Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.330430+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 13-0 | 1 | 25.3 | 30.23 | 11.62 | 11.99 | 1.01 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.08 | 17.33 | 12.61 | 11.06 | 0.94 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.63 | 23.92 | 13.34 | 10.86 | 0.14 |
| 4 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.12 | 20.08 | 11.31 | 10.62 | 0.38 |
| 5 | North Carolina | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.77 | 16.83 | 10.15 | 10.64 | 0.36 |
| 6 | Tennessee | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.75 | 10.92 | 14.93 | 9.39 | 1.61 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 18.75 | 14.71 | 10.23 | -0.23 |
| 8 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.44 | 21.08 | 10.51 | 11.48 | -0.48 |
| 9 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.28 | 19.17 | 12.63 | 9.92 | 0.08 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 15.42 | 13.11 | 9.95 | 0.05 |
| 11 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21 | 15.58 | 11.63 | 9.14 | 0.86 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.81 | 17.23 | 12.21 | 11.44 | -1.44 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.62 | 6.92 | 15.63 | 8.77 | 1.23 |
| 14 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.35 | 7.55 | 6.22 | 7.14 | 1.86 |
| 15 | Marshall | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.21 | 17.31 | 8.56 | 10.59 | -0.59 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 15.42 | 11.25 | 10.02 | -1.02 |
| 17 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.87 | 9.33 | 11.93 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 18 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 10.75 | 11.49 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 19 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 9.5 | 11.7 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 20 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 10.58 | 10.47 | 9.05 | -0.05 |
| 21 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.66 | 6.85 | 9.27 | 9.27 | 0.73 |
| 22 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.52 | 16.91 | 10 | 8.86 | -0.86 |
| 23 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 7.33 | 9.81 | 7.95 | 1.05 |
| 24 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.88 | 11.27 | 7.64 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 25 | Syracuse | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.83 | 16.54 | 11.29 | 10.79 | -1.79 |
| 26 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 13.42 | 14.33 | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 27 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.51 | 16.08 | 9.23 | 10.63 | -1.63 |
| 28 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.11 | 3.27 | 7.87 | 6.32 | 1.68 |
| 29 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.77 | 10 | 6.56 | 9.3 | -0.3 |
| 30 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.71 | 9.92 | 9.09 | 8.72 | -0.72 |
| 31 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.47 | 2.25 | 14.75 | 6.75 | 1.25 |
| 32 | Tulane | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.34 | 13.64 | 9.89 | 8.47 | -1.47 |
| 33 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.31 | 5.75 | 9.31 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 34 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.75 | 17.18 | 4.2 | 9.04 | -2.04 |
| 35 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.58 | 3.18 | 11.56 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 36 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.17 | 21 | 8.44 | 10.86 | -3.86 |
| 37 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.1 | 1 | 12.36 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 38 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.02 | 8.75 | 12.63 | 8.45 | -1.45 |
| 39 | Rice | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.87 | 1.91 | 8.09 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.83 | 8.08 | 11.18 | 8.39 | -1.39 |
| 41 | Clemson | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.55 | 6.08 | 10.5 | 7.97 | -0.97 |
| 42 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.54 | 6.25 | 10.28 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 43 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.2 | 2.5 | 12.6 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 44 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.07 | 2.08 | 12.01 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 45 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14 | 1.5 | 13.38 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 46 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.87 | 5.18 | 11.68 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 47 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.63 | 0.42 | 13.93 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 48 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.6 | 7.31 | 9.17 | 9.05 | -2.05 |
| 49 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.5 | 2.55 | 12.33 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 50 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.47 | -1.15 | 11.71 | 6.11 | 1.89 |
| 51 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.14 | 1.31 | 14.36 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 52 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.66 | 0 | 13.94 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 53 | SMU | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.62 | 0.91 | 8.52 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 54 | Utah State | Big West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 7.75 | 7.15 | 7.88 | -1.88 |
| 55 | BYU | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.9 | -0.36 | 8.67 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 56 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.88 | 2.5 | 7.48 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 57 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.71 | 6.45 | 11.19 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 58 | Nevada | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.26 | 3 | 11.68 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 59 | Miami | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.1 | 2.64 | 10.67 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 60 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.81 | 0.45 | 15.84 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 61 | Idaho | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.55 | 3.55 | 2.7 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 62 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -1.75 | 10.43 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 63 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.55 | -1.27 | 11.93 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 64 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.53 | -1.91 | 14.24 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 65 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.11 | -3.73 | 13.93 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 66 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.09 | -1.91 | 8.32 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 67 | UAB | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.94 | -1.45 | 4.66 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 68 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.89 | -3.91 | 11.14 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 69 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.48 | -7.64 | 11.65 | 3.45 | 1.55 |
| 70 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.39 | -3.75 | 13.42 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 71 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.32 | -9.27 | 11.24 | 2.79 | 2.21 |
| 72 | Alabama | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.16 | -0.18 | 14.11 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 73 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.03 | -6.33 | 13.25 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 74 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.59 | -7.75 | 8.44 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.18 | -2.09 | 10.37 | 5.06 | -1.06 |
| 76 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.1 | -2.27 | 9.72 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 77 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -9.36 | 15.63 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 78 | Boston College | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.49 | -7 | 11.36 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 79 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -7.55 | 11.43 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 80 | Boise State | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.33 | -6.64 | 7.53 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 81 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.18 | -8.18 | 7.35 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 82 | North Texas | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.11 | -9 | 7.38 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 83 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.92 | -14.73 | 10.6 | 2.38 | 1.62 |
| 84 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.87 | -13.55 | 8.25 | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| 85 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -12.25 | 12.27 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 86 | California | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.91 | -4 | 13.45 | 4.6 | -1.6 |
| 87 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.64 | -4.64 | 8.8 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 88 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.59 | -6 | 12 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 89 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -8.18 | 12.48 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 90 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.08 | -13.64 | 14.34 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 91 | Temple | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -14.45 | 12.23 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 92 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -8 | 12.32 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 93 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.92 | -13.91 | 9.56 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 94 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.77 | -17.64 | 10.58 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 95 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -9.92 | 9.21 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 96 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.16 | -10.73 | 13.22 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 97 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -15.91 | 13.68 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 98 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -15.27 | 10.97 | 2.57 | -0.57 |
| 99 | Maryland | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.8 | -17.64 | 13.93 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Big West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -16.09 | 6.43 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 101 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.75 | -17.91 | 11.03 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 102 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.71 | -19.73 | 13.14 | 1.79 | 0.21 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.68 | -17.64 | 4.98 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 104 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.65 | -21.73 | 14.02 | 0.76 | 1.24 |
| 105 | TCU | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.09 | -13.91 | 8.55 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 106 | Louisville | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -14.73 | 8.39 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 107 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.55 | -25.36 | 14.13 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 108 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.76 | -34.27 | 11.8 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.51 | -23 | 12.32 | 0.78 | -0.78 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-11 | 0 | -2.54 | -22.64 | 14.35 | 0.71 | -0.71 |
| 111 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-11 | 0 | -2.63 | -27.73 | 11.21 | 1.04 | -1.04 |