Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.513974+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tennessee | SEC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.07 | 19.58 | 11.91 | 10.61 | 1.39 |
| 2 | Tulane | Conference USA | 12-0 | 1 | 24.32 | 20.42 | 8.01 | 9.69 | 2.31 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.67 | 20.58 | 13.96 | 11.03 | -0.03 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.47 | 23.83 | 12.32 | 11.16 | -0.16 |
| 5 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.99 | 19.92 | 10.47 | 10.93 | 0.07 |
| 6 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.74 | 21.77 | 8.71 | 11.7 | 0.3 |
| 7 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.73 | 15.62 | 10.02 | 10.57 | 1.43 |
| 8 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.02 | 15.91 | 7.25 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 9 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.79 | 31.77 | 10.32 | 12.16 | -1.16 |
| 10 | Marshall | Mid-American | 12-1 | 0.92 | 21.73 | 13 | 5.21 | 10.17 | 1.83 |
| 11 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.07 | 11.33 | 13.25 | 8.27 | 1.73 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.97 | 17.92 | 10.91 | 10.54 | -0.54 |
| 13 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.76 | 10.92 | 11.86 | 8.46 | 1.54 |
| 14 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.15 | 8.64 | 14.52 | 10.4 | 0.6 |
| 15 | UCF | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.57 | 16.73 | 4.1 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 16 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.4 | 9.54 | 12.52 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.21 | 19.33 | 10.89 | 10.83 | -1.83 |
| 18 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.14 | 11.17 | 13.03 | 9.43 | -0.43 |
| 19 | Arkansas | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19 | 13.58 | 10.84 | 9.39 | -0.39 |
| 20 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.96 | 8.33 | 13.3 | 7.79 | 1.21 |
| 21 | Miami | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 12.5 | 10.66 | 8.69 | 0.31 |
| 22 | Virginia | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 9.25 | 11.68 | 8.48 | 0.52 |
| 23 | Georgia | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.54 | 5.83 | 12.07 | 7.88 | 1.12 |
| 24 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.49 | 6.67 | 10.75 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 25 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 18.15 | 15.15 | 13.81 | 10.8 | -1.8 |
| 26 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.89 | 12.92 | 13.21 | 9.82 | -0.82 |
| 27 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.55 | 14.83 | 12.95 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 28 | Idaho | Big West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 17.52 | 6.25 | 4.89 | 7.48 | 1.52 |
| 29 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 12.08 | 11.77 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 30 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 8.17 | 13.04 | 8.34 | -0.34 |
| 31 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 11.92 | 10.91 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 32 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 16.72 | 0.64 | 10.2 | 5.71 | 2.29 |
| 33 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.64 | 6.83 | 10.55 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 34 | Colorado | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 4.08 | 12.3 | 7.24 | 0.76 |
| 35 | Utah | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.04 | 10.18 | 8.98 | 7.93 | -0.93 |
| 36 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.03 | 8.08 | 13.48 | 9.13 | -1.13 |
| 37 | BYU | Western Athletic | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.86 | 8 | 8.66 | 9.58 | -0.58 |
| 38 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.48 | 7.23 | 9.65 | 8.8 | -0.8 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.27 | 12.17 | 12.3 | 9.08 | -2.08 |
| 40 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.07 | 4.36 | 5.74 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 41 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.56 | 4.67 | 11.86 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 42 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.5 | 5 | 10.93 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 43 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.02 | 3.17 | 9.63 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 44 | TCU | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.96 | 2.67 | 10.19 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 45 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.84 | 1.17 | 12.19 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 46 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.68 | 1.08 | 11.4 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 47 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.42 | 0.42 | 11.8 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 48 | Nevada | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.41 | 5 | 7.54 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 49 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.21 | 0.5 | 9.85 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 50 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.06 | -0.08 | 11.56 | 5.97 | 1.03 |
| 51 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 7.58 | 10.7 | 7.42 | -1.42 |
| 52 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 3.5 | 13.91 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 53 | Alabama | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.37 | -3 | 14.55 | 5.05 | 1.95 |
| 54 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.3 | 3.64 | 10.59 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 55 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.18 | -2.09 | 7.51 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 56 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.04 | -2.18 | 6.15 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 57 | Boise State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.93 | -1.91 | 4.23 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 58 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.68 | 0.64 | 12.87 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 59 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.41 | -3.33 | 14.73 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 60 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.95 | -0.45 | 12.37 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 61 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.93 | -0.45 | 12.16 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 62 | LSU | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.85 | 5.27 | 15.01 | 6.71 | -2.71 |
| 63 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.47 | -1.82 | 13.02 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 64 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.43 | -1.82 | 12.41 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 65 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -2 | 11.6 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 66 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.08 | -3.09 | 11.66 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 67 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.93 | -4.09 | 12.06 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 68 | California | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.68 | -6.18 | 12.27 | 3.53 | 1.47 |
| 69 | SMU | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.67 | -1.92 | 11.77 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 70 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.1 | -8.64 | 7.06 | 3.34 | 1.66 |
| 71 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.86 | -15.45 | 9.76 | 2.13 | 2.87 |
| 72 | Boston College | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.05 | -3.45 | 13.08 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 73 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.94 | -3.27 | 10.52 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 74 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.86 | -3.09 | 8.42 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 75 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -5.45 | 13.21 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 76 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -5.55 | 10.5 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 77 | UAB | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.31 | -6.45 | 6.7 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 78 | Duke | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.29 | -8.18 | 9.32 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 79 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -9.25 | 10.95 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 80 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.08 | -14.08 | 5.53 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 81 | Auburn | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.75 | -6.27 | 17.28 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 82 | Clemson | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.68 | -4.91 | 10.68 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 83 | Army | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.63 | -6.18 | 13.59 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 84 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.62 | -5.73 | 11.91 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 85 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.43 | -7.18 | 10.77 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 86 | Utah State | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -6.55 | 8.78 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 87 | Maryland | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.35 | -8 | 10.73 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 88 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.34 | -9.45 | 13.83 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 89 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.31 | -8.45 | 10.78 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 90 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -9.73 | 13.04 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -9.09 | 11.45 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 92 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -10.45 | 13.09 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -8.45 | 7.77 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 94 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.18 | -11.45 | 13.23 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 95 | North Texas | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.11 | -11.27 | 10.71 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 96 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.09 | -11 | 9.47 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 97 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.85 | -16.09 | 10.7 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| 98 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -10.25 | 11.03 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -10.25 | 8.84 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 100 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.24 | -9.09 | 10.82 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 101 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.18 | -10.36 | 12.38 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 102 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.14 | -11.64 | 15.24 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 103 | Temple | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -14.73 | 9.58 | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| 104 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.86 | -15.36 | 10.67 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 105 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.77 | -17.91 | 12.02 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.69 | -20.64 | 14.31 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 107 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.55 | -23.09 | 9.48 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 108 | South Carolina | SEC | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.07 | -11.18 | 14.25 | 2.74 | -1.74 |
| 109 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -17.55 | 10.96 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 110 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-11 | 0 | -2.48 | -21.18 | 13.73 | 1.13 | -1.13 |
| 111 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.48 | -22.75 | 10.85 | 0.94 | -0.94 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.61 | -27.73 | 10.16 | 0.73 | -0.73 |