Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.509822+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 27.14 | 29.5 | 15.62 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 2 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.79 | 19 | 15.67 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 3 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.03 | 13.2 | 13.24 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 4 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.71 | 44.5 | 7.23 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 5 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 25.12 | 25.43 | 6.45 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 6 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 24.68 | 19.67 | 5.25 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 7 | Marshall | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 24.34 | 14.71 | 4.63 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 8 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-0 | 1 | 24.33 | 13.2 | 5.13 | 3.78 | 1.22 |
| 9 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.18 | 24.29 | 13.52 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 10 | Florida State | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.02 | 19.29 | 13.7 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 11 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.4 | 17.57 | 10.62 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.39 | 11.43 | 12.6 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 13 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.26 | 7.71 | 13.38 | 4.99 | 1.01 |
| 14 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.26 | 16.83 | 14.28 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.24 | 25 | 10.83 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 16 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.18 | 18.67 | 11.14 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 17 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.17 | 11.57 | 11.26 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 18 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.98 | 14.83 | 13.08 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 19 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.89 | 11.71 | 8.33 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 20 | Air Force | Western Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.76 | 28.33 | 8.65 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 21 | Virginia | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.69 | 15.33 | 9.68 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 22 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.45 | 13.5 | 10.14 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 23 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.04 | 14.17 | 7.76 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 24 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.61 | 15.8 | 8.51 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 25 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.54 | 4.5 | 9.74 | 3.85 | 1.15 |
| 26 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.54 | 14.83 | 4.53 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 27 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.25 | 6.4 | 10.44 | 3.18 | 0.82 |
| 28 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.06 | 22.17 | 0.17 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 29 | Wyoming | Western Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 19.96 | 4 | 6.49 | 3.75 | 1.25 |
| 30 | Colorado State | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 7.38 | 10.3 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 31 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.04 | 11 | 14.14 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 32 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.56 | 9.71 | 11.52 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 33 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.22 | 17.17 | 13.03 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 34 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.05 | 10.17 | 13.93 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 35 | Idaho | Big West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.63 | 11.43 | 4.37 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 36 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 5.67 | 12.55 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 37 | NC State | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 3 | 13.66 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 38 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 4.33 | 8.53 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 39 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 2 | 14.29 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 40 | Utah | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.82 | 7 | 7.62 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 41 | TCU | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 3.33 | 7.33 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 42 | Miami | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.17 | 18.4 | 8.74 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 43 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.1 | 5.5 | 2.86 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 44 | Alabama | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.54 | -1 | 15.6 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 45 | California | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.24 | -2.17 | 13.17 | 2.56 | 1.44 |
| 46 | LSU | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.38 | 10.83 | 15.36 | 4.31 | -1.31 |
| 47 | BYU | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.28 | 10.43 | 3.44 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 48 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.75 | 9 | 14.42 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 49 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.59 | 7.88 | 13.33 | 5.01 | -1.01 |
| 50 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.51 | 0.14 | 9.72 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 51 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.41 | 6.83 | 12.72 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 52 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.12 | -0.14 | 11.39 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 53 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 1.17 | 17.46 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 54 | Boston College | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.52 | 0.5 | 13.66 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 55 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 2.33 | 5.4 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 56 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.14 | 4.14 | 17.54 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 57 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.08 | -0.71 | 4.37 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 58 | Boise State | Big West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.56 | -1.43 | 1.49 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 59 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.03 | 1.57 | 11.87 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 60 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.59 | -1 | 2.75 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 61 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -6.33 | 12.19 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 62 | San Diego State | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.36 | -4.17 | 12.94 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 63 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -2.67 | 6.36 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 64 | Louisville | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.89 | -0.71 | 12.56 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 65 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.13 | -0.4 | 11.96 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 66 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.1 | -17 | 9.73 | 0.99 | 2.01 |
| 67 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.74 | -9.29 | 17.54 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 68 | Duke | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.52 | -7.57 | 12.78 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 69 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.31 | 0.33 | 16.35 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 70 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.23 | -10.57 | 11.99 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 71 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.22 | -10.43 | 11.6 | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| 72 | Arkansas State | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.12 | -7.43 | 6.07 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 73 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.2 | -1.33 | 11.54 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 74 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.04 | -3.17 | 16.97 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 75 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.93 | -2.33 | 14.19 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 76 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.91 | -4.17 | 18.2 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 77 | Army | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.82 | -2.5 | 9.46 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 78 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.82 | -5.33 | 18.46 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 79 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.73 | -2.33 | 8.39 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 80 | UAB | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -6.67 | 8.35 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 81 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -6.83 | 15.65 | 2 | 0 |
| 82 | Nevada | Big West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -8.17 | 7.91 | 2 | 0 |
| 83 | Rice | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -7 | 10.07 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 84 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.59 | -3.29 | 15.13 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 85 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.56 | -5 | 11.94 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 86 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -12 | 10.4 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 87 | North Texas | Big West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.42 | -13.67 | 13.43 | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| 88 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.4 | -14.17 | 8.31 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 89 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.39 | -4.71 | 10.03 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 90 | Clemson | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.31 | -6.86 | 12.52 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.21 | -4.86 | 6.35 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 92 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.97 | -7.57 | 7.56 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 93 | Maryland | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.95 | -9 | 10.29 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 94 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.8 | -10.57 | 16.19 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 95 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.69 | -14.29 | 12.21 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 96 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.81 | -4.33 | 17.11 | 2.36 | -1.36 |
| 97 | Auburn | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.26 | -10 | 21.26 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 98 | Houston | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.2 | -8.83 | 15.54 | 1.7 | -0.7 |
| 99 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.92 | -13.5 | 15.9 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 100 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -14.33 | 17.11 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 101 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.63 | -12 | 12.39 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 102 | South Carolina | SEC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.62 | -8.14 | 18.17 | 2.2 | -1.2 |
| 103 | Utah State | Big West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.54 | -8.14 | 11.78 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 104 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.3 | -18.33 | 10.27 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 105 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.06 | -25 | 9.4 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 106 | Temple | Big East | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.97 | -12.29 | 12.31 | 1.7 | -0.7 |
| 107 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.9 | -18.14 | 8.59 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 108 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 0-6 | 0 | -2.5 | -20.33 | 11.77 | 0.29 | -0.29 |
| 109 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0-6 | 0 | -2.6 | -20.33 | 16.99 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 110 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.71 | -27.57 | 10.49 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 111 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.79 | -28.29 | 12.61 | 0.79 | -0.79 |
| 112 | UNLV | Western Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -2.79 | -25.86 | 16.03 | 0.55 | -0.55 |