Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.702548+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.68 | 21.33 | 12.11 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 2 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.25 | 27.67 | 9.05 | 8.54 | 0.46 |
| 3 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 24.89 | 28.38 | 7.14 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 4 | Marshall | Mid-American | 9-0 | 1 | 24.51 | 28.78 | 5.24 | 8.69 | 0.31 |
| 5 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 24.41 | 12.88 | 7.69 | 6.79 | 1.21 |
| 6 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.52 | 17 | 13.34 | 8.4 | 0.6 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.38 | 16.78 | 14.56 | 7.38 | 0.62 |
| 8 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.15 | 24 | 11.82 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 9 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.91 | 15.75 | 13.6 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 10 | BYU | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.52 | 13.22 | 10.82 | 6.93 | 1.07 |
| 11 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.79 | 14.5 | 12.41 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.72 | 20.9 | 10.39 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 13 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.48 | 11.33 | 14.68 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 14 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.46 | 7.11 | 16.7 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 15 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 9.89 | 14.18 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 16 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.65 | 11 | 9.69 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 17 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.57 | 10.11 | 8.57 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 18 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.41 | 9.78 | 8.76 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 19 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.37 | 14 | 10.06 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 20 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.94 | 8.11 | 6.24 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 21 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.7 | 5 | 11.23 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 22 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.77 | 16.44 | 12.06 | 7.71 | -1.71 |
| 23 | Boston College | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.57 | 3.5 | 5.13 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
| 24 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.54 | 8.4 | 8.92 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 25 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 13.44 | 10.35 | 7.03 | -1.03 |
| 26 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.4 | 9.67 | 12.23 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 27 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 11.78 | 10.99 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 28 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.35 | 8.8 | 7.47 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 29 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.25 | 7.67 | 11.25 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 30 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 8 | 11.87 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 31 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 4.89 | 14.09 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 32 | Boise State | Big West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.07 | 10 | 4.93 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 33 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 2.89 | 15.2 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 34 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 8.78 | 8.39 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 35 | Miami | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 11 | 15.02 | 5.98 | -0.98 |
| 36 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.64 | 19.38 | 11.31 | 6.77 | -1.77 |
| 37 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.47 | 4.44 | 9.39 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 38 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.37 | 16.75 | 9.06 | 6.65 | -1.65 |
| 39 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.12 | 7.6 | 15.38 | 6.51 | -0.51 |
| 40 | Idaho | Big West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.09 | 5.44 | 5.47 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 41 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.73 | 6.5 | 10.54 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 42 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.6 | 4.5 | 11.53 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 43 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.4 | 2.62 | 12 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 44 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.39 | 1.11 | 7.1 | 4.71 | 1.29 |
| 45 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.37 | 3.1 | 14.17 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 46 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.95 | 8 | 14.64 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 47 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.51 | 3.56 | 14.17 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 48 | Maryland | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.29 | 8.33 | 7.36 | 6.28 | -1.28 |
| 49 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.28 | 2.89 | 13.37 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 50 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.17 | 5.22 | 10.15 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 51 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.13 | 2.89 | 11.99 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 52 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.1 | 2.56 | 13.71 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 53 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.03 | 2.78 | 11.4 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 54 | New Mexico State | Big West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.83 | 4.78 | 7.81 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 55 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.81 | -0.2 | 11.7 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 56 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.66 | 2 | 10.84 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 57 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.48 | -0.2 | 8.64 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 58 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.27 | 1.33 | 9.27 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 59 | TCU | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 7.75 | 9.88 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 60 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.74 | -0.11 | 11.48 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 61 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.57 | -1.22 | 15.29 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 62 | NC State | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.52 | -3.7 | 11.28 | 4.13 | 1.87 |
| 63 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.35 | 2.67 | 12.27 | 5.1 | -1.1 |
| 64 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.68 | -2.3 | 11.22 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 65 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.65 | 2.56 | 5.67 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 66 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.29 | 1.11 | 7.38 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 67 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.18 | -0.11 | 11.63 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 68 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.88 | 0.33 | 5.54 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 69 | Auburn | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.68 | -1 | 13.81 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 70 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.55 | -1.44 | 14.32 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 71 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 9.21 | 4.22 | 14.53 | 5.62 | -2.62 |
| 72 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 9.03 | 3.44 | 13.69 | 5.19 | -2.19 |
| 73 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.97 | -4.89 | 13.48 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 74 | California | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.71 | -5.67 | 11.81 | 2.98 | 1.02 |
| 75 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.44 | -7.22 | 11.09 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 76 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.44 | -0.5 | 10.22 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 77 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.21 | -9.89 | 12.12 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 78 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.15 | 0.89 | 11 | 4.69 | -1.69 |
| 79 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.04 | -2.75 | 15.62 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 80 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8 | -3.1 | 11.5 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 81 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.81 | -5.6 | 12.14 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 82 | Army | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.1 | -8.25 | 12.48 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 83 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.1 | -1.22 | 12.9 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 84 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.06 | -0.78 | 11.96 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 85 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.89 | -1.78 | 11.3 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 86 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.88 | -13.9 | 7.55 | 1.73 | 2.27 |
| 87 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.69 | -12.12 | 11.17 | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| 88 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.14 | -4.44 | 9.23 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 89 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -8.22 | 14.87 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 90 | UCF | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -7 | 10.59 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 91 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -10.33 | 12.22 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 92 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -11.56 | 12.92 | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| 93 | Nevada | Big West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -13 | 13.13 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 94 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -10.33 | 8.34 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 95 | Arkansas State | Big West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.91 | -10.2 | 8.4 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 96 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.71 | -11 | 11.9 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 97 | LSU | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.75 | -5.33 | 15.48 | 3.28 | -1.28 |
| 98 | North Texas | Big West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -13.62 | 8.35 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 99 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.4 | -8.22 | 13.25 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 100 | Utah State | Big West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.2 | -10.67 | 13.98 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 101 | Temple | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.17 | -11.44 | 14.94 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 102 | Duke | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.08 | -13.44 | 15.99 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 103 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.89 | -13.78 | 8.99 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 104 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -11 | 6.13 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 105 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.69 | -15.44 | 10.13 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 106 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.33 | -16 | 9.97 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 107 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.37 | -14.22 | 12.41 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 108 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.29 | -15.89 | 15.22 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 109 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.15 | -18.56 | 8.64 | 1.45 | -0.45 |
| 110 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.04 | -24.44 | 14.06 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 111 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.44 | -19.67 | 11.95 | 0.96 | -0.96 |
| 112 | South Carolina | SEC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.5 | -18.22 | 18.61 | 0.41 | -0.41 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.53 | -24.89 | 7.35 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 114 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-9 | 0 | -2.62 | -24.44 | 12.96 | 0.79 | -0.79 |