | North Carolina | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.48 | 14.82 | 9.65 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.42 | 19.09 | 14.23 | 9.31 | -0.31 |
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.21 | 20.08 | 11.39 | 10.99 | -0.99 |
| 10 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.11 | 21.92 | 10.39 | 10.74 | -0.74 |
| 11 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.06 | 20.36 | 11.82 | 9.22 | -0.22 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.98 | 14.36 | 12.9 | 8.89 | 0.11 |
| 13 | Marshall | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.59 | 19 | 7.96 | 10.08 | -0.08 |
| 14 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.56 | 11.55 | 11.28 | 8.11 | 0.89 |
| 15 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.27 | 9.75 | 8.92 | 9.58 | 0.42 |
| 16 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.45 | 7.55 | 6.27 | 7.14 | 1.86 |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.28 | 7.17 | 15.61 | 8.14 | 0.86 |
| 18 | Syracuse | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.21 | 19.33 | 10.39 | 10.42 | -1.42 |
| 19 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.84 | 17.92 | 8.31 | 10.13 | -1.13 |
| 20 | LSU | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.7 | 15.18 | 11.19 | 9.09 | -1.09 |
| 21 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.63 | 16.91 | 10.18 | 8.86 | -0.86 |
| 22 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.46 | 7.33 | 9.98 | 7.95 | 1.05 |
| 23 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.44 | 10.55 | 11.21 | 7.85 | 0.15 |
| 24 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.34 | 9.45 | 11.02 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.17 | 11.33 | 6.03 | 8.81 | 0.19 |
| 26 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.15 | 8.45 | 10.32 | 7.81 | 0.19 |
| 27 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.11 | 12 | 8.3 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 28 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.99 | 11.27 | 7.81 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 29 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.22 | 3.27 | 8.06 | 6.32 | 1.68 |
| 30 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.88 | 12.09 | 14.09 | 8.17 | -1.17 |
| 31 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.66 | 12.09 | 12.37 | 8.6 | -1.6 |
| 32 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.52 | 23.82 | 7.59 | 10.15 | -3.15 |
| 33 | Tulane | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.42 | 13.64 | 9.89 | 8.47 | -1.47 |
| 34 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.39 | 12.36 | 10.22 | 8.66 | -1.66 |
| 35 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.03 | 7.27 | 10.3 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 36 | Clemson | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.93 | 7 | 9.77 | 7.54 | -0.54 |
| 37 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.86 | 17.18 | 4.49 | 9.04 | -2.04 |
| 38 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.78 | 2.18 | 14.39 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 39 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.68 | 1 | 11.01 | 6.31 | 1.69 |
| 40 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.66 | 3.18 | 11.64 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 41 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.63 | 3.27 | 11.27 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 42 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.58 | 4.82 | 8.96 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 43 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.16 | 1 | 12.33 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 44 | Rice | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.98 | 1.91 | 8.4 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 45 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.53 | 2.92 | 14.13 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 46 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.94 | 5.18 | 11.75 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 47 | Utah State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.79 | 9.91 | 6.56 | 7.65 | -1.65 |
| 48 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.68 | 7.31 | 9.35 | 9.05 | -2.05 |
| 49 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.57 | 2.55 | 12.41 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 50 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.28 | 1.18 | 13.34 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 51 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.92 | 1.18 | 9.91 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 52 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.71 | 0 | 13.91 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 53 | SMU | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.69 | 0.91 | 8.63 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 54 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.65 | 0.18 | 11.95 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 55 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.6 | -0.09 | 13.52 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 56 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.97 | -0.36 | 8.78 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 57 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.94 | 2.5 | 7.53 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 58 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.76 | 6.45 | 11.21 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 59 | Nevada | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.31 | 3 | 11.61 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 60 | Miami | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.15 | 2.64 | 10.73 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 61 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.87 | 0.45 | 15.94 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 62 | Idaho | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.62 | 3.55 | 2.87 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 63 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.6 | -1.27 | 11.97 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 64 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.58 | -1.91 | 14.34 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 65 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.15 | -3.73 | 13.88 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 66 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.14 | -1.91 | 8.5 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 67 | UAB | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.98 | -1.45 | 4.6 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 68 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.93 | -3.91 | 11.21 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 69 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.52 | -7.64 | 11.72 | 3.45 | 1.55 |
| 70 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.44 | -3.75 | 13.63 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 71 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.36 | -9.27 | 11.31 | 2.79 | 2.21 |
| 72 | Alabama | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.2 | -0.18 | 14.09 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 73 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -6.33 | 13.41 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 74 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.63 | -7.75 | 8.51 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.22 | -2.09 | 10.55 | 5.06 | -1.06 |
| 76 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.14 | -2.27 | 9.91 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 77 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.53 | -9.36 | 15.63 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 78 | Boston College | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.53 | -7 | 11.54 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 79 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -7.55 | 11.5 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 80 | Boise State | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.36 | -6.64 | 7.59 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 81 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.22 | -8.18 | 7.66 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 82 | North Texas | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.15 | -9 | 7.43 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 83 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.96 | -14.73 | 10.8 | 2.38 | 1.62 |
| 84 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.91 | -13.55 | 8.39 | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| 85 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -12.25 | 12.35 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 86 | California | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.93 | -4 | 13.36 | 4.6 | -1.6 |
| 87 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.67 | -4.64 | 8.99 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 88 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.61 | -6 | 11.97 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 89 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -8.18 | 12.23 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 90 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.11 | -13.64 | 14.55 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 91 | Temple | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -14.45 | 12.3 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 92 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.97 | -8 | 12.52 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 93 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.94 | -13.91 | 9.74 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 94 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.79 | -17.64 | 10.64 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 95 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -9.92 | 9.5 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 96 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.17 | -10.73 | 13.3 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 97 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -15.91 | 13.77 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 98 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -15.27 | 11.16 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 99 | Maryland | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.81 | -17.64 | 14.02 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.77 | -16.09 | 6.6 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 101 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -17.91 | 11.22 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 102 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.72 | -19.73 | 13.29 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.69 | -17.64 | 5.03 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 104 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.66 | -21.73 | 14.24 | 0.76 | 1.24 |
| 105 | TCU | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.09 | -13.91 | 8.73 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 106 | Louisville | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -14.73 | 8.45 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 107 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.55 | -25.36 | 14.22 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 108 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.77 | -34.27 | 11.88 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.52 | -23 | 12.4 | 0.78 | -0.78 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-11 | 0 | -2.55 | -22.64 | 14.57 | 0.71 | -0.71 |
| 111 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-11 | 0 | -2.64 | -27.73 | 11.27 | 1.04 | -1.04 |