Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.326345+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.17 | 26.5 | 12.37 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.62 | 27.67 | 9.53 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 3 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.13 | 19.67 | 8.36 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 4 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 25.09 | 22.5 | 7.53 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 5 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.07 | 19.14 | 8.2 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 6 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 25 | 20.67 | 7.62 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 7 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-0 | 1 | 24.76 | 17.17 | 7.03 | 4.99 | 1.01 |
| 8 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 24.51 | 21.17 | 5.04 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.66 | 26.71 | 16.77 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 10 | Auburn | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.18 | 12.86 | 16.14 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.8 | 16.71 | 13.93 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.64 | 14 | 18.11 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 13 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.36 | 20 | 14.94 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 14 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.16 | 9.75 | 9.03 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 15 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.03 | 18.5 | 13.22 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 16 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.82 | 18.57 | 8.2 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 17 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.79 | 21.5 | 11.18 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 18 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.7 | 23.71 | 6.5 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 19 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.3 | 21.5 | 6.97 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 20 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.26 | 21.83 | 7.88 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 21 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 10.67 | 11.05 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 22 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.06 | 13 | 4.22 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 23 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.97 | 28.5 | 4 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 24 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.61 | 14.5 | 5.85 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 25 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.45 | 22.14 | 14.27 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 26 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.38 | 16.14 | 13.9 | 5.94 | -0.94 |
| 27 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.56 | 16.29 | 9.85 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 28 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.5 | 10.71 | 11.57 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 29 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.25 | 5.38 | 5.71 | 4.99 | 1.01 |
| 30 | Marshall | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.03 | 14.57 | 5.56 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 31 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.84 | 6.43 | 7.97 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 32 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.78 | 2.71 | 13.39 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 33 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.58 | 4.43 | 9.59 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 34 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 14.33 | 9.78 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 35 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 25.83 | 4.93 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 36 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 2 | 16.87 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 37 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.76 | 21.25 | 10.48 | 7.05 | -2.05 |
| 38 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 5.33 | 7.03 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 39 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.06 | 0.17 | 12.02 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 40 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.98 | 0.83 | 11.25 | 3.15 | 0.85 |
| 41 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.84 | 11.5 | 5.64 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 42 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.03 | -1.33 | 13.28 | 2.78 | 1.22 |
| 43 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.76 | -2.83 | 13.53 | 2.53 | 1.47 |
| 44 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.72 | 6.86 | 10.43 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 45 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.67 | 0.75 | 10.7 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 46 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.36 | 2.14 | 14.55 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 47 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.33 | 1.71 | 12.12 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 48 | Idaho | Big West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.3 | 11.14 | 2.11 | 5.29 | -1.29 |
| 49 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.97 | 2 | 10.45 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.53 | 5.83 | 13.14 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 51 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.38 | 0.57 | 10.19 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 52 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.27 | 2.17 | 21 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 53 | Clemson | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 3.5 | 11.46 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 54 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 3 | 10.84 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 55 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 11.33 | 4.4 | 4.54 | -1.54 |
| 56 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 1.5 | 12.25 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 57 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.05 | -4.43 | 10.21 | 2.38 | 1.62 |
| 58 | UCF | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.75 | 6.86 | 12.23 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 59 | NC State | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.6 | 4.71 | 12.06 | 4.34 | -1.34 |
| 60 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.51 | 0.33 | 7.32 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 61 | Utah State | Big West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.09 | 6.14 | 7.41 | 4.49 | -1.49 |
| 62 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.91 | -2.5 | 16.07 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 63 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.38 | 1.71 | 5.05 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 64 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -8.83 | 12.65 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 65 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.83 | -0.43 | 10.72 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 66 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -13.33 | 13.02 | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| 67 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.65 | -0.43 | 12.55 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 68 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.07 | -1.14 | 9.63 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 69 | UAB | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.06 | -0.86 | 5.36 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 70 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.03 | -1 | 7.51 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 71 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9 | -1.43 | 8.94 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 72 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.93 | -5 | 14.65 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 73 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.62 | 1.83 | 12.94 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 74 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.23 | -1.62 | 15.87 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 75 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.94 | -11 | 9.12 | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| 76 | Boise State | Big West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.68 | -8.29 | 5.43 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 77 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.99 | -12.25 | 14.27 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 78 | California | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.41 | -5.67 | 13.57 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 79 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.32 | -4.17 | 10.71 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 80 | Miami | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -6.83 | 14.09 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 81 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.83 | -3.86 | 18.33 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 82 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -8.17 | 8.43 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 83 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.57 | -3.86 | 12.55 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 84 | Nevada | Big West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.29 | -5.43 | 16.73 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 85 | Boston College | Big East | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.28 | -6.14 | 12.75 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 86 | Houston | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.15 | -19.83 | 13.76 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 87 | North Texas | Big West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.15 | -6.71 | 11.39 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 88 | Duke | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.03 | -8 | 11.32 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 89 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.94 | -9.43 | 17.94 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 90 | Maryland | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.76 | -14.57 | 15.95 | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| 91 | Temple | Big East | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.6 | -16.71 | 14.15 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 92 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.19 | -19.29 | 6.49 | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| 93 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -11.75 | 10.35 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 94 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -9.62 | 9.5 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -16.5 | 9.49 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 96 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -19.17 | 14.51 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 97 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -19 | 13.88 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 98 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.48 | -15.17 | 12.01 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 99 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.25 | -21.33 | 15.65 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 100 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.94 | -19 | 18.99 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 101 | Louisville | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.94 | -16.29 | 9.38 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 102 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.83 | -20.29 | 11.75 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 103 | New Mexico State | Big West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.79 | -20.29 | 5.75 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 104 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.76 | -21.43 | 6.89 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 105 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.7 | -24.86 | 15.5 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 106 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.5 | -29.29 | 11 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 107 | TCU | Western Athletic | 0-6 | 0 | -2.11 | -13.17 | 8.94 | 1.15 | -1.15 |
| 108 | Illinois | Big Ten | 0-6 | 0 | -2.66 | -21.5 | 18.24 | 0.43 | -0.43 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.67 | -24.43 | 13.99 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-7 | 0 | -2.83 | -30.57 | 12.83 | 0.43 | -0.43 |
| 111 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 0-6 | 0 | -2.93 | -30.5 | 17.62 | 0.54 | -0.54 |