Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.702926+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 23.1 | 12.74 | 9 | 1 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 9-0 | 1 | 25.07 | 28.89 | 8.53 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 3 | Marshall | Mid-American | 10-0 | 1 | 24.72 | 27.3 | 7.04 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.42 | 24.2 | 12.49 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.18 | 16.8 | 12.61 | 8.35 | 0.65 |
| 6 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.98 | 22.3 | 9.86 | 9.02 | -0.02 |
| 7 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22 | 10.11 | 8.85 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.47 | 15.09 | 13.44 | 8.89 | 0.11 |
| 9 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.25 | 17.82 | 12.04 | 8.96 | 0.04 |
| 10 | Alabama | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.03 | 7.6 | 17.51 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 11 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.94 | 22.45 | 9.11 | 10.05 | -1.05 |
| 12 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.9 | 10.6 | 15.13 | 7.36 | 0.64 |
| 13 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.71 | 12.3 | 13.29 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 14 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.54 | 13.56 | 13.93 | 7.43 | -0.43 |
| 15 | BYU | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.37 | 10.5 | 11.2 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 16 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.91 | 10.9 | 8.9 | 6.96 | 1.04 |
| 17 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.86 | 12.78 | 10.72 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 18 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.84 | 10.5 | 8.6 | 7.39 | 0.61 |
| 19 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.52 | 11 | 9.08 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 20 | Boston College | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.39 | 5 | 5.55 | 5.67 | 1.33 |
| 21 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.31 | 17.2 | 11.07 | 8.58 | -1.58 |
| 22 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.14 | 16.6 | 10.11 | 8.27 | -1.27 |
| 23 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.04 | 10.6 | 11.75 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 24 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.98 | 13.5 | 10.08 | 8.26 | -1.26 |
| 25 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.89 | 11.1 | 10.43 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 26 | Boise State | Big West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.79 | 10.82 | 5.31 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 19.56 | 10.39 | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 28 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.52 | 8.4 | 9.07 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 29 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 15.33 | 10.96 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 30 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.45 | 8.7 | 8.63 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 31 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.17 | 5.9 | 7.71 | 6.18 | 0.82 |
| 32 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 4.89 | 13.56 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 33 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 5.56 | 12.83 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 34 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 7.89 | 10.04 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 35 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 4.56 | 11.68 | 5.18 | 0.82 |
| 36 | Idaho | Big West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.47 | 5.2 | 3.98 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 37 | Georgia | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 2.56 | 10.5 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 38 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.33 | 1.7 | 7.8 | 5.36 | 1.64 |
| 39 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 7.36 | 8.18 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 40 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.9 | 7.6 | 14.72 | 6.51 | -0.51 |
| 41 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.4 | 6.3 | 12.2 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 42 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.39 | 4.9 | 13.55 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 43 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.34 | 6.9 | 10.09 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 44 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.14 | 2.3 | 14.33 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 45 | Miami | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.91 | 6.11 | 15.01 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 46 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.78 | 2.7 | 11.42 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 47 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.74 | 1.8 | 13.5 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 48 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.64 | 3.1 | 9.6 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 49 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.61 | 2.8 | 8.84 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 50 | TCU | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.38 | 9.56 | 8.85 | 6.49 | -1.49 |
| 51 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.35 | 0.09 | 8.25 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 52 | Clemson | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.57 | 6.9 | 15.14 | 6.59 | -1.59 |
| 53 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.28 | 0.45 | 13.96 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 54 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.78 | 2.2 | 14.46 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 55 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.69 | 3.4 | 12.34 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 56 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.6 | 2.4 | 12.19 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 57 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 3.4 | 9.75 | 6 | -1 |
| 58 | Maryland | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 3.6 | 9.04 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 59 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.31 | 4 | 7.89 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 60 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.24 | -0.91 | 12.02 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 61 | New Mexico State | Big West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.24 | 2.4 | 8.52 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 62 | Auburn | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.1 | 0.8 | 14.12 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 63 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.65 | 1.5 | 6.48 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 64 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.33 | -3.73 | 10.25 | 4.48 | 1.52 |
| 65 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.88 | 1.11 | 15 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 66 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.7 | -2.1 | 11.85 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 67 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.63 | 4.2 | 13.82 | 6.29 | -2.29 |
| 68 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.39 | 3.4 | 12.5 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 69 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -3.9 | 9.59 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 70 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.77 | 1.7 | 10.39 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 71 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.48 | -2.18 | 11.69 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 72 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.91 | -5 | 12.28 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 73 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.46 | -0.7 | 5.84 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 74 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.37 | -2.2 | 11.93 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 75 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.24 | -3.4 | 14.24 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 76 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.02 | -1.9 | 7.88 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 77 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.95 | -12.36 | 7.45 | 2.35 | 2.65 |
| 78 | California | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.78 | -5.6 | 12.53 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 79 | UCF | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.75 | -3.8 | 9.77 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 80 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -7.1 | 15.16 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 81 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.63 | -8.1 | 14.05 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 82 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.4 | -8.9 | 11.46 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 83 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.36 | -9.2 | 11.33 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 84 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.13 | -4.38 | 8.92 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 85 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.76 | -1.78 | 11.39 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 86 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.74 | -5.73 | 10.27 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 87 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.62 | -0.6 | 12.26 | 4.87 | -1.87 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.31 | -7.82 | 8.34 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 89 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -5.44 | 11.06 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 90 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.96 | -2.8 | 13.43 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 91 | Army | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -7.78 | 12.31 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 92 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -12.89 | 11.01 | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| 93 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -10.33 | 8.12 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 94 | Duke | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.99 | -10.8 | 15.3 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 95 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.9 | -11.7 | 11.57 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 96 | Nevada | Big West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.86 | -13.3 | 13.08 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 97 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.86 | -13.8 | 13.68 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| 98 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.67 | -12.1 | 9.15 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 99 | Utah State | Big West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.16 | -10.67 | 13.99 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 100 | LSU | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.15 | -6.1 | 15.31 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 101 | Temple | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.11 | -11.44 | 14.24 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 102 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.92 | -7.7 | 12.76 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 103 | North Texas | Big West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.82 | -14.78 | 8.94 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 104 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.45 | -12.4 | 12.57 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 105 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.42 | -12.4 | 5.7 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 106 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -14.2 | 9.21 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 107 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -14.82 | 10.5 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 108 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.04 | -18.1 | 15.21 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 109 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.17 | -21.5 | 9.55 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -21.7 | 13.2 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 111 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.32 | -25.7 | 14.33 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 112 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-10 | 0 | -2.42 | -19.8 | 11.38 | 1.06 | -1.06 |
| 113 | South Carolina | SEC | 0-10 | 0 | -2.49 | -18.1 | 18.57 | 0.42 | -0.42 |
| 114 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-10 | 0 | -2.53 | -25.3 | 7.53 | 0.72 | -0.72 |