Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.511309+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.5 | 16.22 | 12.82 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 2 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.28 | 14.44 | 12.09 | 6.65 | 2.35 |
| 3 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.21 | 41.3 | 7.91 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | Tulane | Conference USA | 9-0 | 1 | 24.37 | 18.89 | 6.6 | 7.17 | 1.83 |
| 5 | Florida State | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.74 | 21.45 | 13.39 | 10.17 | -0.17 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.33 | 26.1 | 11.6 | 9.44 | -0.44 |
| 7 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.12 | 11.82 | 12.54 | 9.2 | 0.8 |
| 8 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.93 | 17.45 | 9.89 | 9.39 | 0.61 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.8 | 20.5 | 9.76 | 9.02 | -0.02 |
| 10 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.65 | 25 | 8.17 | 9.26 | -0.26 |
| 11 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.62 | 16.78 | 10.35 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.6 | 21.1 | 8.07 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 13 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.09 | 16.9 | 6.7 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 14 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.03 | 10.44 | 9.59 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 15 | Marshall | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.61 | 14.2 | 4.69 | 8.15 | 0.85 |
| 16 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.8 | 15.6 | 12.75 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.38 | 9.4 | 12.49 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 18 | Virginia | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.18 | 10.9 | 10.54 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 19 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.05 | 13.33 | 11.69 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 20 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.02 | 18.33 | 9.33 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 21 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.76 | 10.44 | 10.96 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 22 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.61 | 7 | 11.86 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 23 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.59 | 4.2 | 10.35 | 6.22 | 1.78 |
| 24 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.47 | 18 | 13.38 | 9.49 | -1.49 |
| 25 | UCF | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.46 | 15.2 | 4.65 | 7.9 | 0.1 |
| 26 | Miami | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 18.5 | 8.72 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 27 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.28 | 12.1 | 12.54 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 28 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.12 | 10.1 | 11.82 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 29 | BYU | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.95 | 11.91 | 5.94 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 30 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.94 | 7.1 | 12.29 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 31 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.92 | 10.6 | 10.88 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 32 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.72 | 8 | 10.9 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 33 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 12.78 | 13.29 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 34 | Utah | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.63 | 11.4 | 8.58 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 35 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 9.22 | 12.21 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 36 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.29 | 4.3 | 10.94 | 6.16 | 0.84 |
| 37 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.94 | 2.2 | 11.22 | 5.67 | 1.33 |
| 38 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 6.83 | 10.87 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 39 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.92 | 10.91 | 13.56 | 7.99 | -0.99 |
| 40 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.65 | 12 | 6.15 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 41 | Idaho | Big West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.56 | 6.7 | 3.54 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 42 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.52 | 2.89 | 11.87 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 43 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.93 | 2 | 8.82 | 4.95 | 1.05 |
| 44 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.91 | 12.6 | 12.21 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 45 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.27 | 4.36 | 5.91 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 46 | Nevada | Big West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.81 | 8.2 | 6 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 47 | Louisville | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.76 | 4.5 | 8.76 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 48 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.45 | 11.27 | 9.88 | 7.44 | -1.44 |
| 49 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.87 | 0.1 | 12.37 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.52 | -1.9 | 16.41 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 51 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.04 | 3.3 | 14.75 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 52 | LSU | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.33 | 9.78 | 14.84 | 6.34 | -2.34 |
| 53 | Boise State | Big West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.06 | -2 | 3.22 | 4.61 | 1.39 |
| 54 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.84 | 0.3 | 11.99 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 55 | TCU | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.3 | 0 | 10.34 | 5 | 0 |
| 56 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.91 | -2.7 | 16.29 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 57 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.56 | -1.6 | 10.53 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 58 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.28 | 3.7 | 11.15 | 5.97 | -1.97 |
| 59 | California | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -6.1 | 14.17 | 3.34 | 1.66 |
| 60 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -2.6 | 7.34 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 61 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.01 | -3.4 | 7.25 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 62 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.26 | -13 | 9.13 | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| 63 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.06 | -3 | 11.38 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 64 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.85 | -0.7 | 14.13 | 4.85 | -0.85 |
| 65 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.79 | -0.8 | 12.5 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 66 | Boston College | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.6 | -1.3 | 13.68 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 67 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.5 | -1.5 | 13.08 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 68 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.31 | -3.1 | 14.22 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 69 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.87 | -4.4 | 13.3 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 70 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.81 | -6.2 | 13.98 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 71 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.79 | -2.8 | 7.37 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 72 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.73 | -4.8 | 11.66 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 73 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.64 | -5.8 | 11.13 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 74 | Duke | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.43 | -6.8 | 8.76 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 75 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.26 | -3.27 | 13.17 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 76 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.07 | -11.1 | 8.68 | 2.46 | 1.54 |
| 77 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.38 | -9.82 | 10.94 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 78 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.96 | -11.36 | 6.58 | 2.72 | 1.28 |
| 79 | Auburn | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.75 | -5.5 | 18.96 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 80 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.68 | -3.5 | 10.62 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 81 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -11.56 | 10.63 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 82 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.33 | -7.3 | 13.59 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 83 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.21 | -7.4 | 11.15 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 84 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.21 | -7.2 | 10.53 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 85 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.14 | -7.1 | 8.8 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 86 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.13 | -8.5 | 11.6 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 87 | Maryland | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.05 | -7.4 | 10.09 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 88 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5 | -11.9 | 14.59 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 89 | UAB | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.79 | -10.2 | 9.03 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.68 | -14.5 | 10.92 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 91 | Utah State | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.43 | -6.55 | 9.11 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 92 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.33 | -8.27 | 7.8 | 3.67 | -0.67 |
| 93 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.78 | -3.78 | 9.53 | 3.71 | -1.71 |
| 94 | Army | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.55 | -6.67 | 14.62 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 95 | Clemson | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.04 | -6.3 | 12.02 | 3.37 | -1.37 |
| 96 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.71 | -11.4 | 16.25 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 97 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -11 | 14.18 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 98 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.66 | -11.1 | 12.68 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 99 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.63 | -9.6 | 6.96 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 100 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.59 | -11.1 | 15.56 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 101 | North Texas | Big West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -13.2 | 11.88 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 102 | Temple | Big East | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.46 | -13.1 | 9.46 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 103 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.35 | -15.8 | 10.71 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 104 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.29 | -18.6 | 13.9 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 105 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.05 | -13.55 | 13.08 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 106 | South Carolina | SEC | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.31 | -11.4 | 16.57 | 2.45 | -1.45 |
| 107 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.05 | -18.3 | 10.92 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 108 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.35 | -26.8 | 11.01 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 109 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.38 | -24.1 | 12.8 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
| 110 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.47 | -21.6 | 10.83 | 0.72 | -0.72 |
| 111 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.52 | -21 | 14.14 | 1 | -1 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-10 | 0 | -2.7 | -29.5 | 10.43 | 0.56 | -0.56 |