Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.702177+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.93 | 19 | 13.18 | 7.78 | 1.22 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.79 | 21.33 | 12.07 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 3 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.36 | 30.38 | 8.56 | 7.66 | 0.34 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 32.14 | 7.93 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 5 | Marshall | Mid-American | 8-0 | 1 | 24.73 | 30.88 | 5.51 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 6 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 24.53 | 14.57 | 7.2 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.32 | 18 | 14.69 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 8 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.93 | 22.38 | 11.45 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 9 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.46 | 14.57 | 13.35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | BYU | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.35 | 12 | 11.01 | 5.93 | 1.07 |
| 11 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.1 | 13.75 | 9.11 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 12 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.95 | 17 | 9.98 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 13 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.66 | 14.67 | 14.01 | 6.93 | 0.07 |
| 14 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 22.44 | 9.64 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.08 | 7.25 | 18.45 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 16 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.92 | 8.5 | 16.43 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 17 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.63 | 9.12 | 13.91 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 18 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.63 | 16.88 | 10.17 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 19 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.43 | 13.25 | 11.24 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 20 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.03 | 8.11 | 6.59 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 21 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 5 | 11.2 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 22 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 9.62 | 8.56 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 23 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.47 | 5.88 | 8.74 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.31 | 22.29 | 7.29 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 25 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.81 | 9.22 | 14.8 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Boston College | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.63 | 3.5 | 5.28 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
| 27 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 5.22 | 13.26 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 28 | Louisville | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 8.22 | 9.6 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 29 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.66 | 18.38 | 10 | 7.08 | -2.08 |
| 30 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.43 | 6.88 | 13.75 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 31 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.42 | 9 | 12.11 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 32 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.33 | 6.56 | 5.85 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 33 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.31 | 7 | 13.94 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 34 | Boise State | Big West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.09 | 5.22 | 5.2 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 35 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.09 | 8 | 11.52 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 36 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.87 | 3.75 | 14.04 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 37 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.83 | 0.67 | 11.59 | 4.62 | 1.38 |
| 38 | Maryland | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.81 | 11 | 6.37 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 39 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.74 | 8.62 | 8.46 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 40 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 4 | 12.41 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 41 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 2.25 | 15.23 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 42 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 2.62 | 12.04 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 43 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 4.12 | 10.6 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 44 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.56 | 0.78 | 7.28 | 4.65 | 1.35 |
| 45 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.56 | 16.86 | 10.73 | 5.61 | -1.61 |
| 46 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 3.88 | 8.43 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 47 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.37 | 3.25 | 10.13 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 48 | Miami | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.35 | 8.29 | 15.09 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 49 | Idaho | Big West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.18 | 5 | 5.49 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 50 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.49 | 3.43 | 11.13 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 51 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.29 | 3.14 | 10.86 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 52 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.45 | 0.67 | 10.9 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 53 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.32 | -1.38 | 6.79 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 54 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.29 | 6.75 | 11.21 | 5.29 | -1.29 |
| 55 | TCU | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 7.75 | 10.28 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 56 | Clemson | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 2.62 | 17.13 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 57 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.02 | 3.88 | 12.14 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 58 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.58 | 0.88 | 15.39 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 59 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.46 | 1.62 | 11.31 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 60 | New Mexico State | Big West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.44 | 4.38 | 7.73 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 61 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.38 | 1.38 | 11.45 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.51 | 0 | 9.11 | 4 | 0 |
| 63 | NC State | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.47 | -5.56 | 10.7 | 3.35 | 1.65 |
| 64 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.14 | -0.88 | 13.49 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 65 | Virginia | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.03 | -2.25 | 14.38 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 66 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.97 | -1.38 | 11.43 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 67 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.76 | 2.56 | 5.5 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 68 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.54 | 5.12 | 13.9 | 4.88 | -1.88 |
| 69 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.5 | 6.62 | 13.96 | 5.46 | -2.46 |
| 70 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.27 | 1.43 | 8.9 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 71 | California | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -5.12 | 11.86 | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| 72 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.82 | 0.33 | 5.48 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 73 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.75 | -1.29 | 15.39 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 74 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.58 | 2.25 | 10.77 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 75 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.25 | 0.88 | 10.55 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 76 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.97 | -3.56 | 12.57 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 77 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.57 | -7.22 | 11.55 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 78 | Army | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.52 | -5.43 | 12.44 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 79 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.29 | -1.12 | 11.69 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 80 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.06 | -1.12 | 7.63 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 81 | Auburn | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.93 | -3.38 | 14.89 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 82 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.84 | -10.89 | 7.02 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 83 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.66 | -4 | 12.65 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 84 | UCF | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.14 | -5.62 | 11.06 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 85 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.07 | -8.75 | 12.12 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 86 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.92 | -12.38 | 14.02 | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| 87 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -11 | 11.89 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 88 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.82 | -9 | 7.93 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 89 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.79 | -12.12 | 11.19 | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| 90 | Nevada | Big West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.58 | -13.5 | 12.24 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 91 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -4.44 | 9.79 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 92 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -8.22 | 14.29 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 93 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -7.33 | 11.92 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 94 | Arkansas State | Big West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -5.44 | 7.71 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 95 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.63 | -4 | 13.41 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 96 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.61 | -4.25 | 14.26 | 3.22 | -1.22 |
| 97 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.6 | -11 | 12.59 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 98 | LSU | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.53 | -5.25 | 15.68 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 99 | Duke | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4 | -8.75 | 17.19 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 100 | Utah State | Big West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -11 | 14.76 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 101 | Temple | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -10.75 | 15.63 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 102 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -13.12 | 9.39 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 103 | North Texas | Big West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -13.62 | 8.76 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.61 | -16.44 | 8.59 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 105 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.64 | -14 | 13.12 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 106 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.56 | -15.88 | 16.19 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 107 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.36 | -19.38 | 7.54 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 108 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.34 | -20.38 | 11.07 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 109 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.26 | -23.12 | 15.77 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 110 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -18.56 | 9.44 | 1.45 | -0.45 |
| 111 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.52 | -20.88 | 13.03 | 0.72 | -0.72 |
| 112 | South Carolina | SEC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.52 | -18.22 | 18.89 | 0.41 | -0.41 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.64 | -27.12 | 9.46 | 0.46 | -0.46 |
| 114 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-8 | 0 | -2.65 | -24.12 | 13.91 | 0.78 | -0.78 |