Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.513211+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tennessee | SEC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 19.58 | 11.97 | 10.61 | 1.39 |
| 2 | Tulane | Conference USA | 11-0 | 1 | 24.29 | 21 | 7.36 | 8.95 | 2.05 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.73 | 20.58 | 13.92 | 11.03 | -0.03 |
| 4 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.33 | 34.67 | 9.65 | 11.45 | -0.45 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.23 | 25.09 | 11.59 | 10.31 | -0.31 |
| 6 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.94 | 13 | 12.7 | 7.86 | 2.14 |
| 7 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.79 | 21.92 | 8.59 | 10.91 | 0.09 |
| 8 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.79 | 16.67 | 9.65 | 9.9 | 1.1 |
| 9 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.72 | 21.09 | 9.54 | 10.28 | -0.28 |
| 10 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.08 | 15.91 | 7.17 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 11 | Marshall | Mid-American | 11-1 | 0.92 | 21.64 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 9.41 | 1.59 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.57 | 10.08 | 13.86 | 10.09 | 0.91 |
| 13 | Florida | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.69 | 17.64 | 10.22 | 9.6 | -0.6 |
| 14 | Arkansas | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.61 | 16.09 | 10.15 | 9.17 | -0.17 |
| 15 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.5 | 11.27 | 11.06 | 7.83 | 1.17 |
| 16 | Virginia | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.43 | 10.27 | 11.04 | 8.07 | 0.93 |
| 17 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.06 | 7.91 | 9.91 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 18 | UCF | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.64 | 16.73 | 4.13 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 19 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 16.67 | 13.12 | 10.22 | -1.22 |
| 20 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.02 | 18.09 | 12.42 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 21 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.9 | 9.17 | 11.9 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 22 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.77 | 18.27 | 10.72 | 9.79 | -1.79 |
| 23 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.71 | 11.09 | 12.81 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 24 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.69 | 13.91 | 11.52 | 8.13 | -0.13 |
| 25 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.49 | 13.27 | 10.38 | 8.36 | -0.36 |
| 26 | Miami | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.38 | 11.55 | 10.38 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 27 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.38 | 6.64 | 13.05 | 6.79 | 1.21 |
| 28 | Georgia | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.09 | 6.18 | 11.36 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 29 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 13.75 | 12.43 | 9.29 | -1.29 |
| 30 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 9.5 | 13.94 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 31 | Idaho | Big West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.01 | 6.18 | 3.84 | 6.88 | 1.12 |
| 32 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.99 | 9.69 | 7.74 | 9.43 | -0.43 |
| 33 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 16.78 | 0.64 | 10.24 | 5.71 | 2.29 |
| 34 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.75 | 10.08 | 8.97 | 8.88 | -0.88 |
| 35 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.72 | 13.91 | 12.06 | 8.77 | -1.77 |
| 36 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.69 | 6.83 | 10.53 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 37 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.45 | 8.64 | 12.66 | 7.83 | -0.83 |
| 38 | Utah | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.13 | 10.18 | 9.32 | 7.93 | -0.93 |
| 39 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.06 | 6.18 | 11.42 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 40 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.06 | 7 | 10.77 | 7.38 | -0.38 |
| 41 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.78 | 3.73 | 11.83 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 42 | NC State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.69 | 3.36 | 11.57 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 43 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.58 | 5.18 | 8.57 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 44 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.12 | 4.36 | 5.76 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 45 | Alabama | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.53 | -0.45 | 14.23 | 5.37 | 1.63 |
| 46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.73 | 1.08 | 11.43 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 47 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.45 | 0.42 | 11.99 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 48 | Nevada | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.45 | 5 | 7.57 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 49 | TCU | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.16 | 2.09 | 9.58 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 50 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.15 | -0.08 | 11.53 | 5.97 | 1.03 |
| 51 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 7.58 | 10.74 | 7.42 | -1.42 |
| 52 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.78 | 3.5 | 14.09 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 53 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.91 | -1.82 | 14.18 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 54 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.72 | -1 | 9.33 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 55 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.35 | 3.64 | 10.73 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 56 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.23 | -2.09 | 7.68 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 57 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.07 | -2.18 | 6.16 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 58 | Boise State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.96 | -1.91 | 4.25 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 59 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.71 | 0.64 | 12.93 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 60 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10 | -0.45 | 12.68 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 61 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.99 | -0.45 | 12.47 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 62 | LSU | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.88 | 5.27 | 15.07 | 6.71 | -2.71 |
| 63 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.5 | -1.82 | 12.99 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 64 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.46 | -1.82 | 12.46 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 65 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.35 | -2 | 11.65 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 66 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.11 | -3.09 | 11.69 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 67 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.96 | -4.09 | 11.97 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 68 | California | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.72 | -6.18 | 12.46 | 3.53 | 1.47 |
| 69 | SMU | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.7 | -1.92 | 11.82 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 70 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.13 | -8.64 | 7.1 | 3.34 | 1.66 |
| 71 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.9 | -15.45 | 9.93 | 2.13 | 2.87 |
| 72 | Boston College | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.09 | -3.45 | 13.39 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 73 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.98 | -3.27 | 10.85 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 74 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.88 | -3.09 | 8.44 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 75 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.79 | -5.45 | 13.27 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 76 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.63 | -5.55 | 10.42 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 77 | UAB | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.33 | -6.45 | 6.74 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 78 | Duke | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.3 | -8.18 | 9.25 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 79 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -9.25 | 11.26 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 80 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.09 | -14.08 | 5.56 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 81 | Auburn | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.77 | -6.27 | 17.35 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 82 | Clemson | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.69 | -4.91 | 10.62 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 83 | Army | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.65 | -6.18 | 13.77 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 84 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.64 | -5.73 | 11.96 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 85 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.45 | -7.18 | 11.11 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 86 | Utah State | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.44 | -6.55 | 8.87 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 87 | Maryland | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.37 | -8 | 10.79 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 88 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.36 | -9.45 | 13.92 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 89 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.33 | -8.45 | 10.82 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 90 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -9.73 | 12.96 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -9.09 | 11.39 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 92 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -10.45 | 13.15 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.22 | -8.45 | 7.79 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 94 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -11.45 | 13.54 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 95 | North Texas | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.12 | -11.27 | 10.76 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 96 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.1 | -11 | 9.63 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 97 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.87 | -16.09 | 10.89 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| 98 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -10.25 | 11.08 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -10.25 | 9.03 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 100 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.25 | -9.09 | 10.89 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 101 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.19 | -10.36 | 12.56 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 102 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.15 | -11.64 | 15.23 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 103 | Temple | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -14.73 | 9.74 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 104 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -15.36 | 10.71 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 105 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -17.91 | 12.2 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.7 | -20.64 | 14.36 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 107 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.55 | -23.09 | 9.52 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 108 | South Carolina | SEC | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.07 | -11.18 | 14.29 | 2.74 | -1.74 |
| 109 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -17.55 | 10.99 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-11 | 0 | -2.49 | -21.18 | 13.79 | 1.13 | -1.13 |
| 111 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.49 | -22.75 | 11.05 | 0.94 | -0.94 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.62 | -27.73 | 10.19 | 0.73 | -0.73 |